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Posted on 10/15/2024 7:34:59 AM PDT by traderrob6
Former President Donald Trump is leading his opponent Kamala Harris among early voters in the swing states, according to a new poll.
The poll, conducted by Harvard University, HarrisX, and The Harris Poll between October 11 and 13, found that Trump has a narrow lead among early voters in the battleground states, with 48 percent of the vote to Harris' 47 percent.
The poll surveyed 3,145 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. It did not specify how many early voters were surveyed.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
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Vote early, vote often (just kidding about the last part).
yup
If these are early voting ballots, how can anyone know who the ballots were cast for? Are these estimates based on party affiliation or what?
Take nothing for granted. Remember the “Red Wave.” Get out and vote!
>>
The poll surveyed 3,145 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. It did not specify how many early voters were surveyed.
>>
Yes it did specify how many. The MOE is a parameter derived from sample count. If you know the sample count, you know the MOE. If you know the MOE, the equation will tell you the sample count.
An MOE of 1.8% implies a large sampling, well over 1000.
This is not rocket science. This is a journalism major.
No one should have any knowledge of which party these early voters belong to. This is how you “control” elections. Nothing should be known until the polls close.
Way I understood it was they polled 3K+ of actual early voters and those intending to early vote as to who they were or did vote for.
Two things will happen if SHE! loses. After the election the articles will immediately drop about how she was a terrible candidate and they all knew it. Shortly after Inauguration Day the books will start being teased about the bloodless coup of July 2024.
What we need is extensive, in-depth reporting on Democratic vote counting shenanigans. They can sense a coming disaster, and are doubtless already at work.
This is a good question as to knowing things about the early votes.
Because . . . this is, in effect, an exit poll. Nothing illegal about exit polls.
Though probably not. There is usually a convoluted procedure for an early voter to change his mind pre election day. An actual exit poll would reflect the mindset on the day and there will be no changing it thereafter.
How many votes is Trump up by? Dems need that number so they know how many ballots to ship.
These are not ballots. It is a poll.
The early votes are not nearly as important as the votes which are cast AFTER the polls close.
It’s corruption that we are supposed to know this at this point.
What a wicked generation.
Agreed!
BTTT
If they couldn’t find out these numbers, they wouldn’t have allowed early voting.
Dems have to know how many ballots need printing up, because lead times are not fungible.
The poll ask respondents if they had already voted early. If they answered yes they asked who they voted for....That’s how you get the response they got. If this is true it is very bad news for Harris as Dems typically rack up huge leads with early voters.
I don’t know what to think of this. I would hope that Trump would be ahead in early voters by more than 1%. Then I think Democrats are known for voting early more than Republicans so this can mean that Trump is going to do well in battleground states.
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