Harris holds onto 1 point lead over Trump in latest Reuters/Ipsos poll (Kamala bounce fading)

Reuters ^ | 7.30.2022 | Bo Erickson

[libh8er]

The three-day poll, completed on Sunday, showed Vice President Harris supported by 43% of registered voters, with former President Trump supported by 42%, within the poll's 3.5 percentage point margin of error.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll last week showed Harris up 44%-42%.

[jerod]

In a heavily Democrat weighted poll. White Democrats are supporting her... Will any others?

[Jim W N]

Reuters/Ipsos/Fake poll

[FlingWingFlyer]

Her “bounce” has gone back to a Willie Brown BOINK!

[Pox]

Retarded registered voters across the nation poll.

Means exactly nothing. Of course the left is going to trot out all kinds of crap claims, but they are no longer the sole arbiter of information.

Never forget that the media thinks you are that stupid.

[Az Joe]

I hear freepers and other Trump supporters lie to pollsters. I know I do if contacted.

That’s called a “good” lie.

[Political Junkie Too]

A surprise to me is that today's release of battleground state polls is showing that RFK, Jr. is taking more votes away from President Trump than Kamala Harris (except in Nevada and Wisconsin).

• New Hampshire
  • Harris: 50 - Trump: 46
  • Harris: 48 (-2) - Trump: 41 (-5) - Kennedy: 6 - Stein: 1 - West: 0

• Arizona
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 47
  • Harris: 48 (-1) - Trump: 44 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• Georgia
  • Harris: 47 - Trump: 47
  • Harris: 45 (-2) - Trump: 45 (-2) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A

• Michigan
  • Harris: 53 - Trump: 42
  • Harris: 51 (-2) - Trump: 39 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• Nevada
  • Harris: 47 - Trump: 45
  • Harris: 43 (-4) - Trump: 43 (-2) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• North Carolina
  • Harris: 46 - Trump: 48
  • Harris: 44 (-2) - Trump: 45 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A

• Pennsylvania
  • Harris: 46 - Trump: 50
  • Harris: 44 (-2) - Trump: 46 (-4) - Kennedy: 3 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• Wisconsin
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 47
  • Harris: 44 (-5) - Trump: 45 (-2) - Kennedy: 6 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A

-PJ

[hinckley buzzard]

She will get the usual 46% legacy democrat vote, as aptly described by Romney in 2012. If a strong third party candidate actually appears on ballots, maybe less. With mail-in and early voting, I’d guess just over 50% in total, given an extra couple million in california, wisconsin, etc.

[MinorityRepublican]

Harris will need to be up by +3 in the popular vote to win the Electoral College.

[Az Joe]

I hear freepers and other Trump supporters lie to pollsters. I know I do if contacted.

That’s called a “good” lie.

Pass it on

[Az Joe]

Yes, maybe even more eh?

[BigFreakinToad]

They’re pickin’ up conservatives
And putting ‘em in a pen
And all she wants to do is cackle, cackle
Rebels been rebels
Since I don’t know when
And all she wants to do is cackle

Molotov cocktail
Antifa’s drink
And all she wants to do is cackle, cackle
They mix ‘em up right
In the kitchen sink
And all she wants to do is Cackle

[Verse 3]
Crazy people walkin’ round
With blood in their eyes
And all she wants to do is cackle, cackle, cackle
Wild-eyed pistol-wavers
Who ain’t afraid to die
And all she wants to do is
All she wants to do is cackle

[Chorus]
And make romance
She can feel the heat
Comin off the street
She wants to party
She wants to go down
All she wants to do is
All she wants to do is cackle

[MinorityRepublican]

She will get the usual 46% legacy democrat vote, as aptly described by Romney in 2012.

Trump can lose the popular vote 49% to 46% and still win the Electoral College if the election is similar to 2016.

[avital2]

Reuter.....’nuff said

[MattMusson]

Many of the polls ask about Favorability, not about who people are going to vote for.

[Captainpaintball]

There is no bounce. The polls are rigged before and after the sampling. It will make accusations of fraud much harder to prove. The fix is in. And CONservatives did nothing to stop it. They had 7.5 years, and BLEW it.

[cp124]

Rotters poll. What a joke.

[Dr. Zzyzx]

Hemireuters

[MeanWestTexan]

Plus just registered voters. Not “likely”.

And Reuters

[FirstFlaBn]

Your analysis might be correct if the margin of error was 0%. No matter how hard you strain, you can’t use a yardstick in place of a micrometer.

Differences of a couple of points between polls are statistically insignificant, and, thus, no valid inferences can be drawn.

Do you not know what margin of error means and how to apply it or are you just working on your arithmetic skills?