Polling showing Harris in lead flagged by industry experts for voter samples

JustheNews ^ | 8/21/24 | Ben Whedon

[CFW]

Vice President Kamala Harris has enjoyed a noticeable surge in the polls – particularly national polls – since becoming the Democratic standard bearer, but the rapid shift in her position has left some industry analysts questioning the apparent boost in the formerly quite unpopular vice president’s standing. In her 2020 run, she struggled to break 3% before dropping out, according to The Hill.

Prior to becoming the Democratic nominee, Harris suffered from decidedly poor approval ratings and Trump initially held the lead over her in a head-to-head matchup. The average quickly flipped, however, in the wake of several surveys showing Harris ahead. Those surveys, however, have attracted scrutiny from an array of pollsters either due to their lack of transparency about the sampling methodology or from oversampling Democrats.

“So what they're doing is they're polling fewer Republicans. They're polling a disproportionate number of Biden 2020 voters in these states that were dead even,” pollster John McLaughlin said this week on the “Just the News, No Noise” television show.

[snip]

In Wisconsin, the 2020 exit polls had 37% Republicans. In the recent New York Times poll, Siena had 27% Republican. Ten points fewer,” he also said. Harris led Trump with 50% to 46% in the state.

[shotgun]

So are at least 47% of people who identify as Americans.

[goodolemr]

I’ve early voted a couple times in the past, but if you are in a swing state, you have to make the most of your vote and be sure its counted. That voting by mail thing seems very sketchy by me. I am not in a swing state.

[Smittie]

>>Wow ,are democrats stupid.>>

No, they're not stupid, they're evil...

[Churchillspirit]

This is assuming a fair election.

My fear is that the libtards will cheat again and get away with it - as usual.

[OldGoatCPO]

Everyone in our immediate family are voting early. 2 reasons, one to make sure we are not caught up in shenanigans on Election Day. The other is because in 2020 my daughter had to use a provisional ballot. Somebody either at her previous address or her college address voted in her name using mail in ballots. This time we have to show ID so she is in person voting early to try and prevent anymore BS.

Trump could fix a lot of illegalities by tying some funding sent to States with them cleaning up their voter roles and work with Congress to increase the penalties for voting illegally. If you are not a citizen eligible to vote, mandatory deportation for voting in a Federal election. If you are a college student who thinks it is cool to vote multiple times, if convicted, you lose access to any grants or student loans funded by the government. Cheating won’t stop, but it will decrease substantially.

[GOPJ]

So yeah Heels Up leads.....if the electorate were 6-7% more Democrat than it actually is. In the real world, no freaking way is the electorate going to look like that. These are intentionally dishonest push polls meant to try to give Heels Up Harris a boost. Everybody knows it.

Democrats understand the 'bandwagon' effect.

[Redmen4ever]

Hi slapshot,

Since you say the results are baked in, how do you explain Trump overperforming the polls by 7 points in Wisconsin in 2016 and by 6 points in 2020?

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2016/wisconsin/trump-vs-clinton

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/wisconsin/trump-vs-biden

[KC_Conspirator]

"in Wisconsin, the 2020 exit polls had 37% Republicans. In the recent New York Times poll, Siena had 27% Republican. Ten points fewer,” he also said. Harris led Trump with 50% to 46% in the state."

That is nonsense. And I thought the Ipsos polling D+6 was bad.

Now that being the case, have not seen other polls as ridiculous, but there has been a shift, albeit a great 1 billion dollar free ad campaign, so I would not ignore it.

[KC_Conspirator]

I think that could be true.

The last dead cat (no) bounce, I remember was John Kerry in 2004.

[slapshot]

I am on the ground. “Leadership” in Wisconsin is pathetic and in the Never Trump camp-

[Elsie]

Voting by mail has no chain-of-custody.

(it appears)