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Inflation, and what comes next?
Yahoo Finance, AP ^ | 07/13/2022 | Alexandra Semenova

Posted on 07/13/2022 7:20:45 AM PDT by tanstaafl.72555

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To: Alberta's Child

WOW. I hope you are right. I find it very difficult to fathom how someone can posit a deflationary environment with the red hot printing press we have had running for 10 years, but everyone has a right to their opinion.

Good luck to you! Seriously.


61 posted on 07/13/2022 9:19:15 AM PDT by tanstaafl.72555
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To: DoodleDawg

The Next Great Depression.. Perhaps the greatest yet.
Markets Crash, A Run on the Banks, breakdown of social/civil order, Food shortages, fuel rationing, widespread riots and looting perpetrated by roving gangs of lawless blood thirsty heathens, etc.

Besides that everything should be copacetic.


62 posted on 07/13/2022 9:21:28 AM PDT by JerseyDvl (During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.)
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To: Alberta's Child

Ya, been there done that. I like this quote from the God Father (see below). In other words, people become lazy and complacent and stupid and forget what is important. We are at this point right now (IMHO).

God Father quote...

“These Things Gotta Happen Every 5 Years Or So, 10 Years. Helps To Get Rid Of The Bad Blood.”

Don’t get me wrong. Some good changes have happened that were once considered a waste of time and stupid. But we need a way to sort through the stupidity and sadly, hardship, helps us do that. History repeats itself.


63 posted on 07/13/2022 9:22:46 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: dhs12345

I hope that Republicans are more realistic about the world and that that will make the difference when times are tough.

*************

They won’t. There was an R congressman on Fox biz this morning who, when asked what they were going to do when they take control of the House, said “first do no harm”. What kind of prescriptive policy is that? When pressed for more specifics he couldn’t provide any.

The R’s have no plans or intentions to do anything other than play us for votes so they can have more seats. That’s all they want.


64 posted on 07/13/2022 9:23:28 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: tanstaafl.72555
1. The destruction of the U.S. dollar isn't being driven by the Fed. It's driven by the fact that Americans can't afford the standard of living we have come to expect as our God-given right, so we pretend we CAN afford it by borrowing trillions of dollars.

2. Yes, I was around in 2001-02. I'm not sure what you're describing there in particular. The Fed funds rate dropped from 6.5% at the end of 2000 to 1.0% at the end of 2003. What does this have to do with anyone losing a fortune in real estate back then?

65 posted on 07/13/2022 9:23:47 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("It's midnight in Manhattan. This is no time to get cute; it's a mad dog's promenade.")
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To: Starboard

Then we will fire them. Or maybe it won’t be important anymore. Republicans need a good kick in the ass too. Maybe more so than Democrats because “they know better.”


66 posted on 07/13/2022 9:25:09 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: JerseyDvl
The Next Great Depression.. Perhaps the greatest yet.

No, just a recession. How deep is yet to be determined.

67 posted on 07/13/2022 9:27:09 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: tanstaafl.72555
I find it very difficult to fathom how someone can posit a deflationary environment ...

We are facing a demographic disaster. There are more Americans over the age of 80 than under the age of 2. Look to Japan for a view of how the future is likely to unfold here.

Also, look at the U.S. GDP growth figures over the last 10-15 years. During the Trump administration we hit a peak around 2.9% in 2018. It was held up as an awesome performance at the time. A number like that would have been seen as a miserable failure in the 1980s.

68 posted on 07/13/2022 9:28:03 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("It's midnight in Manhattan. This is no time to get cute; it's a mad dog's promenade.")
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To: Starboard
To be fair, it makes no sense for the GOP to go out on a limb and make any promises and prognostications this early in the campaign season. We have no idea what the circumstances facing U.S. voters will be 3-4 months from now.

A lot of people forget that Newt Gingrich's epic 1994 "Contract with America" campaign strategy wasn't issued publicly until late September that year.

"First, do no harm" is a perfectly reasonable campaign strategy in July.

69 posted on 07/13/2022 9:31:19 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("It's midnight in Manhattan. This is no time to get cute; it's a mad dog's promenade.")
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To: Alberta's Child

You are poster child for why we need a new America First party to replace the GOP.


70 posted on 07/13/2022 9:32:56 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: central_va

Uh — whut?


71 posted on 07/13/2022 9:37:51 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("It's midnight in Manhattan. This is no time to get cute; it's a mad dog's promenade.")
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To: tanstaafl.72555

Patera is a good Christian woman.


72 posted on 07/13/2022 9:41:03 AM PDT by Donnafrflorida (Thru Him all things are possible.)
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To: mikelets456

“That’s when we thought to buy property in WV or KY as it’s less expensive but is at a historical high right now. Thoughts?”

What do you think much higher interest rates are going to do the price of real estate?

Right now is the worst time to buy RE. Wait until it crashes which it surely will. Keep lots of dry powder handy. Strange as it seems in an inflationary time cash may be your best asset, because in trying to fix inflation through higher interest rates all other asset classes will have to come down in price.


73 posted on 07/13/2022 9:41:16 AM PDT by aquila48 (Do not let them make you "care" ! Guilting you is how they control you. )
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To: Starboard

Another thing that we had back then... our Faith and belief in God. IMO, that will change and people will be looking for hope.


74 posted on 07/13/2022 9:43:16 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: tanstaafl.72555

Inflation, and what comes next?

Depression if things don’t pick by next year nothing is looking like a up tick gas will be the main season for the slide.

Go green go bust


75 posted on 07/13/2022 9:45:45 AM PDT by Vaduz ( )
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To: Alberta's Child
We are facing a demographic disaster.

I agree. However, I find it hard to understand how one is the most tangentially related to the other (inflation).

Also, look at the U.S. GDP growth figures over the last 10-15 years. During the Trump administration we hit a peak around 2.9% in 2018.

While I am a big fan of Trump in general, this was PRIMARILY a buzz from the tsunami of funny money that BHO's fed printed, and then choked off with regulations. Cutting taxes and regulations are great to jump start a sputtering economy but real long term health of a nation's econoomy comes ONLY from restraining government spending. Trump is a real estate speculator who takes the principles of leveraging debt in real estate deals and applies them to the nation. He did not restrain spending at all. Don't get me wrong. I love him and cannot imagine the disaster of Hildebeest in office. Just sayiing that the numbers weren't that great.

Again, demographics and inflation/deflation are not exactly joined at the hip.

If I need to be re-educated there, I am all ears.

Thanks for the interaction, btw.
76 posted on 07/13/2022 9:55:58 AM PDT by tanstaafl.72555
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To: DoodleDawg

“The COLA is determined on a yearly basis. The average CPI-W for the third calendar quarter of the most recent year a COLA was determined is compared to the average CPI-W for the third calendar quarter of the current year.“

https://www.ssa.gov/pubs/EN-05-10526.pdf


77 posted on 07/13/2022 9:59:26 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money)
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To: Alberta's Child

To be fair, it makes no sense for the GOP to go out on a limb and make any promises and prognostications this early in the campaign season. We have no idea what the circumstances facing U.S. voters will be 3-4 months from now.

************

You don’t have to worry about Republicans going out on a limb. A party that doesn’t stand for anything never commits to anything.

I do believe that we already know what issues are important to Americans. The Democrats through their failures and misguided leftist policies have clearly defined them for us. The only people who are not clear on what the country’s priorities should be is the clueless Republicans.

Saying “do no harm” is so obvious there’s no reason to really say it. Some things are just that self-evident. But to a Republican office holder I suppose it sounds profound.


78 posted on 07/13/2022 10:03:07 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

“ His point was we have to do something about fossil fuels (he already made his money) because they will destroy the climate. A LOT of people believe this. Don’t see much hope.”

Neither do I. I work in utilities…the belief that “fossil fuels” are destroying the planet is nearly universal in this field. (Anyone who actually thinks differently is cowed into silence by the desire to retain employment). Certainly, everyone I encounter in my field born after 1980 is fully on board with it.

I think it all must come crashing down into massive, unimaginable destruction and death before the brainwashing can be overcome. I think like the poster of this thread that war - probably a greater one than the planet has ever seen - will be the final result.


79 posted on 07/13/2022 10:03:10 AM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast (Make Orwell Fiction Again)
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To: Alberta's Child
Yes, I was around in 2001-02.

Paul Volcker was not president of the Fed in 2001-2002. That was Alan Greenspan. Volcker was president of the fed in 1979-1982 (and further, to 1987. This was just the period of insanely hi interest rates)
80 posted on 07/13/2022 10:04:46 AM PDT by tanstaafl.72555
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