Posted on 01/21/2024 7:45:12 PM PST by conservative98
Sunday InsiderAdvantage poll of 850 likely voters in the New Hampshire GOP primary, conducted after Gov. Ron DeSantis announced the suspension of his campaign for the Republican nomination for president and endorsement of Donald Trump, shows former President Trump leading former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley by a substantial margin. The poll conducted January 21 has a margin of error of 4.32% with 95% confidence level.
The Results:
Nikki Haley: 35%
Donald Trump: 62%
Undecided: 3%
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “I have polled New Hampshire presidential primaries for many years and fully understand that this is a state that is hard to poll and where respondents sometimes are “playful” in their answers to pollsters. With that in mind, it appears that a major consolidation took place when Ron DeSantis’s name no longer was part of the survey. Of course his name will still be on the ballot so there will be some minor difference in results. That said, Donald Trump accelerated his lead from the fifty-percentile range in the majority of earlier polls, to the sixty-percentile range in this survey. I have stated in the past that I felt New Hampshire might be a bit of an aberration as compared to most other GOP caucuses and primaries (more moderate with many independents voting). However, with DeSantis’s announcement even the “Undeclared Voter” demographic no longer appeared to change the results. There has been a theory that Democrats voting as undeclared voters, along with moderate Republicans following the lead of New Hampshire’s Governor Chris Sununu, would pile in to create a substantial threat to Trump. I could certainly see the final results drifting into a 58%-41% (1% to others) Trump/Haley situation, but could just as easily see Trump continue upwards past the 62%-35% level. Trump respondents seem resolute in their support in the survey and that suggests that they have a high likelihood to turnout to vote on Tuesday. Ironically we polled Trump at a 51% win in Iowa (he received 51%) which was lower than that of many other public pollsters. We generally tend to under-poll Trump this year, so these numbers are a bit more substantial for him than expected.”
Final New Hampshire GOP Primary Poll
• Trump — 62% (+27)
• Haley — 35%
---
Undecided — 3%@InsiderPolling | January 21 | 850 LVhttps://t.co/gFs9cXAiqs pic.twitter.com/mqQ24FiPRd— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) January 21, 2024
I’d have a hard time believing that Republicans who watched
Haley even a little over the last couple of months, could
trust her at all. She flip-flopped on so many issues.
35%? I think that’s very charitable to her. Very...
WOW! That will send icky Nikky neocon Haley running for cover.
Most of them are McCain-Bush old timey moderate Republicans who watch broadcast news and belong to Rotary Clubs.
And a few NeverTrumpers here...
Hard to belive since the news just dropped today. Many probably aren’t even aware. That being said, i reallt hope it’s accurate.
Maybe. I have some older friends, and I try to let their
beliefs stand unchallenged.
It’s difficult for them to deal with reality even without
turning it upside down.
There were a lot of candidates better than Nikki. It’s strange she’s the last one standing.
Doug Bergum was one. DeSantis another.
Nikki MIGHT hang on until Super Tuesday, maybe.
But she will get washed out.
Go to Twitter and watch videos of her taking opposing views on the same issues. She’s trying to pander to her audience. Democrats like her because she’s the weakest horse in the Republican primary race.
“Ron DeSantis’s name no longer was part of the survey.”
I hope Haley stays in for South Carolina.
Would love to see Trump crush her in her own state.
Oh, the humanity!
I agree with you. There are videos out there with her
saying one thing and doing exactly the opposite, perhaps
five or six instances per video.
“Most of them are McCain-Bush old timey moderate Republicans”
Back in the day they were called “Rockefeller
Republicans”, “checked pants Republicans” or “country club republicans”.
I really believe this. These first-in-the-nation states (e.g., Iowa and NH) LOVE being the focus of attention (read MONEY spent there) if only for a short while. They like being relevant and important in deciding the fate of the nation, and to me, independents are the worst.
Excellent news.
And, at least Rob doesn’t have to lose, to the undecideds, anymore 🤣
“Undeclared Voters Apparently Not A Major Factor”
Anybody “undeclared” at this point ain’t gonna vote anyway.
:NeverTrumpin':
Nice.
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