Posted on 10/18/2022 5:14:21 PM PDT by OneVike
Throughout American history there has been events in the country were things were so precarious that the voters decided en masse to change things. Below are a few graphs I created, to give you an idea how the American voters responded to these bellwether moments. These graphs offer a glimpse at how the political landscape can change, if we the voters truly want to stop the madness we see going on with our leaders.
To get a picture of what we are facing today, I chose to focus on the 1994 mid term election, the 2010 mid term election, and the 3 elections following the Stock Market Crash of 1929. These elections give us a glimpse of how the voters reacted to events effecting their lives, which they perceived are caused of the politicians running things. I am also including the shifts in governors races along with state legislatures of "1994" and "2010", and two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election. All this to show how the voters turned their anger on politicians locally and nationally. Which we will see happening again this November.
I'll begin with the most recent election of 2010, when President Obama and the Democrats in Congress were destroying the economy while threatening to take over the healthcare industry. The result was the most devastating defeat for a political party in 78 years. It was in 1932 when Republicans lost 99 seats in the House and 11 seats in the Senate. Under Obama, the Democrats lost 64 seats in the house and 6 in the Senate. It must be stated that after the 2010 election, the Democrats defied the American voters demands, by passing Obamacare with a lame duck Congress. So after we defeat the Democrats in November, can we expect them to double down on stupid before their term is over?
Then we go back to the 1994 election which was 2 years after the Clintons won the Whitehouse, and the first time a big push was made by a political party to take control of American's health care system. This debate exacerbated the many problems voters had with the Clinton's and their allies in Congress. Which led the voters to show up in droves to make a change in 1994. In what was officially called the Ditto-Head caucus, the Republicans took control of both Houses of Congress. Other than 79th Congress of 1947-1949 and the 83rd Congress of 1953-1955, the Republicans were used to being in the minority for most of the second half of the 20th century. 
Now we come to a couple elections when Republicans found themselves on the wrong end of a historic defeat.
While doing my research for relevant election cycles I realized that the anger of the voters at Republicans over the financial woes of the country just kept gaining steam as the Depression set in. People began looking to the government for help, which led to many Socialists getting elected. A similar thing we see the Democrats hoping they can create again as they try their best to duplicate the misery of the Great Depression for their political gain. Sadly, it is at times when the government becomes the most intrusive upon our lives that our misery becomes more rampant. So the people do look to the very government that put them in misery to help solve their financial woes. OH what a vicious web of dependance our leaders weave for us to be trapped by, just to satisfy their lust for power.
Following the Stock Market crash of 1929, it took 3 consecutive elections from 1930 to 1934, for the Democrats to gain a super majority of the government. In 1929 the Republicans controlled 30 Governorships to 18 for the Democrats, 53 Senate seats to 39 by Democrats, and 270 House seats to 165 by the Democrats. When the dust had settled after the 1934 election, the political landscape had changed drastically with the Democrats controlling 38 Governorships, 69 US Senate seats, and 322 House seats.
Over a four year span, the voters held the Republican Party responsible for the policies which led to all the financial woes of America. We can debate who was responsible, but regardless of what the facts are, I offer a glimpse of the results of how the American people saw things and what they did to change course. One reason it took 4 years for things to settle is that news traveled slow and many citizens were not as in tune with the election process. However, as the depression lingered, the effects it had on the mindset of Americans was quite evident by the time 1934 election was complete.
Today we are 22 days out from another election that historians will be studying for years to come. When you look at the mood of the voters, it is evident that by the time the 118th Congress is sworn in Republicans will gain both chambers. It is no longer a question of "if", but rather how big the sweep will be. In the graphs I put together, you will see that I made my predictions, and highlighted them in yellow. I am convinced the Republicans will win much bigger than many believe. 
Here are just some of the ancillary evidence to take into consideration for what this election will most likely turn on.
As of today, the numbers of early voters are down historically, which means Democrats could care less. Republicans will not send in their vote by mail unless forced by law. We will crawl over broken glass to vote in person, as we did in 2022.
Independent voters are overwhelmingly telling liberal pollsters they will vote Republican.
Black men are angry at the Democrats, and even liberal polls are showing this.
Hispanic voters are the fastest growing conservative group in America. They are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Mostly because they are the biggest pro-life, pro-Christian, anti-gay, anti-Socialist demographic group in the country. They will be mostly voting Republican.
States where Democrats seldom see opposition are now confronted with many, many female voters who are telling pollsters,
"I am pro-choice, but I am voting Republican to protect my children."
Yes, those are quotes being heard time and time again across the country in strong Democrat areas.
I offer two maps to help you see how the states are looking in this election, and when you consider past elections you begin to understand the ramifications this election will have on the federal, state, and all the way down to school boards and even dog catcher if anyone is running for that job.
Thanks. Excellent. Not really something I think about, but when seeing those predicted gains it jumped into my head. I’ll have to do some reading and edjumacate myself now.
The independents determine the outcome of most (honest) elections. The polls I am seeing show independents going for Republicans.
Unless fraud is greatly attenuated, it won’t matter. I’ve heard that Trump actually won California in ‘20.
Would not shock me but then again we know Gavin Newsom did not win the recall election they stole that one also
These are absolutely run the table figures/results.
But I have 56 Republican senators on my list as well.
Quite possible given the last midterms under Democrat presidents.
Republicans gained 9 seats in 2014.
GOP will take congress...235-240 seats at the very best.
As for the senate...51 seats at best.
Unless Nuclear War hits and Bidet calls for Martial Law and Emergency Powers - thus halting the elections.
Never underestimate these evils sons of satan.
And, of course, the Dominion Voting machines will have their vote as well...
The rats are gonna steal the same states they stole in ‘20
Those using 1994, 2010 or 2014 (all glorious midterms for the GOP) as models — especially TURNOUT models — for 2022, are living foolishly in the too-distant past.
The massively increased early voting, drop boxes, mail-in voting, etc. which exists today makes those good old days totally irrelevant. And then there’s the massively increased fraud which goes with all that, which hasn’t been addressed nearly enough in critical places (but, but muh 2021 elections in Virginia!!!).
The correct midterm turnout model for 2022 is 2018, and not 1994, 2010 or 2014. Increased turnout results in an increased number of uninformed, ignorant, easily emotionally manipulated idiots casting ballots — and that obviously heavily favors Democrats just like it did in 2018 and 2020 no matter how much we talk about “broken glass Republicans”, “enthusiasm gaps” favoring Republicans (like the experts assured us would occur in 2020, then it didn’t happen).
But hey, if we win ALL the close ones....!
Governor:
R->D flips: Maryland and Massachusetts for sure. Oklahoma of all places is looking much worse than expected. Arizona would be great for Kari Lake hold but that outcome is far from certain. Katie’s people count the votes.
D->R flips: Oregon maybe, Wisconsin and Nevada possibly, there’s supposedly a good chance in Kansas. Pipe dream flips (as in “put down the crack pipe”): Minnesota, Michigan, Maine, New Mexico, Colorado, New York, Pennsylvania. It would take a 1994-style landslide for much, if any, of that to happen.
Senator:
Maybe we hold PA, but don’t bet the farm on it. Best (only real) pickup chances: Georgia and Nevada. Keep dreaming: Arizona, Colorado, Washington, New Hampshire. Tossups in North Carolina, Wisconsin. If things go REALLY bad then one or more of Iowa, Ohio and Utah are in play. Bonus: if Tshibaka can beat Murkowski in Alaska that’s as good as a pickup from a Democrat.
State Houses: Democrat gerrymanders could easily give the Rats full control in Minnesota and Michigan. PA House is a tossup at best in 2022 with the GOP poised to lose about a dozen seats and therefore lose control. Republicans will make pickups in seats in many state legislatures which they already control. What state Houses or Senates are realistically likely to flip the right way? Any?
I'm with you, sort of.
I'll go with WWIII, and thus 'preventing' any 'Rat blowout.
Too much is ramping up in Ukraine, Taiwan, with BRICS+, inflation/economy, supply chain, and on and on.
I think they’ve been stealing California for decades.
Gov: R+1 to 29-21 US Senate: R 0, remains 50-50, Dems keep control US House: R + 20 to 233-205
Thank you! :-)
Let’s take the advice of the main stream media. They say that at most there are four Senate seats at play: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, and Nevada. Ohio will prove not to be that close since Trump beat Biden by 8 points in 2020. Arizona could be the fifth close senate race. So these five Senate seats are currently held by 2 Republicans and 3 Democrats. At most the Republicans will gain 3 seats to have a 53-47 majority. I think you are being too optimistic.
“Unless Nuclear War hits and Bidet calls for Martial Law and Emergency Powers - thus halting the elections.
Never underestimate these evils sons of satan.”
I’ve been saying this too.
My prediction is that this is the year “Hispanics” fall out of favor with the democrats. They’ll be labeled “Christian Nationalists” “Adjacent White Supremacists” and “Brown White Supremacists” when the demographics are finished.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.