My Prediction For The 2022 Election

Throughout American history there has been events in the country were things were so precarious that the voters decided en masse to change things. Below are a few graphs I created, to give you an idea how the American voters responded to these bellwether moments. These graphs offer a glimpse at how the political landscape can change, if we the voters truly want to stop the madness we see going on with our leaders.

To get a picture of what we are facing today, I chose to focus on the 1994 mid term election, the 2010 mid term election, and the 3 elections following the Stock Market Crash of 1929. These elections give us a glimpse of how the voters reacted to events effecting their lives, which they perceived are caused of the politicians running things. I am also including the shifts in governors races along with state legislatures of "1994" and "2010", and two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election. All this to show how the voters turned their anger on politicians locally and nationally. Which we will see happening again this November.

I'll begin with the most recent election of 2010, when President Obama and the Democrats in Congress were destroying the economy while threatening to take over the healthcare industry. The result was the most devastating defeat for a political party in 78 years. It was in 1932 when Republicans lost 99 seats in the House and 11 seats in the Senate. Under Obama, the Democrats lost 64 seats in the house and 6 in the Senate. It must be stated that after the 2010 election, the Democrats defied the American voters demands, by passing Obamacare with a lame duck Congress. So after we defeat the Democrats in November, can we expect them to double down on stupid before their term is over?

Then we go back to the 1994 election which was 2 years after the Clintons won the Whitehouse, and the first time a big push was made by a political party to take control of American's health care system. This debate exacerbated the many problems voters had with the Clinton's and their allies in Congress. Which led the voters to show up in droves to make a change in 1994. In what was officially called the Ditto-Head caucus, the Republicans took control of both Houses of Congress. Other than 79th Congress of 1947-1949 and the 83rd Congress of 1953-1955, the Republicans were used to being in the minority for most of the second half of the 20th century.

Now we come to a couple elections when Republicans found themselves on the wrong end of a historic defeat.

While doing my research for relevant election cycles I realized that the anger of the voters at Republicans over the financial woes of the country just kept gaining steam as the Depression set in. People began looking to the government for help, which led to many Socialists getting elected. A similar thing we see the Democrats hoping they can create again as they try their best to duplicate the misery of the Great Depression for their political gain. Sadly, it is at times when the government becomes the most intrusive upon our lives that our misery becomes more rampant. So the people do look to the very government that put them in misery to help solve their financial woes. OH what a vicious web of dependance our leaders weave for us to be trapped by, just to satisfy their lust for power.

Following the Stock Market crash of 1929, it took 3 consecutive elections from 1930 to 1934, for the Democrats to gain a super majority of the government. In 1929 the Republicans controlled 30 Governorships to 18 for the Democrats, 53 Senate seats to 39 by Democrats, and 270 House seats to 165 by the Democrats. When the dust had settled after the 1934 election, the political landscape had changed drastically with the Democrats controlling 38 Governorships, 69 US Senate seats, and 322 House seats.

Over a four year span, the voters held the Republican Party responsible for the policies which led to all the financial woes of America. We can debate who was responsible, but regardless of what the facts are, I offer a glimpse of the results of how the American people saw things and what they did to change course. One reason it took 4 years for things to settle is that news traveled slow and many citizens were not as in tune with the election process. However, as the depression lingered, the effects it had on the mindset of Americans was quite evident by the time 1934 election was complete.

Today we are 22 days out from another election that historians will be studying for years to come. When you look at the mood of the voters, it is evident that by the time the 118th Congress is sworn in Republicans will gain both chambers. It is no longer a question of "if", but rather how big the sweep will be. In the graphs I put together, you will see that I made my predictions, and highlighted them in yellow. I am convinced the Republicans will win much bigger than many believe.

Here are just some of the ancillary evidence to take into consideration for what this election will most likely turn on.

As of today, the numbers of early voters are down historically, which means Democrats could care less. Republicans will not send in their vote by mail unless forced by law. We will crawl over broken glass to vote in person, as we did in 2022.

Independent voters are overwhelmingly telling liberal pollsters they will vote Republican.

Hispanic voters are the fastest growing conservative group in America. They are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Mostly because they are the biggest pro-life, pro-Christian, anti-gay, anti-Socialist demographic group in the country. They will be mostly voting Republican.

States where Democrats seldom see opposition are now confronted with many, many female voters who are telling pollsters,

Yes, those are quotes being heard time and time again across the country in strong Democrat areas.

I offer two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election, and when you consider past elections you begin to understand the ramifications this election will have on the federal, state, and all the way down to school boards and even dog catcher if anyone is running for that job.

Which actually means that in the long run the Democrat party will eventually be dominated by leftists from big inner cities, which some of them being replaced with RINO's, which is a start in the right direction.

So where will the Marxist part of America move next?

Governing is about exercising power. Political parties are about appropriating that power to one's own purpose. The founding fathers created a government containing many checks and balances in an effort to frustrate human tendency to consolidate power in one tyrant or, on the other hand, to concede power to the mob. Political parties in America are designed to overcome the checks and balances put by the framers into the Constitution.

The peculiar architecture of the American federal system with its bicameral legislatures, tripartite "coequal" branches of government, staggered elections for various branches, Constitutional limitations of government power especially freedom of the press and speech, are designed to make government impotent in the absence of a general consensus. The purpose of political parties is to provide that consensus for its constituents' point of view, to provide a consensus about how power should be wielded across the various competing entities of government.

The American federal political system with its checks and balances means that it functions properly as a two-party system. Any successful attempt to form a third political party invariably condemns the political party from which it shoots off and to which it is most closely ideologically aligned to oblivion. Since it is human nature to entertain incessant arguments over the proper application of political power, political parties in America have developed a survival mechanism, they co-opt the principle grievances of the splinter group and make the dissidents' platform their own. This has been the history of political parties in America since the beginning. When a new ideology becomes popular, one party or the other seeks to absorb it.

If the party misjudges the public mood and embraces a splinter ideology in an effort to co-opt when that ideology is too radical to be palatable to the general public, the party loses the next election because it moves out of the mainstream. If the party misjudges the other way and declines to co-opt a movement which happens to be of sufficient strength, the party loses the next election because it has fractured its base. If a party attempts to absorb views of the other party, or approaching that of the other party, it risks losing the next election by alienating its own base. If it fails to absorb views approaching the ideology of the other party, it risks losing the next election by isolating itself to its own base.

Political parties are eternally faced with the same dilemma: should the party dilute its core message to attract less ideologically motivated voters or should it confine itself to a pure message and energize its core constituents? In attempting to solve these tensions, political parties are like amoebas or yeasts, everlastingly dividing or growing.

Our recent history since 2016 illustrates the principle of absorption by a political party of a constituent group. Donald Trump recognized that an entire class, are blue-collar middle-class, have been worse than neglected, they had been actually exploited by both parties and the administrative state. So Trump led the Republican Party in absorbing this voting block.

The Democrats on the other hand, broadly but not inaccurately, can be characterized as a top and bottom party, that is, the party of the very rich, the elitists at one end of the economic, cultural and intellectual spectrum, and the other end of the spectrum in the inner cities, mostly black and intellectually subservient to the elites who provide them with economic benefits out of the federal treasury (or, equally, out of the treasuries capacity to borrow). The Democrats did not seek to absorb as political historian might have predicted, the blue-collar working class, simply because the elite Strada of the party had been utterly captured by the concept of climate change and because of "elite capture", of which more later.

The elite Strada of the Democrat party co-opted most of American institutions that shape the electorate on its behalf: the media, entertainment, and academia down through kindergarten which by a remarkable and clever application of these institutions garnered enough of the suburban females vote to carry the day for Democrats on the national level and for many state elections. This combination persisted successfully until it is confronted by economic and social dislocations which now rupture that combination which make up the vote winning Democrat party.

As the United States and the world move into increasingly grave economic conditions, the interests of the lower working class and those of the unalterably focused elites to anti-energy policies cannot be papered over much less reconciled.

Either the Democrat party will move to absorb the disenfranchised middle-class by advancing its populist interests thus alienating its elites or it will fail to do so and badly lose upcoming elections.

Perhaps even a more challenging absorption problem presents itself to both parties. The challenges posed by the fact that the Chinese Communist Party has subverted and compromised by a process styled "elite capture" every vital American institution, including both political parties, to the point that our ability to self govern as well as our national security are imperiled.

Only one party, the Republican Party, has addressed this problem, however inadequately. The difficulty for the parties is that the Chinese control the institutions that provide the money which is the mother's milk of politics. Until this problem is solved, the capacity of either political party to address the needs of the working middle-class, to undertake prudent national security measures or purge themselves and our deep state of corruption simply cannot prevail.

Since the Democrats are more dependent on Chinese largess as a funding source for campaigns and even for personal grifting, that party is unlikely to take the steps necessary to purge itself of Chinese influence. The Republicans, on the other hand, are marginally better positioned to act as Patriots.

So the real test for the future of representative government in America is will either party purge itself of the "elite capture" that dominates so much and determines our future? This is a problem for both parties that cannot be ignored because the needs of the middle class cannot be addressed without breaking rice bowls that have funded this elite capture that is crippling America. Eventually, one party or the other will be forced to righteousness or the country will succumb.

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