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Climate change: 'Fifty-fifty chance' of breaching 1.5C warming limit
BBC News ^ | May 10, 2022 | By Matt McGrath

Posted on 05/10/2022 6:23:06 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

The likelihood of crossing a key global warming threshold has risen significantly, according to a new analysis.

UK Met Office researchers say that there's now around a fifty-fifty chance that the world will warm by more than 1.5C over the next five years.

The Met Office researchers predict that for any one year in the period, the likelihood of breaching the 1.5C level is around 48%, or close to 50:50.

“The basic thing that's changing is that the carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere, are slowly creeping up," said Dr Leon Hermanson from the Met Office, the lead author of the report.

"I think people are already quite concerned about climate change and it is worrying, it is showing that we continue to warm the planet and we're getting closer to this first threshold that was set in the Paris agreement - and we need to continue doing everything we can to cut the use of fossil fuels."

(Excerpt) Read more at bbc.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: globalwarming; hoax; propaganda; socialism
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1 posted on 05/10/2022 6:23:06 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Fifty-fifty is like could or may = nope


2 posted on 05/10/2022 6:24:21 AM PDT by butlerweave
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

It either will or it won’t. Therefore, it’s a fifty-fifty chance.


3 posted on 05/10/2022 6:25:06 AM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham ("God is a spirit, and man His means of walking on the earth.")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Translation: We have no idea, but just to be safe, we need your money and more restrictive rules.


4 posted on 05/10/2022 6:25:31 AM PDT by brownsfan (It's going to take real, serious, hard times to wake the American public.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

We would hit that whether there were people here or not.


5 posted on 05/10/2022 6:25:32 AM PDT by fruser1
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

according to the Climate Discussion Nexus, data have shown the world has warmed 0.2 degrees - over the last 30 years. Perfectly reasonable and within normal fluctuations.

The notion it would therefore warm 1.5 degrees in 5 years is ridiculous.


6 posted on 05/10/2022 6:28:37 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

i thought this was a certainty to happen? WHat is Al Gore going to do now?


7 posted on 05/10/2022 6:29:50 AM PDT by NicoDon
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

They are worse than Jehovah’s Witnesses when it comes to predicting the end of the world.


8 posted on 05/10/2022 6:30:07 AM PDT by Salman (It's not a "slippery slope" if it was part of the program all along. )
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To: brownsfan

You nailed it.


9 posted on 05/10/2022 6:30:54 AM PDT by rlmorel (Democrats running things is termite infestation, and the exterminator won't be here for 3 years.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Not that long ago, the limit was 2 degC.
Apparently they have hard time reaching it, so they lowered it.


10 posted on 05/10/2022 6:31:08 AM PDT by AZJeep (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O0AHQkryIIs)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

So, there’s a ‘Fifty-fifty chance’ of NOT breaching 1.5C warming limit, as well..........................


11 posted on 05/10/2022 6:31:08 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
What?
”…warm by more than 1.5C over the next five years.”
It’s always been the next 100 years. Now the temp is going to zoom up 100 years worth in only five years? Doesn’t make sense.
12 posted on 05/10/2022 6:31:15 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (Instead of criminalizing guns, we need to criminalize crimina)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
but what if after that....it starts to drop...on its own...with no damn interference.

In other words....it's one damn guess...and has been all along.

It's gone up and down since the beginning of time.

13 posted on 05/10/2022 6:31:18 AM PDT by Sacajaweau ( )
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

WE’RE ALL GOING TO DIE (in 5 years)!!!


14 posted on 05/10/2022 6:31:26 AM PDT by FroggyTheGremlim (I'll be good, I will, I will!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
We are still in the Holocene Epoch and are on a long-term cooling trend since around 6,000 BC. The odds of the Modern Warm Period ever being higher than the past few warm periods are slim to none.

Look at the graph below from the highest point of the black line 8 thousand years ago (6,000 BC) to the right. Each warm period is lower than the prior ones. Our Modern Warm Period (going on since the AD 1800's) is a big nothing burger.


15 posted on 05/10/2022 6:32:03 AM PDT by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

So it may or may not happen?

That so ‘sciencey’ it tingles.


16 posted on 05/10/2022 6:32:06 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare itself)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

It was 2 degrees c warmer than now during Roman times, and around the Viking voyages to North America.


17 posted on 05/10/2022 6:32:23 AM PDT by Thunder90 (All posts soley represent my own opinion.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

18 posted on 05/10/2022 6:32:27 AM PDT by Magnum44 (...against all enemies, foreign and domestic... )
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

Besides, I’m am FREEZING. I’ve got the heater running this morning here in Northern California. There’s been almost no spring at our North Idaho place. It was snowing on Saturday. Bring on the warming!


19 posted on 05/10/2022 6:33:51 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (Instead of criminalizing guns, we need to criminalize crimina)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Gotta love their certainty. Based on this we should spend a couple hundred trillion to fight the change.


20 posted on 05/10/2022 6:34:49 AM PDT by lurk (u)
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