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‘It’s now or never’: World’s top climate scientists issue ultimatum on critical temperature limit
https://www.cnbc.com ^ | PUBLISHED MON, APR 4 202211:02 AM | Sam Meredith

Posted on 04/04/2022 9:04:21 AM PDT by Red Badger

Key points:

“It’s now or never, if we want to limit global warming to 1.5°C,” IPCC Working Group III co-chair Jim Skea said.

The 1.5 degrees Celsius goal is the aspirational temperature threshold ascribed in the landmark 2015 Paris Agreement.

The IPCC’s latest report follows a series of mind-bending extreme weather events worldwide.

For instance, in just the last few weeks, an ice shelf the size of New York City collapsed in East Antarctica following record high temperatures and heavy rains deluged Australia’s east coast, submerging entire towns.

The IPCC has warned that about half of the world's population is now acutely vulnerable to disasters stemming from the burning of fossil fuels.

========================================================================

The fight to keep global heating under 1.5 degrees Celsius has reached “now or never” territory, according to a new report released Monday by the world’s leading climate scientists.

The highly anticipated report, delayed slightly due to last-minute disputes over the exact wording of the document, says curbing global heating to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels would require greenhouse gas emissions to peak before 2025 at the latest.

At the same time, methane, a potent greenhouse gas, would also need to be reduced by roughly one-third.

The U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said it is “almost inevitable” that humanity will briefly surpass the critical temperature threshold of 1.5 degrees in this scenario, but it could return below this level by the end of the century.

“It’s now or never, if we want to limit global warming to 1.5°C,” IPCC Working Group III co-chair Jim Skea said in a statement accompanying the report. “Without immediate and deep emissions reductions across all sectors, it will be impossible.”

The 1.5 degrees Celsius goal is the aspirational temperature threshold ascribed in the landmark 2015 Paris Agreement. It is recognized as a crucial global target because beyond this level, so-called tipping points become more likely. These are thresholds at which small changes can lead to dramatic shifts in Earth’s entire life support system.

It has been feared that Russia’s unprovoked onslaught in Ukraine may eclipse the findings, despite the fact that the report may be the last comprehensive assessment of climate science while there is still time to secure a liveable future.

We’re not talking about transition anymore. That ship has sailed — or, more like, failed to sail. Instead, the report is very much focused on transformation. Julia Steinberger

The report marks the third installment from the IPCC in less than eight months, with one additional document scheduled for later in the year. The previous volumes have assessed the causes and impacts of the climate emergency but this one focused on mitigation.

“First thing is, we’re on the wrong track,” Julia Steinberger, ecological economist and professor from Switzerland’s University of Lausanne, told CNBC via telephone. “In terms of a trajectory and also in terms of policies, we are just not on track for 1.5 or even 2 degrees.”

Steinberger, a lead author on IPCC’s latest report, described the warning that global emissions must peak by 2025 at the latest as “a bit of a bombshell” given how little time there is to prevent the worst of what the climate crisis has in store.

“We’re not talking about transition anymore. That ship has sailed — or, more like, failed to sail. Instead, the report is very much focused on transformation,” Steinberger said.

“I really think the report contains elements of a positive turn. For the first time in human history, we have the technologies available to us that allow us to live comfortable lives without consuming ginormous amounts of energy,” she added. “It’s almost the first time that we can plausibly think about pathways to get beyond the age of combustion — and wouldn’t that be exciting?”

The IPCC’s latest report follows a series of mind-bending extreme weather events worldwide. For instance, in just the last few weeks, an ice shelf the size of New York City collapsed in East Antarctica following record high temperatures and heavy rains deluged Australia’s east coast, submerging entire towns.

The catastrophic scenario prompted the largest mass youth climate strike since 2019 last month, with hundreds of thousands of environmental activists from 93 countries on all continents marching under the banner of ”#PeopleNotProfit.” The Fridays For Future movement called for climate reparations and justice.

What does the report say?

IPCC Chair Hoesung Lee said the report shows humanity is “at a crossroads,” but the tools and know-how required to limit global heating are available.

“I am encouraged by climate action being taken in many countries,” Lee said. “There are policies, regulations and market instruments that are proving effective. If these are scaled up and applied more widely and equitably, they can support deep emissions reductions and stimulate innovation.”

The U.N. climate panel has said that to keep rising global temperatures under 1.5 degrees Celsius this century, emissions from warming gases must be halved by the end of the decade.

IPCC scientists also repeated calls for a substantial reduction in fossil fuel use to curb global heating, now at 1.1 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

Reacting to the IPCC’s findings on Monday, U.S. Special Presidential Envoy for Climate John Kerry said it “represents a defining moment for our planet.”

“The stakes are clear,” Kerry said. “Complacency will be met by irreversible and unthinkable impacts from climate change.”

The report says the average annual global greenhouse gas emissions were at their highest levels in human history from 2010 through to 2019, but the rate of growth has since slowed. This has coincided with increasing evidence of climate action, but the report warns that limiting global heating to 1.5 degrees will not be possible without immediate and deep emissions reductions across all sectors.

These reductions will require major transitions in the energy sector, the report says, including a massive reduction in fossil fuel use, widespread electrification, improved energy efficiency and the use of alternative fuels — such as hydrogen.

Degrowth: Is it time to live better with less?

Cities are thought to offer significant opportunities for emissions reductions. The report says this can be achieved through lower energy consumption, electrification of transport combined with low-emission energy sources and enhanced carbon uptake and storage using nature.

“Climate change is the result of more than a century of unsustainable energy and land use, lifestyles and patterns of consumption and production,” the IPCC’s Skea said. “This report shows how taking action now can move us towards a fairer, more sustainable world.”

What is the IPCC?

The IPCC is a U.N. body of 195 member states that assesses the science related to the climate crisis on behalf of governments every few years. It is currently in its sixth assessment cycle, having published its first major report in 1990.

The first installment of the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report, published in August, focused on the physical science basis of climate change. The findings made it clear that limiting global heating to 1.5 degrees Celsius would soon be beyond reach without immediate and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.

The second major report examined climate impacts and found that about half of the world’s population is now acutely vulnerable to disasters stemming from the burning of fossil fuels. Published in late February, it warned that any further delay in concerted global action “will miss a brief and rapidly closing window to secure a livable future.”

The final part of the IPCC’s sixth assessment cycle is the so-called “Synthesis Report,” which combines the findings of each of the three previous installments. This is scheduled to be published in September.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2015; antarctica; climatechange; climatechangefraud; crisis; fearporn; globalwarming; hoax; iceshelf; ipcc; itsnowornever; johnkerry; mockcrisis; propaganda; sidebarabuse; socialism
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To: READINABLUESTATE

Don’t forget this climate hoax:

https://nypost.com/2020/01/10/the-telling-tale-of-glacier-national-parks-gone-by-2020-signs/

They removed the lying signs and hoped the peons didn’t notice....

Total slimebags of .gov.


41 posted on 04/04/2022 9:29:42 AM PDT by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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To: Red Badger

“The Coming Ice Age,”
I remember that!
.
I’m a Desert Rat so I’ve
Always got my long John’s
Close by.


42 posted on 04/04/2022 9:29:49 AM PDT by Big Red Badger (On the Other hand,,, Free Men Choose- - SLAVES OBEY)
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To: Red Badger

60years ago,it was “now or never” and we were all gonna freeze to death, today it’s the dame hysteria ,different outcome, now were,we’re all gonna spontaneously burst into flames


43 posted on 04/04/2022 9:29:54 AM PDT by Bob434
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To: Red Badger
The flood in SE Australia was man-made.

The area (Brisbane?) had a history of flooding, so a huge reservoir was built.

Because of a completely normal drought for the last few years, Australia climate experts decided that the drought would be permanent because of global warming.

Consequently, the experts decided that the water level in the reservoir should be maintained at a very high level.

After several days of torrential rain, it was necessary to open the dam because it was about to collapse.

The result - the down stream town was massively flooded.

44 posted on 04/04/2022 9:31:30 AM PDT by zeestephen
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To: READINABLUESTATE

Global Warming/Climate Change is the greatest financial scam in the history of the world. These so-called climate scientists are actually just well paid whores for the establishment. The best way to control earth’s climate is to control the output of our sun. I’ll wait until they figure out how to do that before I take them seriously.


45 posted on 04/04/2022 9:32:34 AM PDT by Rlsau1
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To: Red Badger

“What a fool believes..”


46 posted on 04/04/2022 9:32:56 AM PDT by Democrat = party of treason
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To: Bob434

Spontaneous
Human
Combustion.
.
Sure, it could happen.
/$


47 posted on 04/04/2022 9:33:07 AM PDT by Big Red Badger (On the Other hand,,, Free Men Choose- - SLAVES OBEY)
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To: Red Badger
The flood in SE Australia was man-made.

The area (Brisbane?) had a history of flooding, so a huge reservoir was built.

Because of a completely normal drought for the last few years, Australia climate experts decided that the drought would be permanent because of global warming.

Consequently, the experts decided that the water level in the reservoir should be maintained at a very high level.

After several days of torrential rain, it was necessary to open the dam because it was about to collapse.

The result - the down stream town was massively flooded.

48 posted on 04/04/2022 9:33:28 AM PDT by zeestephen
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To: blue state conservative

All you have to do is look at the barnacles and oysters on the dock pilings to see how much the tide had varied over a long period of time............


49 posted on 04/04/2022 9:35:03 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger

“Never” works for me.


50 posted on 04/04/2022 9:35:10 AM PDT by Theo (FReeping since 1998 ... drain the swamp.)
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To: Fireone

I wish congressxritters had had the guts to say thay very thing right from the start. There has been a misguided attempt,to contro,.control,. Climate for years now as nation after nation has joined and enacted policies, yet the c,image hasn’t changed one iota. We are already one of the cleanest nations on earth without competent bankrupting the nation, and still it hasn’t made even a ripple in reducing the naturally occurring climate temperature rise.

It had been found that co2 was much much higher in the past, and life thrived jusy fine. Every species today made it through the co2 levels,over 1000 ppm, and there are billions of species.

May God through man prove that the climate change hoax is just that. A massive hoax. May the climate alarmists be exposed as charlatans that they are


51 posted on 04/04/2022 9:37:02 AM PDT by Bob434
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To: Red Badger

Oh, no! We’re all going to die? (again!)


52 posted on 04/04/2022 9:40:41 AM PDT by BuchananBrigadeTrumpFan (If in doubt, it's probably sarcasm)
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To: Migraine

Meanwhile, the global warming “hiatus” is now approaching EIGHT YEARS.

Pull the other one.


53 posted on 04/04/2022 9:41:31 AM PDT by Chad C. Mulligan (qd4)
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To: wetgundog
Plants live off of C02.

The food chain is almost entirely dependent on atmospheric CO2. Why do the climate change hoaxers want to starve children?

54 posted on 04/04/2022 9:42:07 AM PDT by SKI NOW
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To: zeestephen

“Climate experts” are dangerous for children and other living things....


55 posted on 04/04/2022 9:42:19 AM PDT by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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To: Red Badger
some time in the 1980's. So over 30 years ago.

It's hard to keep up. Are the oceans drying up or are sea levels rising to infinity and beyond? LOL

56 posted on 04/04/2022 9:42:45 AM PDT by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: Red Badger

They must expect that nobody remembers them saying it’s now or never almost weekly for the last 20-30 years.


57 posted on 04/04/2022 9:46:30 AM PDT by Vision (Elections are one day. Reject "Chicago" vote harvesting. Election Reform Now. Obama is an evildoer.)
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To: Red Badger

The first thing I think of when I read this ALARMING post, is

“What if Elvis were Italian?”

I feel almost melancholy
Me vene quase ‘na malincunia

When it’s night and the sun sets
Quanno fa notte e ‘o sole se ne scenne

But in the sun
Ma n’atu sole

More beautiful today
Cchiu’ bello, oi ne’

‘Oh my sun
‘O sole mio

It’s in front of you
Sta ‘nfronte a te

‘O sun,’ O my sun
‘O sole, ‘o sole mio

It’s in front of you
Sta ‘nfronte a te

It’s in front of you
Sta ‘nfronte a te

But in the sun
Ma n’atu sole

More beautiful today
Cchiu’ bello, oi ne’


58 posted on 04/04/2022 9:47:46 AM PDT by Flash Bazbeaux
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To: Red Badger
The 1.5 degrees Celsius goal is the aspirational temperature threshold ascribed in the landmark 2015 Paris Agreement.

BFD.

59 posted on 04/04/2022 9:48:51 AM PDT by Jim Noble (Who saves the nation breaks no law)
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To: Red Badger

NOTHING humans can do will affect the global temperature by one degree or the ocean levels by one inch. Climate “scientists” are useless eaters.


60 posted on 04/04/2022 9:51:37 AM PDT by JimRed (TERM LIMITS, NOW! Militia to the border! TRUTH is the new HATE SPEECH.)
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