Posted on 01/17/2024 2:22:50 AM PST by Syncro
SHOCK POLL: Haley Tied with Trump in New Hampshire
Nikki Haley (R-SC) is tied with Donald Trump in New Hampshire, according to a surprising new poll.
American Research Group, Inc. showed Trump and Haley tied at 40% of likely Republican primary voters in the Granite State.
Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) was tied at 4% with...
From https://www.mediaite.com/trump/shock-poll-haley-tied-with-trump-in-new-hampshire/
I don’t know how accurate this is...just cruzing a day ran across it...
Fake poll psyops operation.
...just cruzing and...
Mass-holes......................
Probly so...
Sleep posting heh lol...
There will always be one state. I expect any state within commuting distance of Washington DC to be be Haley friendly, because she is less likely to cut the federal bureaucracy.
How many of the likely Republican primary voters were Democrats a month ago?
New Hampshire-wholes...
Good point.
There is a lot of that going on.
Poll was Friday till Monday...two days ago
“Pollster Mark Blumenthal reported that “It is important to note that what ARG does ... is very different from the way other pollsters ask about party ID. ARG asks about party registration in some states, party identification in others and then combines the two results into a single variable. Whatever the merits of this approach, the results will not be comparable to those of other polling organizations.”[3]
In 2004, Gallup interviewed ARG about a poor prediction (22 points adrift) in the Maryland Democratic primary and found their “likely voter” model was “based on just the one question, [which] is a relatively simple approach to classifying voters.”[4]
ARG was criticised in 2007 for only using landline respondents, which they justified by arguing that cellular phone users, who are mostly younger people, mostly “don’t vote”.[5]”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Research_Group
American Research Group has a long history of being wildly off the mark. It has been called the “black sheep” of polling companies.
Probably used on landlines.
New England left the United States long ago.
who are mostly younger people, mostly “don’t vote”.[5]”
////////
Gotta watch out for them ‘mostly’ voters.
Yeah.
In Iowa, she was bragging that a correction would come in NH.
So she may have operatives embedded there.
The New Hampshire first-in-the-nation primary will be held on Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2024.
So it’s a week away.
“On the Republican side, 22 delegates to the Republican National Convention are up for grabs and will be awarded on a proportional basis”
From:
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/new-hampshire-2024-primary-when-is-it-whats-stake-2024-01-16/
Tiny state where the $$$ per voter is huge but the total cost to mount a campaign is doable for marginal candidates.
Duh trump will win the REPUBLICAN primary and Haley will win the Democrat primary
No it is absolutely good to expose these as they pop up. Thank you.
First thing we need to remember is that Haley has the CIA and Military contracted intelligence assets at her disposal. This is an election “steering” manipulation effort just like we would do in other countries to help install “our” chosen dictators for their government.
Been done many times throughout history and this is becoming extremely apparent. Just look at what they claimed about her in the Iowa elections the other day. Complete BS and psyops operation that was 100% wrong at the end of the day.
So that must be American Research Group?
You saw the methodology.
Cooked poll.
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