[Coop]

And don’t forget, there are other potentially competitive House races out there. Such as OR-04 – Alek Skarlatos*. Fill us in on the details!

[Coop]

Ping

[hardspunned]

It looks like perfect GOTV weather nationally on Election Day (day 3 on map). Thank you, Lord.
https://weatherstreet.com/states/u-s-weather-forecast.htm

[MCEscherHammer]

Thanks...this looks pretty encouraging....

Would love to see SanFran Nan grudgingly hand over the gavel once again...

Let’s give Jim Jordan the gavel and really knock some heads together...

[JPJones]

If I remember correctly, over 40 GOPes retired right before the 2018 election. With that happening The Mickey Mouse Party could have taken control of the House.

It’s going to be much different this election.

[nathanbedford]

Coop, do you have any information about independents and how they might break? They are a tremendous force out there and yet as far as I know we have very little to go on respecting their impact.

Of course, my hope is that Trump has coattails enough to carry these seats along with him especially since I believe, without overwhelming evidence, that he will get the independents.

Your thoughts?

[Alberta's Child]

I don’t mind the low profile of the GOP Senate and House campaigns. This is exactly how 2016 played out.

[JeanLM]

The Democrats in Trump districts will have a problem if there is no ticket splitting. The Trump wave if there is one could do the job. People don’t usually split their ticket.

[Pollard]

It would be nice to see us get back some of those “harvested”(stolen) seats in Cali that we lost on 2018.

[Red Dog #1]

Don't forget about Amash not running for reelection.

[AZJeep]

AZ-2 (former McSally district) was always moderately Republican. Even Az-9 could be in contention, especially if AZ State students skip the vote.

[DIRTYSECRET]

Hey coop-I did the same kind of post a month ago. 17 winnable/take back seats over 17 days. I had to include the rats countering pretty boy vets/gals, something we don’t do enough of. Those things matter. Discussion was less than moderate. Another factor is the history of Republican stupidity in the selection of candidates. We’ll win big but the skeptic in me suggests we will blow more than a few.

[buckalfa]

There is an outside chance that Nancy Mace could unseat SC1 Democrat Joe Cunningham. Polls show everything from a slight Mace lead to Cunningham cruising to re-election. With the massive early voting, polls seem to be at best useless in 2020. While Mace seems to be Nikki Haley clone, a pickup is a pickup in denying Pelosi the speakership

[JayGalt]

Have you been following https://twitter.com/FloridaDude297

He has been posting polls by the House & Senate race. Each one 500 sample. His numbers are trending encouragingly for taking the house and expanding the Senate.
Today’s most encouraging:
Virginia Trump 49%, Biden 47%.

Wisconsin 3 Congressional District. Democrat Incumbent Ron Kind 47%, Republican Challenger Derrick Van Orden 47%.

Arizona 1 Congressional District. Democrat Incumbent Tom O’Halleran 46%, Republican Challenger Tiffany Shedd 48%.

Arizona 2 Congressional District. Democrat Incumbent Ann Kirkpatrick 45%, Republican Challenger Brandon Martin 48%.

Nevada 4 Congressional District. Democrat Incumbent Steven Horsford 46%, Republican Challenger Jim Marchant 46%.

Nevada 3 Congressional District. Democrat Incumbent Susie Lee 44%, Republican Challenger Daniel Rodimer 48%.

Iowa 2 Congressional District. Republican Challenger Mariannette Miller-Meeks 49%, Democrat Challenger Rita Hart 47%.

Michigan Genesee County. [Flint, Michigan] Trump 51%, Biden 44%. (In 2016, Hillary 52%, Trump 43%)
Michigan 11 Congressional District. Democrat Incumbent Haley Stevens 45%, Republican Challenger Eric Esshaki 49%.

New Hampshire US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Jeanne Shaheen 46%, Republican Challenger Corky Messner 48%.

Arizona US Senate Race. Republican Incumbent Martha McSally 50%, Democrat Challenger Mark Kelly 44%.

North Carolina US Senate Race. Republican Incumbent Thom Tillis 52%, Democrat Challenger Cal Cunningham 40%.

Iowa US Senate Race. Republican Incumbent Joni Ernst 55%, Democrat Challenger Theresa Greenfield 40%.

Michigan US Senate Race. Democrat Incumbent Gary Peters 47%, Republican Challenger John James 49%.

NATIONAL POLL. (5,000 Registered Voters Called Nationwide). Trump 51.4%, Biden 43.1%.

Wisconsin Trump 50%, Biden 45%.

Georgia Trump 55%, Biden 41%.

Pennsylvania Trump 52%, Biden 45%

Arizona Trump 49%, Biden 45%.

Florida Trump 51%, Biden 42%.

North Carolina. Trump 52%, Biden 44%.

Nevada Trump 49%, Biden 44%.

Iowa Trump 54%, Biden 41%.

Michigan Trump 50%, Biden 46%.

Florida 13 Congressional District. Democrat Incumbent Charlie Crist 46%, Republican Challenger Anna Luna 48%.

FLORIDA DUDE POLL. We project Republicans capturing the House. Republicans need to win 20 seats. Republicans will win 22 seats outright and with 37 Democrat Incumbent toss up races will probably take a total of 45 seats.

Bellweather Trumbull County, Ohio. Trump 56%, Biden 39%.

[Ravi]

Wow! Very comprehensive. Will review. Thanks.

[Fedora]

btt