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The Asterisk on Kamala Harris’s Poll Numbers
Atlantic ^ | 22 Aug 2024 | Gilad Edelman

Posted on 08/22/2024 10:13:44 AM PDT by Freeleesy

Pollsters think they’ve learned from their mistakes in 2020. Of course, they thought that last time too.

One month since she entered the presidential race, Kamala Harris has a small but clear lead over Donald Trump, if the polls are to be trusted. But after the past two presidential elections, trusting the polls might feel like a very strange thing to do.

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: harriswalz; kamalaharris; polls; trump
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1 posted on 08/22/2024 10:13:44 AM PDT by Freeleesy
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To: Freeleesy

Small but clear?


2 posted on 08/22/2024 10:16:00 AM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: All

More from article:

“The pollsters know they messed up in 2020. They are cautiously optimistic that they’ve learned from their mistakes. Of course, they thought that last time too.”


3 posted on 08/22/2024 10:17:47 AM PDT by Freeleesy
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To: Ge0ffrey

It’s the Atlantic. She could be 2.5% behind in a Quinnipiac poll run on total push questions and they’d call that a “small but clear lead” since it’s within the margin of error.


4 posted on 08/22/2024 10:18:15 AM PDT by FateAmenableToChange
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To: Ge0ffrey

I would wait for polls once the DNC fever cools down.


5 posted on 08/22/2024 10:18:58 AM PDT by Freeleesy
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To: Freeleesy

And when RFK endorses Trump. Red Pills are being taken.


6 posted on 08/22/2024 10:32:53 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: Freeleesy

Ras has 45 up 3 today.


7 posted on 08/22/2024 10:36:53 AM PDT by toddausauras (Trump 2024)
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To: pburgh01

Not a sure thing. RFK has a lot of baggage - especially when it comes to his treatment of women.


8 posted on 08/22/2024 10:52:40 AM PDT by HonorInPa
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To: Freeleesy

Any reason to expect the Dems to be more honest/accurate with Presidential polling than they were with the job creation stats?


9 posted on 08/22/2024 10:58:03 AM PDT by Chewbarkah
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To: pburgh01

“Vanity Fair” has brutal article on RFK Jr.


10 posted on 08/22/2024 11:04:48 AM PDT by Brian Griffin ("Building a wall is a red herring" - Elon Musk)
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To: Freeleesy

affordable gasoline

Love it!

affordable ICE cars

Love them!

affordable electricity

Love it!

Be cool now!


11 posted on 08/22/2024 11:10:00 AM PDT by Brian Griffin ("Building a wall is a red herring" - Elon Musk)
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To: Freeleesy

12 posted on 08/22/2024 11:19:03 AM PDT by CodeJockey (I'd like to change the world, but they won't give me the source code.)
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To: All

It’s almost impossible for there to be a Harris lead of 3% and have her win.

The vast, vast majority of that lead comes from Calif and NY and IL, where she polls nearly 20% ahead.

Trump does not have 20% leads in any big states. Not TX, not FL. The only counter to those 20% leads is single digits T leads more or less everywhere else that matters.

Folks have forgotten a few EVs moved via Census after 2020. Frankly not as many as is warranted because the very first thing the Biden Admin did was corrupt the Census results to keep a few EVs.


13 posted on 08/22/2024 11:19:25 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Freeleesy
The Asterisk on Kamala Harris’s Poll Numbers

The dems need to know how many illegals and fake ballots they're going to need to steal the election.

14 posted on 08/22/2024 11:35:42 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (President Trump saved by DIVINE INTERVENTION. GOD CONTINUES TO BLESS AMERICA!!!)
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To: Freeleesy

This is a scale with the whole Communist(DNC) party, the MSM,
university professors, the tech giants, and even some
government agencies standing on Harris’ platter.

How could the scale not be accurate?

Harris has 100% of the vote locked up. Count on it Lefties...


15 posted on 08/22/2024 12:28:21 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (I pledge allegiance to the flag of the USofA & to the Constitutional REPUBLIC for which it stands. )
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To: Freeleesy

polling rigged elections is hard...

they polled to show joe was way ahead in 2020 so the steal would be believable, but trump got way more votes than anticipated, the most in American History... so they could only do what they had to do to just eek by... the most votes ever recorded and it took all night to do so.


16 posted on 08/22/2024 12:52:34 PM PDT by teeman8r (Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world or something )
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To: Freeleesy
If Kamala loses her butt in the election she won't have an *
*=ass to risk
Highlight above for the punch line explained...
17 posted on 08/22/2024 12:53:06 PM PDT by null and void (Don’t hallucinate and legislate, don’t hallucinate and educate...)
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To: Freeleesy

Lou Harris said Bush and Dukakis were in a dead heat on election day. They all said Reagan and Carter were too close to call until Brokaw came on looking like his father died as Election Night began. These lying weasels are going to lie and weasel.


18 posted on 08/22/2024 1:05:50 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: Freeleesy

“Kamala Harris has a small but clear lead over Donald Trump”

Thos two words - “but clear” - tell you this is from a leftist source.

If it’s small, it’s within the margin of error, it isn’t “clear”.


19 posted on 08/28/2024 5:21:18 PM PDT by simpson96
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To: Owen
It’s almost impossible for there to be a Harris lead of 3% and have her win.

Harris will need to have a lead of at least 7% to win the election.

20 posted on 08/28/2024 5:23:28 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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