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The Pandemic Broke the Flu
The Atlantic, via msn ^ | 2/4/2021 | Katherine J. Wu

Posted on 02/04/2021 1:16:05 PM PST by RomanSoldier19

In November, as fall was fading, Matt Binnicker began to hunker down for a hard winter. The coronavirus had already infected an estimated 13 million people nationwide, and his team at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota, was now peering over the precipice of flu season, when every coughing, feverish patient would need not one diagnostic test, but two.

Determined to stay one step ahead, Binnicker’s lab had worked furiously to develop its own influenza test in order to amp up capacity. On December 1, the team began screening all patients with respiratory symptoms for both viruses.

In the two months since, thousands of tests have turned up positive for the coronavirus. But the tally for the flu has held constant. The lab has run 20,000 flu tests—10 times as many as it processed the season before—and zero have come back positive.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bs; coronavirus
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The lab has run 20,000 flu tests—10 times as many as it processed the season before—and zero have come back positive.


1 posted on 02/04/2021 1:16:05 PM PST by RomanSoldier19
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To: RomanSoldier19

Is it possible that the coronavirus test is picking up things that are a tiny bit of the flu? There’s no way that there have been zero confirmed cases of the flu. Maybe the test for the flu requires a massive amount of it in order to come back positive. What if they use 40 cycles (amplifications) to test for coronavirus but only 20 to test for the flu. That would explain a lot.


2 posted on 02/04/2021 1:21:04 PM PST by Freee-dame
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To: RomanSoldier19
The lab has run 20,000 flu tests—10 times as many as it processed the season before—and zero have come back positive.

Statistically impossible.

Someone is fudging the numbers.

3 posted on 02/04/2021 1:25:25 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries. )
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To: RomanSoldier19

All the COVID-19 shutdowns and prevention measures worked on the flu, even if it only marginally worked on COVID.


4 posted on 02/04/2021 1:27:29 PM PST by toast
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To: Freee-dame
"Is it possible that the coronavirus test is picking up things that are a tiny bit of the flu?"

No. The RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 triggers on the specific genetic bits that differentiate SARS-CoV-2 from all other viruses, including SARS-CoV-1. They're literally the parts of its genome that make SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 and NOT something else.

Further, Influenza and SARS-CoV-2 are radically different viruses. They're as closely related as humans are to snails. Genome size of SARS-CoV-2 is 29,903 bases. Each SARS-CoV-2 virion is 50–200 nanometres in diameter. Genome size for Influenza viruses is 10,000–14,600 bases. In other words, 1/3 to 1/2 the genome length, depending on the strain. They’re 80-120nm in diameter. The chances of confusing the two are exactly zero.

"There’s no way that there have been zero confirmed cases of the flu."

Since September 30th, there have been 524,037 flu tests in the United States with 1,276 coming up positive. There's some flu around, but it's having a very difficult time spreading this year. Most likely explanation is that since it spreads similar to how COVID-19 does but is far less contagious (R0 of 1-1.3 for Influenza vs 4.3-5.7 for latest COVID-19 variants), the control measures in place (e.g. masks and social distancing) that have had limited effect on COVID-19 have been absolutely crushing Influenza's transmission rate.

5 posted on 02/04/2021 1:43:07 PM PST by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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To: marktwain
Statistically impossible.

Someone is fudging the numbers.

Alternatively the new test is completely ineffective and worthless.

6 posted on 02/04/2021 1:44:46 PM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets (Ever notice no "champion of the working man" ever died of overwork?)
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

“There’s some flu around, but it’s having a very difficult time spreading this year”

Total BS conclusion. The conclusion is that even the flu is guessed at every year and this past year the guesses went to COVID instead. Period. End of story.


7 posted on 02/04/2021 1:44:46 PM PST by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: RomanSoldier19

There is something positive to say about the pandemic:

https://weather.com/health/cold-flu/news/2021-01-13-flu-cases-coronavirus?fbclid=IwAR16dIuXCrHstomOU3oEbEXKbHBDAp5xCG7TaohWQKW5sgDcjV8XjueVFSk


8 posted on 02/04/2021 1:46:39 PM PST by elpadre
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To: CodeToad
"The conclusion is that even the flu is guessed at every year and this past year the guesses went to COVID instead. Period. End of story."

The Influenza testing is specific to Influenza and certain flu tests provide the precise strain and lineage. The testing for SARS-CoV-2 is specific to SARS-CoV-2 and triggers on the precise genetic sequences that differentiate SARS-CoV-2 from all other viruses.

Influenza virus and SARS-CoV-2 are as similar to one another as humans and snails. They aren't even in the same phylum. There is zero chance of any testing failing to distinguish between the two. CDC guidelines state that laboratory testing must always be performed before claiming something is COVID-19 whenever it's possible to do so.

Your claims do not make sense in light of the facts.

9 posted on 02/04/2021 1:50:06 PM PST by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

Those are not the only “facts” that contribute to the discussion. Those are limited and short-sighted things you chose to support your ridiculous conclusions.


10 posted on 02/04/2021 1:52:38 PM PST by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets
Statistically impossible.

Someone is fudging the numbers.

Alternatively the new test is completely ineffective and worthless.

Yes, that is possible. It is also possible there is universal error in the processing system.

But, the fact that they have done 20,000 tests, and not one has come back positive, is a huge red flag. All tests have some percentage, however small, of false positives.

11 posted on 02/04/2021 1:53:59 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries. )
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To: CodeToad
If you have some additional information to share, please do so. But the claim that a doctor using lab testing can't tell the difference between these two organisms?

That seems unlikely.

12 posted on 02/04/2021 1:57:02 PM PST by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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To: RomanSoldier19; Freee-dame; marktwain; toast; 2aProtectsTheRest; Lonesome in Massachussets; ...
Where did the flu go | Viral interference explained
13 posted on 02/04/2021 1:58:07 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest; All
Influenza virus and SARS-CoV-2 are as similar to one another as humans and snails. They aren't even in the same phylum. There is zero chance of any testing failing to distinguish between the two.

If your claim is correct, then how is it there have been so many documented cases of false positives for SARS-CoV-2?

(Reuters) - The U.S. Food and Drug Administration said on Tuesday it is alerting clinical laboratory staff and healthcare providers that false positive results can occur with COVID-19 antigen tests.

14 posted on 02/04/2021 1:59:48 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries. )
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

Sorry, you need to learn to do research. I’m not your research librarian. That, and you really need to learn the scientific method and not jump to wild conclusions.


15 posted on 02/04/2021 2:03:17 PM PST by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Flu cases are down everywhere. That’s a good thing. What, exactly, is the benefit in denying the seriousness of Covid at this point? Covid is incredibly dangerous and we should not be opening up like its business as usual. We need to remain vigilant.


16 posted on 02/04/2021 2:04:35 PM PST by RC one (When a bunch of commies start telling you that you don't need an AR15, you really need an AR15)
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To: marktwain
"If your claim is correct, then how is it there have been so many documented cases of false positives for SARS-CoV-2?"

Two things:

  1. False positive means something caused a test to show positive in a sample that should test negative. That something can be contamination from other sources containing things that never should have been in the sample and thus are beyond the scope of the testing. For example, if I dip a test strip in a strong acid, that may trigger a positive result. Since you should never have a bunch of acid in your nasal cavity, that's beyond the scope of proper testing procedure.
  2. The linked article is about antigen tests. That's not the same as the RT-PCR test which is considered the "gold standard" and is used as part of the CDC's case definition for COVID-19. The rapid antigen tests are known to be less accurate, but they're quick and cheap. Those are the tests that gave Elon Musk contradictory results. The RT-PCR test confirmed he was actually positive.

17 posted on 02/04/2021 2:07:27 PM PST by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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To: RomanSoldier19

The only “logical” conclusion is that masks and social distancing have performed miracles in ridding the world of influenza. Unfortunately, masks and social distancing just aren’t that effective in preventing coronavirus.

Ridiculous.


18 posted on 02/04/2021 2:08:23 PM PST by ClearCase_guy ("I see you did something -- why you so racist?")
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

Your posts tend to include a lot of technical data. Would it be possible to include links to the sources of that data? I think it would help a lot of people struggling with these debates to get a better feel for what is going on.


19 posted on 02/04/2021 2:10:33 PM PST by fr_freak
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

‘The chances of confusing the two are exactly zero.’

perhaps true, but only in a sane world; we are dealing with a government-media-healthcare triumirate which is incentivized to produce covid cases to bolster its control over the populace...

or are you saying that our leaders are above such ethical manipulations, and that they would never count flu positives as covid...?


20 posted on 02/04/2021 2:11:07 PM PST by IrishBrigade
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