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SHOCK POLL: Haley Tied with Trump in New Hampshire (Poll Fri to Mon 1-15)
Mediaite ^ | Jan 16th, 2024, 4:28 pm | Jennifer Bowers Bahney

Posted on 01/17/2024 2:22:50 AM PST by Syncro

SHOCK POLL: Haley Tied with Trump in New Hampshire

Nikki Haley (R-SC) is tied with Donald Trump in New Hampshire, according to a surprising new poll.

American Research Group, Inc. showed Trump and Haley tied at 40% of likely Republican primary voters in the Granite State.

Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) was tied at 4% with...

From https://www.mediaite.com/trump/shock-poll-haley-tied-with-trump-in-new-hampshire/


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: americanresearch; arg; argisfake; fakenewsmaybe; fakepoll; globalistpropaganda; haley; manufacturedresults; poll; shockpoll; trump
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The poll relied on 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (406 Republicans and 194 undeclared voters (independents)) from January 12-15, 2024. Margin of Error: ± 4
1 posted on 01/17/2024 2:22:50 AM PST by Syncro
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To: Everybody

I don’t know how accurate this is...just cruzing a day ran across it...


2 posted on 01/17/2024 2:24:55 AM PST by Syncro (God is Good--Facts is Facts)
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To: Syncro

Fake poll psyops operation.


3 posted on 01/17/2024 2:25:11 AM PST by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: Syncro

...just cruzing and...


4 posted on 01/17/2024 2:26:10 AM PST by Syncro (God is Good--Facts is Facts)
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To: Syncro

Mass-holes......................


5 posted on 01/17/2024 2:26:48 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Openurmind

Probly so...

Sleep posting heh lol...


6 posted on 01/17/2024 2:27:03 AM PST by Syncro (God is Good--Facts is Facts)
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To: Syncro

There will always be one state. I expect any state within commuting distance of Washington DC to be be Haley friendly, because she is less likely to cut the federal bureaucracy.


7 posted on 01/17/2024 2:27:33 AM PST by Jonty30 (In a nuclear holocaust, there is always a point in time where the meat is cooked to perfection. )
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To: Syncro

How many of the likely Republican primary voters were Democrats a month ago?


8 posted on 01/17/2024 2:29:54 AM PST by ArcadeQuarters (You can't remove RINOs by voting for them!)
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To: Red Badger

New Hampshire-wholes...


9 posted on 01/17/2024 2:30:23 AM PST by Syncro (God is Good--Facts is Facts)
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To: ArcadeQuarters

Good point.

There is a lot of that going on.

Poll was Friday till Monday...two days ago


10 posted on 01/17/2024 2:32:48 AM PST by Syncro (God is Good--Facts is Facts)
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To: Syncro

“Pollster Mark Blumenthal reported that “It is important to note that what ARG does ... is very different from the way other pollsters ask about party ID. ARG asks about party registration in some states, party identification in others and then combines the two results into a single variable. Whatever the merits of this approach, the results will not be comparable to those of other polling organizations.”[3]

In 2004, Gallup interviewed ARG about a poor prediction (22 points adrift) in the Maryland Democratic primary and found their “likely voter” model was “based on just the one question, [which] is a relatively simple approach to classifying voters.”[4]

ARG was criticised in 2007 for only using landline respondents, which they justified by arguing that cellular phone users, who are mostly younger people, mostly “don’t vote”.[5]”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Research_Group


11 posted on 01/17/2024 2:34:17 AM PST by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: Syncro

American Research Group has a long history of being wildly off the mark. It has been called the “black sheep” of polling companies.

Probably used on landlines.


12 posted on 01/17/2024 2:36:20 AM PST by odawg
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To: Syncro

New England left the United States long ago.


13 posted on 01/17/2024 2:40:33 AM PST by Bookshelf
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To: Openurmind

who are mostly younger people, mostly “don’t vote”.[5]”

////////

Gotta watch out for them ‘mostly’ voters.


14 posted on 01/17/2024 2:40:58 AM PST by deport
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To: Jonty30

Yeah.

In Iowa, she was bragging that a correction would come in NH.

So she may have operatives embedded there.

The New Hampshire first-in-the-nation primary will be held on Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2024.

So it’s a week away.

“On the Republican side, 22 delegates to the Republican National Convention are up for grabs and will be awarded on a proportional basis”

From:

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/new-hampshire-2024-primary-when-is-it-whats-stake-2024-01-16/


15 posted on 01/17/2024 2:41:04 AM PST by Syncro (God is Good--Facts is Facts)
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To: Syncro

Tiny state where the $$$ per voter is huge but the total cost to mount a campaign is doable for marginal candidates.


16 posted on 01/17/2024 2:42:27 AM PST by Andy from Chapel Hill (Wind energy windmills remove the energy from the wind, which causes global warming.)
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To: Syncro

Duh trump will win the REPUBLICAN primary and Haley will win the Democrat primary


17 posted on 01/17/2024 2:42:47 AM PST by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: Syncro

No it is absolutely good to expose these as they pop up. Thank you.

First thing we need to remember is that Haley has the CIA and Military contracted intelligence assets at her disposal. This is an election “steering” manipulation effort just like we would do in other countries to help install “our” chosen dictators for their government.

Been done many times throughout history and this is becoming extremely apparent. Just look at what they claimed about her in the Iowa elections the other day. Complete BS and psyops operation that was 100% wrong at the end of the day.


18 posted on 01/17/2024 2:42:49 AM PST by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: Openurmind

So that must be American Research Group?


19 posted on 01/17/2024 2:44:28 AM PST by Syncro (God is Good--Facts is Facts)
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To: Syncro

You saw the methodology.

Cooked poll.


20 posted on 01/17/2024 2:45:57 AM PST by mewzilla (Never give up; never surrender!)
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