Posted on 07/23/2024 6:14:44 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in 13 national polls published in the month of July.
The surveys indicate Harris might not have any better chance of defeating Trump than President Joe Biden did. Harris’s favorability rating is one point less than Biden’s, RealClearPolitics polling average found.
Harris will be an easier candidate to defeat in November than Biden, Trump said Sunday after Biden dropped out as the Democrat’s de facto nominee.
The 13 polls also contradicts polling from former pollster for President Barack Obama, Fernand Amandi, who published an internal survey on July 9 that found Harris led Trump by one point.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
That depends on the pH and nitrogen content of the urine applied.
Exactly, democrats driving up their victory margin in California isn’t going to help them win.
As as we have been told for the last few weeks VP picks don’t matter.
These days “betting markets” are just as biased as polls. Those markets simply ARE polls, where you pay a few shekels to vote, in order to try to INFLUENCE (as opposed to predict) the outcome of a political event.
Thinking otherwise is idiotic — unless we are to believe that these “bettors” are actually in a position to know something we don’t. Which they aren’t.
Right, DEI doctrine means her VEEP has to be even more inept that her. Clooney is perfect.
Oh heavens no.
The Trump lead of 1-2% has been sticky all year. The face of the opposition has defined none of that period of time, and it will continue to define none of it.
The issue will be Trump, and that will be prosecutions, not Access Hollywood. No amount of media adulation of Kamila can undo the prosecutions.
She’s not down 9%. She will be down 1-2% within weeks. Or maybe even tied. The battlegrounds will not flip until the national numbers are Dem +4.5% — because they are part of the national numbers mathematically.
She does not have to move the needle 13% — from -9% to +4%, but she does have to move it about 5% (from -1% to +4%) and given the year’s stickiness, this is just not likely.
No debates. No reason to give her more exposure.
“Propaganda machine hs only started. Late July, early August polls will be more relevant.”
Nobody wants to hear that. But it’s 100% true.
In a few weeks, or more likely just a few days, they aren’t going to have choice but to hear it. Then, suddenly, all those polls we’ve been enjoying so much for the past few months will be gaslighting bullshit again.
Anyone who thought this race was already over better get back to work and focus harder than ever on the swing states — especially PA — which will decide this definitely-not-a-landslide election.
“The Trump lead of 1-2% has been sticky all year. The face of the opposition has defined none of that period of time,”
1. Leading narrowly within the margin of error even against a comatose candidate like Biden should hardly fill anyone with confidence. Biden was comatose in 2020 too and he still “somehow” won.
2. “The face of the [Democrat] opposition” has been Joe Biden and only Joe Biden up until Sunday. Cackles’ inclusion in polls — or the inclusion of any *prospective* nominee — is not remotely as meaningful.
If you have a shocked face stored away somewhere, get ready to dig it out when you see the polls after the media REALLY goes into overdrive, especially when they do so for “President Harris” once Biden croaks/resigns. You’ve never seen anything like it unless you were in the Soviet Union to see how the puppetmedia treated Uncle Joe Stalin.
WE aren’t going to be fooled by 24/7 Harris Hagiography, but enough ignorant voters WILL be influenced. The Trump campaign better all have their thinking caps on regarding how they’re going to combat this. Given Cackles’ past, it sounds like it should be fairly easy. But it won’t be — the media won’t allow it.
Yes, but that is today, not tomorrow. Except that yesterday, today was tomorrow.
Regardless of who runs on the democrat presidential ticket, rest assured that corporate media will lionize that person and continue to portray voting Trump and Vance as the end of democracy. Also, we shouldn't be surprised to see future presidential and VP debate(s) tuned and skewed by the network to favor the democrat.
"If you repeat a lie often enough, people will believe it, and you will even come to believe it yourself." - Joseph Goebbels
Bottom line: The polls are worthless because the democrats have perfected filling out and casting as many mail-in ballots as are needed. Illegals voting enhances what I'll call illegal voting elasticity. The race will tighten as we approach election day because too many people are easily swayed by corporates media and the republicans have no answer to a perfected democrat voter cheating machine.
Not many things around her live long must be something more powerful.
What ever it is even bank alarms go on.
LOL!
Hate to tell you but most “average” Americans are idiots themselves.......they’ll fawn over her, basking in her stupid.
Interesting how she couldn’t get over 3,% in the Dem primary vs Biden but gets these much higher numbers shows the extent of Trump hatred .
Some people are saying some support from people like Pelosi is just a ruse, that they hope anyone replaces here during the convention.
at the moment, RCP shows 325-213
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
Why is everybody forgetting about the cheating?
“I trust no polls.”
That may be so but based on 2020 polls, Quinnipiac is one of the most biased polls against Donald Trump. Quinnipiac’s final 2020 poll for Ohio: Biden 47% Trump 43%. Quinnipiac’s final 2020 poll for Florida: Biden 47% Trump 42%. Actual results for Ohio: Trump 53% Biden 45% and for Florida: Trump 51% Biden 47%. So Quinnipiac was wrong about Ohio and Florida in 2020. Admittedly Quinnipiac poll was before Biden quit his reelection campaign. But Quinnipiac had Trump 45% and Harris 41%. The Democrat convention will likely boost Harris poll numbers but I look at Trump’s 45%. I think Trump has a real shot at 50%, which is bad for Harris.
In another article it was pointed out that seven states — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina — will decide the president. Which one of those have cleaned up their process to ensure voter fraud is not an issue? I agree with you, it's still a big concern.
Those who aren't idiots are politically apathetic. They just don't give a damn.
It’s going to be hard to keep that lead because already the media is portraying Kamala as the savior of humanity
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