Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

North Carolina U.S. Senate Race Too Close to Call
https://www.johnlocke.org ^ | Sept 29, 2022

Posted on 09/29/2022 10:50:19 PM PDT by 11th_VA

RALEIGH – The U.S. Senate race in between candidates Ted Budd (R) and Cheri Beasley (D) is in a statistical tie according to a late September Civitas Poll. The results show Beasley garnering 44% support from likely voters and Budd receiving 43.7%. Of those who plan to vote for Budd or Beasley, 60% of men are likely to vote for Budd, and 59% of women are voting for Beasley. With less than six weeks to go, one-in-ten voters remain undecided.

“This race to replace Senator Richard Burr continues to be a nail-biter as we hit the 40-day mark until November 8,” said John Locke Foundation President Donald Bryson. “The general election outcomes are likely to be determined by the ten to fifteen percent of North Carolinians who remain undecided. With less than three weeks until the polls open for early voting, we can expect to see a further ramp-up of the political ad dollars being spent in our state.”

The generic ballots for state legislature and U.S. Congress are tightening up as well. At the state legislature, the generic Republican candidate (46.6%) is slightly edging out support for the generic Democratic candidate (44.5%). The generic U.S. Congressional race came in with a wider margin – 47.5% and 44.2% – for Republicans and Democrats, respectively.

“For Republicans to hold a lead, even a small one, on the generic ballots is bound to make Democratic strategists uneasy, but Congressman Budd is still polling behind the generic Republican” continued Bryson.

With the balance of power at stake at North Carolina’s State Supreme Court, the sizable gap between the Republican and Democratic candidates is stark. Republican candidate Richard Dietz leads Democratic candidate Lucy Inman by four percentage points, and Republican Trey Allen leads Democrat Sam J. Ervin (incumbent) by 7.1 percentage points…

(Excerpt) Read more at johnlocke.org ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-22 next last

1 posted on 09/29/2022 10:50:19 PM PDT by 11th_VA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA
It shouldn't be this close. But all the notherners who have moved in are starting to queer the elections. Fouled their old nest, and now have moved on to foul another.

2 posted on 09/29/2022 10:53:03 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (LORD, grant thy people grace to withstand the temptations of the world, the flesh, and the devil.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Every race is portrayed as close. If it were a Democrat year, the Dems would lead by 5-7. In Republican years they tell us Democrats barely lead everywhere, and usually by two.


3 posted on 09/29/2022 10:59:19 PM PDT by Luke21
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Luke21

Truth! I’m knocking on being an old girl. If you pay attention and are engaged, there is definitely a pattern. DC, I would think is over 90% liberal bordering extreme leftist. Media knows how to work it. They are the “other” branch of liberal government. It will never change or be cleaned up. Just like Congress.


4 posted on 09/29/2022 11:16:05 PM PDT by PeachyKeen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Strange how all races are too close to call. It reminds me of all the news media repeating the same lines


5 posted on 09/29/2022 11:51:10 PM PDT by roving ( Pronouns- libs/suk)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: roving

Got to keep it that way for the end game cheat


6 posted on 09/30/2022 12:11:02 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: PeachyKeen

Those of us that have been around a while have seen this again and again. In 1994, they told us it was impossible for the GOP to ever win control of Congress. And those on our side agreed with them, but we knew Clinton was unpopular and the Perot voters felt misled. Ross did his own radio show that fall to boost the GOP.

The media lies. That’s the one consistent.


7 posted on 09/30/2022 12:25:51 AM PDT by Luke21
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Both have impressive credentials. This will be a tough battle but I think Budd wins this one because a lot of people are motivated to stick it to the DNC.

Beasley for her part, presided as the Chief Justice of the NC Supreme Court during the the time Gov Cooper ran roughshod over the NC Constitution during the Clot Shot lockdowns.


8 posted on 09/30/2022 1:19:59 AM PDT by Salvavida (“Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I’m not sure about the former.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Salvavida

Richard Baris took apart this poll yesterday; he believes Budd is ahead by 4-5 points. The registration trends in NC are much in the Rs favor.


9 posted on 09/30/2022 3:24:39 AM PDT by laconic
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Governor Dinwiddie

NC is now 18.7% “hispanic”.

Considering that it was maybe 0.1% “hispanic” in 1970, you really dont have to look much further to figure out why Leftists are even remotely competitive there now.

The state is only 12.4% black. Without the hispanics, there would be virtually no statewide Denocrat bias.

Mass immigration has consequences.


10 posted on 09/30/2022 3:39:51 AM PDT by Regulator (It's fraud, Jim)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Sure it is. Ha ha ha go away.

Which issue - just one - any one - do the rodents support that likely voters support?

Pick one

Download this list of issues WE know Likely voters care about.

Cut and print this list to use in YOUR WAR to save OUR freedom.

1 Energy Policy 87% Concerned, 54% very concerned.

2 Violent Crime 86% Concerned, 61% very concerned.

3 High Gas Prices 86% Concerned, 57% very concerned.

4 Inflation 85% Concerned, 57% very concerned.

5 The Economy 84% Concerned, 55% very concerned.

6 Election Integrity 80% Concerned, 59% very concerned.

7 School Issues 76% Concerned, 58% very concerned.

8 Election Cheating 75% Concerned, 60% very concerned.

9 Illegal immigration 73% Concerned, 45% very concerned.

10 Abortion Rights 70% Concerned, 50% very concerned.

N.B.

Do Not be afraid of the abortion issue.

A survey report just issued by Trafalgar has very encouraging

…numbers that points toward even abortion being a Republican winning issue.

Trafalgar presented two laws on abortion to their respondents.

They asked which one each respondent
supported.

#1 A federal law against abortions after 15 weeks except for rape, incest

… or mother’s health and it prevents states from further restricting abortions.

#2 A federal law that says abortion is a right at any time during

…pregnancy and it prevent states from adding limitations.

The results were very encouraging.

59% support Number ONE

Just 41% support Number TWO

The respondents were

Democrat/communist 39.3%

Republican 35.6%

Independent 25.1%

Men – 46.7%

Women 53.3%

Those who support number one by group:

Asians 63%

Black 41%

Hispanic 64%

White 61%

Republicans 88%

Democrat/communists 18%

Independents 61%

Trafalgar also reported women supported # ONE 53/46

Men supported number ONE 63/37

Likely voters 18 to 24 supported number ONE 55/45

Those 65 and over supported number ONE 59/41.


11 posted on 09/30/2022 3:52:48 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

LOLOLOLOL!!!!! No its not. I live here. Ted Budd will win easily.


12 posted on 09/30/2022 3:58:25 AM PDT by FLT-bird
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

The country is finished folks,anyone that could vote for a democrat really hates freedom.
This election should be a No Brainer election,like Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.


13 posted on 09/30/2022 4:12:12 AM PDT by ballplayer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Regulator
You're pretty close about that 1970 figure, but those other figures...???

As of the 2020 Census North Carolina was 10.7% Hispanic (up from 8.4% in 2020 and was nowhere near "only 12.4% black". The actual number is 20.2%.

Demographics for North Carolina

14 posted on 09/30/2022 4:50:32 AM PDT by PermaRag (We have SO many targets, and -- for now -- the means to see they get what they deserve.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Cooked poll.

Next!


15 posted on 09/30/2022 4:54:07 AM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PermaRag

You’re correct, I think the Census.gov page numbers were national numbers, it was just on the NC page. Pushing down the page they have hispanic at 10.7 as you said and “black or african american alone” at 20.5%, slightly higher (and more in line with what I thought NC was anyway).

Doesn’t change the basic point though. If you had told people in Hiawassee in 1970 that 1 in 10 people in NC in 2020 were going to be Mexican/South American/Cuban they would have laughed. Virtually no one in NC at that point in time had ever MET a “hispanic” person, much less contemplated the thought that they might be a significant group in their state.

My family were the original colonists in the Piedmont and there are probably thousands of our extended family in the Western part of NC and SC/Eastern TN to this day. Once you get out of the big cities (Tri-cities, Charlotte) and out into the hollers and the lake country, it’s still 1955 in terms of population. You don’t hear or see any Spanish ANYWHERE, and in the small towns it’s still overwhelmingly White. So even mis-reading the numbers it didn’t surprise me: my view of NC skews toward what I experience, and that was last year.

The point is this: it’s a fantasy to think that importing South Americans and their anti-Anglo “culture” which has failed spectacularly over the last 500 years is going to result in anything but a group of parasites voting to confiscate more and more from the hated “Ahn-glows”. The Miami Cubans are an exception, not the rule, and in the second and third generation, they get worse, not better. They don’t have their parents revulsion for the Castro regime, they don’t know anything about it.

For people like that to take such a large fraction of the state of NC is disgusting to the history of NC, or any other American state for that matter. And it’s because of them that the parasite party is even being talked about. The old Suthrun Democrats all switched parties in the ‘70s and the vote for economic and cultural conservatism would be lopsided 70-30 to this day were it not for the “change in demographics” which is what Invasion is merrily called today.

The fact that dishrag “Republicans” in DC think that they can make something of that merely shows what kind of bumpkins they really are, which is a disaster for America.


16 posted on 09/30/2022 5:35:44 AM PDT by Regulator (It's fraud, Jim)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: mewzilla

17 posted on 09/30/2022 6:06:26 AM PDT by WeaslesRippedMyFlesh
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

the heavily populated black parts of the state vote Democrat as a block. They are well organized.

That with too many conservatives are too lazy to get off their arses and go to the poles.


18 posted on 09/30/2022 6:25:07 AM PDT by elpadre (W )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Maybe they should hold an election or something to find out who the voters really want. (Actually, the voters would probably prefer Bill the Cat, if he were on the ballot.)


19 posted on 09/30/2022 6:36:44 AM PDT by Tax-chick (Nature, art, silence, simplicity, peace. And fungi.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

I can’t understand why any white people would ever vote for the Media-Dem Party which hates their very existence.


20 posted on 09/30/2022 6:57:17 AM PDT by euram
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-22 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson