Posted on 05/11/2022 6:40:35 PM PDT by elpadre
TOKYO – The Japanese yen’s sharp decline may be producing an unexpected loser: the US Treasury Department.
One of the most intriguing mysteries of the last three months is this: Why is Japan, the biggest foreign holder of US Treasury securities, placing so many “sell” orders? In three months, Japanese institutional managers have dumped a cool $60 billion of US paper.
Granted, that is a drop in the proverbial bucket considering Tokyo holds a $1.3 trillion stack of Washington’s IOUs. But the magnitude of the selling is getting increasingly hard to ignore.
The most plausible explanation is the yen’s 13% drop so far this year. That fall complicates the economics of loading up on US debt at a moment when US inflation is at 40-year highs. That’s despite the negligible 0.22% return investors receive on 10-year Japanese government bonds.
What if????? Something to think about. What would be Washington’s reaction??? How do we get these politicians to quit this runaway spending??? What say ye???
China has been dumping Treasuries foe years.
What if the US voided the CUSIP numbers to those bonds before they could be sold?
If countries like this start selling even a modest percentage of the treasuries they hold it will be huge for the US.
It’s always been a run on American tax payers money after the tax season…from all the countries of the world. I read that this years tax hall is the largest ever, like over 4 trillion dollar’s. It’s as though a lot of countries and politicians want a piece of this huge pile of our tax paying dollars. just sayin’
A whole lot of nothing, the Fed is in the process of winding down its balance sheet which includes 8 trillion dollars in treasures(?)
The Fed lets it happen, the Fed holds off on onloading its treasures, or the fed continues to unload.
Nice fear porn, but in reality the US dollar is the strongest currency on the planet right now, and the cash flow out of Asia into treasury bonds has China very concerned. Foreign investment in China is down 64% YoY, which is huge.
The Fed’s QT has raised the returns on bonds to levels not seen in many years, and investors are buying bonds at record pace. Central banks have their own agendas, and both the RMB and Yen are crashing against the dollar right now.
Note metals have also dropped against the dollar.
Good Post. A reality based post.
👍👍👍👍
If they dump the Treasuries, they would have to put the money somewhere else, likely with a lower yield. Ironically, the folks who they buy from might take that money and turn around and buy U.S. Trasuries!
We’re the least bad of all the major currencies, which is more than a little scary. I came to this realization 3-4 years ago from an article posted here on the subject.
What if China actually made a payment on the $1.6 billion in treasuries owed to American investors that they haven’t paid a penny on in over half a century? (By the way, that’s about how much US debt China owes.)
The #2 debt holder is the Social Insecurity system.
China owes about 8% of U.S. debt.
I’m looking for the verified stamp and the like button... Nice post.
(We’re the least bad of all the major currencies, which is more than a little scary)
That is indeed scary with nearly 200 trillion in U.S. debt and unfunded liabilities alone.
https://usdebtclock.org/index.html?taxpayer=
If they dump their US treasuries nothing will happen.
Nobody will buy them.
Because they will never, ever be paid.
Never.
If you figure it out, let me know soonest.
Uh...
They won't lose as much money than if they keep them?
Good or bad for us
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