Posted on 11/02/2020 10:20:29 AM PST by Red Badger
resident Trump has moved three points ahead of Democrat Joe Biden in Ohio, a state that is key to Trump’s hopes of staying in the White House.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Voters in Ohio shows Trump with 48% support to Biden’s 45%. Two weeks ago, Biden was leading Trump 48% to 46%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Factor in those who haven’t made up their minds yet but are leaning toward one candidate or the other, and Trump gains another point to lead Biden 49% to 45%.
In 2016, Trump beat Democrat Hillary Clinton by eight points in Ohio, carrying nearly 52% of the state’s voters.
Sixty percent (60%) of voters in the Buckeye State have already voted this election cycle. Among these voters, Biden leads 52% to 42%. Among the remaining 40% who haven’t voted, Trump has a 57% to 34% advantage.
Ninety percent (90%) of all voters in Ohio have made up their minds whom they’re going to vote for. Trump leads 49% to 47% among this group.
Among the 95% who definitely plan to vote, the president has a 48% to 46% lead.
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The survey of 800 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted October 31-November 1, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Trump and Biden are in a near tie in Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch survey before Election Day.
Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters in Ohio rate the economy as the most important issue in the election. Twenty-five percent (25%) put the emphasis on Trump’s overall job performance, while 21% regard the coronavirus as the top concern. Other issues aren’t nearly as important as far as the state’s voters are concerned: racial justice (6%); national security (5%); public safety (4%); illegal immigration (2%) and something else (3%).
Trump wins 79% support among voters who emphasize the economy. Biden wins 61% of voters who see Trump’s job performance as most important and 79% of those who are most concerned about the coronavirus.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters in Ohio approve of the job Trump is doing, while 47% disapprove. This includes 40% who Strongly Approve and 40% who Strongly Disapprove. Trump’s job approval ratings in Ohio are comparable to what he earns nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily President Tracking Poll.
Republican Governor Mike DeWine earns 66% approval, with 26% who Strongly Approve. Just 29% disapprove of the governor’s job performance, including eleven percent (11%) who Strongly Disapprove.
More voters plan to vote in person after all as Election Day approaches, with confidence even higher that all votes will be correctly counted.
Democrats strongly agree with Biden that America is entering “a dark winter” because of the coronavirus, but other voters aren’t nearly as gloomy. Trump is more upbeat, promising a COVID-19 vaccine soon, and most voters say they’re likely to get one.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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The survey of 800 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted October 31-November 1, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Hey-Ho, way to go Ohio.
Trump wins Ohio by 10
If it’s even close in Ohio, that’s trouble. Prayers up that America hasn’t been fooled by the unprecedented lies of the media and Deep State.
I’m watching Biden yell in a parking lot and they don’t show the cars there but I don’t think there’s that many cars because when they “honk” to show their approval......I keep hearing the same horns honk. LOL!
Should NOT be legal, anywhere.
My husband and I are voting tomorrow for TRUMP! I can’t wait to go to the polls. My college age child voted absentee and also for TRUMP!!!
Do the ballots in OH have to be postmarked by Nov 3rd?
I said it over a week ago when Rasmussen was showing Biden up by 6 points that there’s no way Biden is up on Ohio. Who controls these people???
They had to bring it back to Trump by 2 so they can claim they didn’t get wrong. I don’t think they should get let off the hook like that. Coming out with face-saving last minute polls doesn’t count
Gotta see Ohio go for President Trump by nine.
I predicted as much months ago.
Trafalgar just came out:
Michigan:
Trump 48%
Biden 46%
Jorgensen (L) 2%
Ohio:
Trump 49%
Biden 44%
Jorgensen (L) 2%
Pennsylvania:
Trump 48%
Biden 46%
Jorgensen (L) 1%
My theory is that the best pollsters (e.g. Trafalgar) have built models that predict the electorate far in advance. The middle tier (e.g. Rasmussen) are adjusting their modeling assumptions to mirror early voting patterns - and thus necessarily usually swing wildly at the end. That may be what we are seeing here.
Of course you then have the polls designed just to push views to their website / TV programming (Fox, CNN) that bear little resemblance to reality.
More people have voted early in Florida than in all of 2016............
I think the people inside these polling organizations are just as biased as those in most of the press, the media, universities, and the bureaucracies. They have an agenda. I don’t care how whack it sounds, I honestly believe they sit around and ask questions like “How much of a lead should we show Biden in that will discourage Trump voters but wont be too much to make Biden voters stay home?”
Ohio may be the one place Trump underperforms his 16 numbers... but if he does I believe it will be due to DeWine’s handling of Covid. Trump will win OH far more comfortably than 3 points... but it may be down rather than up from 16
My wife and two children all voted for trump last week in Medina Ohio. I wanted to do it on Tuesday, but A) Work is busy this week and B) the lines at the election board have been hours long, spooking me and making me worried I wouldn’t get the chance.
It feels strange to have voted already, but better than missing out.
Rasmussen had Biden up yesterday in FL. If Trump wins, Rasmussen will be not be a good polling source anymore, because they only had him up a couple of times.
“Rasmussen had Biden up yesterday in FL. If Trump wins, Rasmussen will be not be a good polling source anymore, because they only had him up a couple of times.”
If they are wrong about Florida but right about the rest of the battlegrounds, I will forgive them.
And does that seem legit to you?
Nope.
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