Posted on 10/09/2024 7:06:11 PM PDT by Red Badger
With less than a month until Election Day, a new poll from Quinnipiac University reveals that former President Donald Trump is gaining ground in the crucial swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin—collectively known as the “Blue Wall.”
The results have surprised many, showing Trump with a significant advantage in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Vice President Kamala Harris holds only a narrow lead in Pennsylvania. The poll indicates that the race is now too close to call in all three battleground states, signaling a potential shakeup that could prove critical to the election outcome.
In Pennsylvania, Harris leads with 49% of likely voter support, while Trump trails closely at an improved 46%, with other candidates making up 2%. In Michigan, Trump has managed to pull ahead, holding 50% support compared to Harris’s 47%. The trend continues in Wisconsin, where Trump edges out Harris with 48% of the vote to her 46%. The shift from Quinnipiac’s previous poll, where Harris had slight leads or ties, suggests that Trump’s campaign has gained momentum in the critical Rust Belt region at a pivotal period in the race. “That was then, this is now. The Harris post-debate starburst dims to a glow as Harris enters the last weeks slipping slightly in the Rust Belt,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
The poll also explored key issues that are influencing voter preferences. On the economy, Trump leads Harris in each of these battleground states. In Pennsylvania, 49% of likely voters believe Trump would handle the economy better, compared to 47% for Harris. Michigan shows a stronger preference for Trump at 53%, while only 45% prefer Harris. Wisconsin mirrors these results, with Trump holding a 53% to 44% lead. Immigration is another topic on which Trump has the upper hand. In Pennsylvania, 50% back Trump’s approach versus 46% for Harris. Michigan voters again show strong support for Trump at 53%, compared to Harris’s 44%, while in Wisconsin, Trump leads 52% to 44%.
On the question of who would better preserve democracy in the U.S., voters are more divided. In Pennsylvania, 50% of voters believe Harris would be more effective, compared to 44% for Trump. Michigan voters are almost evenly split, with 49% supporting Trump and 48% for Harris. Wisconsin sees a similarly tight contest, with Harris narrowly leading Trump, 48% to 47%. When it comes to abortion, Harris maintains a solid lead across all three states, with 55% in Pennsylvania, 52% in Michigan, and 53% in Wisconsin favoring her stance on the issue.
Foreign policy is another key battleground in this election. On the issue of the Middle East conflict, Trump leads in Michigan (53% to 43%) and Wisconsin (51% to 44%), while Pennsylvania remains more divided, with Trump holding a slim lead of 47% to 46%. Malloy noted that this issue could play a significant role in voters’ final decisions, stating, “The widening threat of a war encompassing the Middle East elbows its way into the long list of issues both candidates would confront the day they are sworn in, with Trump ahead on this issue in Wisconsin and Michigan.”
The poll also asked voters which candidate best represents their values. In Pennsylvania, 50% of likely voters sided with Harris, while 44% aligned with Trump. In Michigan, Trump leads slightly with 49% compared to Harris’s 47%, and Wisconsin remains evenly split, with both candidates at 48%. The poll results, based on interviews conducted from October 3rd to 7th, have a margin of error of approximately +/- 3 percentage points across the states.
I just wish we could be sincerely encouraged by any news of this sort, instead of dwelling on the expected amount of voter fraud that will occur.
When you’ve lost Quinnipiac...
The switcheroo isn’t working?
The words don’t match the percentages listed. All three states show Harris in the lead.
Oh woe is us! (Wring hands.)
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 51% [+5]
🟦 Harris: 47% [-4]
——
WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump: 49% [+1]
🟦 Harris: 47% [-2]
——
PENNSYLVANIA
🟦 Harris: 49% [-2]
🟥 Trump: 47% [+1]
Look at table 1a and tell me that they aren’t different than the rest of the article.
How they act is a decent tell. The guy in Arizona debating Kari Lake just said that Trump doesn’t like her anymore and doesn’t even want to campaign with her. He obviously knows Trump is well loved there and him NOT wanting to campaign with you would be seen negatively. That’s an interesting thing for the Senate Democrat to say.
From poll, not article:
PENNSYLVANIA: Harris 49%, Trump 46%, other candidates 2%
MICHIGAN: Trump 50%, Harris 47%, other candidates 2%
WISCONSIN: Trump 48%, Harris 46%, other candidates 2%
“Kamala Harris holds only a narrow lead in Pennsylvania”
Another poll today showed Harris up in PA by 5 points a month ago moving to DOWN by 3 points this week.
They say to watch where the candidates campaign. Trump will be in California and New York. That tells me he believes he’s got it and is now working to get an R house and Senate.
Hope he’s right!!
Unfortunately after the 2020 fiasco, Voter Fraud has become a harsh reality to deal with in every election from now on.
Rush used to joke that Q was basically Hillary’s official pollster. When she would get into trouble they’d pop out a poll showing how popular she is. You take any poll with a grain of salt but this one is tough for leftys to swallow cause they are so revered by liberal media.
Also the Michigan number isn’t surprising as last week Slotkin did a poll that she revealed to her donors that said Kamala was behind there Q now verifies this.
At a minimum it gives Trumps team a talking point that they are just showing what our polls are showing already.
And insideradvantage had Trump up 2 today in PA so it does show he has momentum
1a is the ‘before’....................
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Please explain the difference shown here and how they don't match the article.
That is not clearly stated in the graphics and is confusing as hell. Sorry.
Wow. Is that true? Did Trump stop supporting Kari Lake?
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