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My Prediction For The 2022 Election
trfmf ^ | 10/18/22 | Chuck Ness

Posted on 11/04/2022 8:00:48 AM PDT by OneVike

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I posted this a few weeks ago, but I decided to share it again because so many FReepers thought I was crazy 2 weeks ago. Well, now everyone is talking about a massive wave, where even Soccer Moms in suburbia are breaking heavy for Republicans. (an old saying, the most dangerous place to be is between a mother and her child) Well today I believe we will win even bigger than I did 2 weeks ago. Dare I claim we could actually win 100 House seats, and possibly win 10 Senate seats? Could happen if Chuck Schumer is really in trouble with Joe Pinion. If so, then with NY is in play we can see how some Democrats in flyover states could be knocked off. Even Newsome in California is now admitting a red wave is coming.

Well throughout American history there has been events in the country were things were so precarious that the voters decided en masse to change things. Below are a few graphs I created, to give you an idea how the American voters responded to these bellwether moments. These graphs offer a glimpse at how the political landscape can change, if we the voters truly want to stop the madness we see going on with our leaders.

To get a picture of what we are facing today, I chose to focus on the 1994 mid term election, the 2010 mid term election, and the 3 elections following the Stock Market Crash of 1929. These elections give us a glimpse of how the voters reacted to events effecting their lives, which they perceived are caused of the politicians running things. I am also including the shifts in governors races along with state legislatures of "1994" and "2010", and two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election. All this to show how the voters turned their anger on politicians locally and nationally. Which we will see happening again this November.

I'll begin with the most recent election of 2010, when President Obama and the Democrats in Congress were destroying the economy while threatening to take over the healthcare industry. The result was the most devastating defeat for a political party in 78 years. It was in 1932 when Republicans lost 99 seats in the House and 11 seats in the Senate. Under Obama, the Democrats lost 64 seats in the house and 6 in the Senate. It must be stated that after the 2010 election, the Democrats defied the American voters demands, by passing Obamacare with a lame duck Congress. So after we defeat the Democrats in November, can we expect them to double down on stupid before their term is over?


Then we go back to the 1994 election which was 2 years after the Clintons won the Whitehouse, and the first time a big push was made by a political party to take control of American's health care system. This debate exacerbated the many problems voters had with the Clinton's and their allies in Congress. Which led the voters to show up in droves to make a change in 1994. In what was officially called the Ditto-Head caucus, the Republicans took control of both Houses of Congress. Other than 79th Congress of 1947-1949 and the 83rd Congress of 1953-1955, the Republicans were used to being in the minority for most of the second half of the 20th century.


Now we come to a couple elections when Republicans found themselves on the wrong end of a historic defeat.

While doing my research for relevant election cycles I realized that the anger of the voters at Republicans over the financial woes of the country just kept gaining steam as the Depression set in. People began looking to the government for help, which led to many Socialists getting elected. A similar thing we see the Democrats hoping they can create again as they try their best to duplicate the misery of the Great Depression for their political gain. Sadly, it is at times when the government becomes the most intrusive upon our lives that our misery becomes more rampant. So the people do look to the very government that put them in misery to help solve their financial woes. OH what a vicious web of dependance our leaders weave for us to be trapped by, just to satisfy their lust for power.

Following the Stock Market crash of 1929, it took 3 consecutive elections from 1930 to 1934, for the Democrats to gain a super majority of the government. In 1929 the Republicans controlled 30 Governorships to 18 for the Democrats, 53 Senate seats to 39 by Democrats, and 270 House seats to 165 by the Democrats. When the dust had settled after the 1934 election, the political landscape had changed drastically with the Democrats controlling 38 Governorships, 69 US Senate seats, and 322 House seats.

Over a four year span, the voters held the Republican Party responsible for the policies which led to all the financial woes of America. We can debate who was responsible, but regardless of what the facts are, I offer a glimpse of the results of how the American people saw things and what they did to change course. One reason it took 4 years for things to settle is that news traveled slow and many citizens were not as in tune with the election process. However, as the depression lingered, the effects it had on the mindset of Americans was quite evident by the time 1934 election was complete.


Today we are 22 days out from another election that historians will be studying for years to come. When you look at the mood of the voters, it is evident that by the time the 118th Congress is sworn in Republicans will gain both chambers. It is no longer a question of "if", but rather how big the sweep will be. In the graphs I put together, you will see that I made my predictions, and highlighted them in yellow. I am convinced the Republicans will win much bigger than many believe.


Here are just some of the ancillary evidence to take into consideration for what this election will most likely turn on.

As of today, the numbers of early voters are down historically, which means Democrats could care less. Republicans will not send in their vote by mail unless forced by law. We will crawl over broken glass to vote in person, as we did in 2022.

Independent voters are overwhelmingly telling liberal pollsters they will vote Republican.

Black men are angry at the Democrats, and even liberal polls are showing this.

Hispanic voters are the fastest growing conservative group in America. They are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Mostly because they are the biggest pro-life, pro-Christian, anti-gay, anti-Socialist demographic group in the country. They will be mostly voting Republican.

States where Democrats seldom see opposition are now confronted with many, many female voters who are telling pollsters,

"I am pro-choice, but I am voting Republican to protect my children."

Yes, those are quotes being heard time and time again across the country in strong Democrat areas.

I offer two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election, and when you consider past elections you begin to understand the ramifications this election will have on the federal, state, and all the way down to school boards and even dog catcher if anyone is running for that job.






TOPICS: FReeper Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2022midterm; greatwebsite; predictions; redwave; republican
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To: Howie66

You must also factor in Counter voter fraud and ballot tampering operations. They do exist.


61 posted on 11/04/2022 9:45:25 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: DarthVader

I guess that remains to be seen as to the effectiveness of those efforts. At this stage, I am highly skeptical.


62 posted on 11/04/2022 9:48:22 AM PDT by Howie66 (Let's Go Brandon!!)
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To: OneVike

The cheating will win it for our enemies. What then must we do?


63 posted on 11/04/2022 9:48:46 AM PDT by CletusVanDamme (I'll say it again, in the Land of the Free, use your freedom of choice!)
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To: OneVike

What are voting machines doing?


64 posted on 11/04/2022 9:50:58 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: Howie66

Not from what I see and know. It’s bigger than reported.


65 posted on 11/04/2022 9:52:33 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: Pollard

You have a date of Nov 8 but the dems have already said it will take a few days to count manufacture ballots


The 2022 midterms, like the 2020 elections, are a work in progress that will, one day, when the right ballots are found, elect somebody.


66 posted on 11/04/2022 9:53:30 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: DarthVader

I pray to God that you are correct.


67 posted on 11/04/2022 10:02:04 AM PDT by Howie66 (Let's Go Brandon!!)
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To: Howie66

I temper my optimism as I know our enemies are ruthless commies.

But with five bad cities you can steal a presidency (as we saw). Those five bad cities can only screw up the states they are in. They can’t screw up other states.

Also there are programs in place, many many volunteers (even in San Francisco we have an election integrity team and they are observing even now), and some court decisions that have helped integrity.

There will be cheating and we have a long way to go. But they can’t do as much damage this time, the toads.


68 posted on 11/04/2022 10:05:37 AM PDT by Persevero (You cannot comply your way out of tyranny. )
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To: OneVike

So God made a fighter

https://nitter.net/CaseyDeSantis/status/1588539069243473924#m

These aren’t tears. My kidneys are too close to my eyes


69 posted on 11/04/2022 10:14:03 AM PDT by combat_boots ( )
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To: Pollard

If I take manufacturing ballots into account, I think the GOP gains 30 seats in the House (233 seats) and 3 seats in the Senate.


70 posted on 11/04/2022 10:14:12 AM PDT by DMD13
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To: Howie66

“Is Ballot Tampering and Voter Fraud being factored in?”

Why do you think they are freaking out and suing in AZ over ballot drop-box watchers?

NOT going to happen again.

The difference in VA between 2020 and 2021 was that republican watchers in 2020 were at about 35% staffed, versus 110% staffing in 2021 when Republicans swept the elections.

The difference today for me is I am now a Precinct Committeemen and a Precinct Election Official.

Get involved, do NOT sit on the sidelines!

Democrats are going to get CRUSHED on Tuesday!


71 posted on 11/04/2022 10:49:17 AM PDT by Bshaw (A nefarious deceit is upon us all!)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

“I think you are spot on. A 57-58 senate would leave a smoking crater in dc.”

My prediction is Republicans have a 55 seat majority after Tuesday.

Just enough to offset the Romney-RINO effers who occupy that body.


72 posted on 11/04/2022 10:56:10 AM PDT by Bshaw (A nefarious deceit is upon us all!)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

I think that the House above 250 and the Senate above 55 Republicans starts to look like the beginnings of an extinction event for the Dems.


73 posted on 11/04/2022 11:23:28 AM PDT by T. Rustin Noone (This is exactly the same )
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To: OneVike

Chuck believes the Democrats will play by the lawful election rules. Why should they? They got away clean last time around and bragged about it. They have no opposition. Republicans seem just as happy with Democrat cheating as the Democrats are. Judges won’t touch it. What is the incentive here?


74 posted on 11/04/2022 11:24:23 AM PDT by arthurus (covfefe B)
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To: OneVike

I think we “lose” everything in Pennsylvania as it’s Democrat HQ for “most secure elections ever”. Other than that, I think (and hope) you’re right.


75 posted on 11/04/2022 11:36:49 AM PDT by SunStar (Democrats piss me off!)
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To: Red Badger
Don’t count your chickens before they cross the road....................

The Democrat Party was once for “a chicken in every pot and a car in every garage!” Now they are for a vegan patty on every plate and an electric vehicle or a dangerous and violent mass transit stop for everyone else.

76 posted on 11/04/2022 12:20:37 PM PDT by drop 50 and fire for effect ("Work relentlessly, accomplish much, remain in the background, and be more than you seem.")
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To: OneVike

I basically came to the same thing you posted 2 months ago.

Short of wholesale cheating, the Democrats are going to get slaughtered.


77 posted on 11/04/2022 12:54:39 PM PDT by packrat35 (Pelosi is only on loan to the world from Satan. Hopefully he will soon want his baby killer back)
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To: All

From Larry Sabato:

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/final-ratings-for-the-2022-election/

— Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat.

— Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats.

— Our projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 governorship.


78 posted on 11/07/2022 11:26:01 AM PST by Fury
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To: All

From Henry Olsen at EPPC:

https://twitter.com/henryolsenEPPC

- R+33 in House
- +3-4 in Senate


79 posted on 11/07/2022 11:33:34 AM PST by Fury
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