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Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41. That's the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump's Midwestern sweep
Nate Cohn (NY Times) ^ | Oct 31 2020 | Nate Cohn (NY Times)

Posted on 11/01/2020 1:07:08 AM PDT by rintintin

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41. That's the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump's Midwestern sweep

See link to poll: https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1322682963402915841

(Excerpt) Read more at mobile.twitter.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: iowa; poll; polls
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1 posted on 11/01/2020 1:07:08 AM PDT by rintintin
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To: rintintin

2 posted on 11/01/2020 1:12:10 AM PDT by spokeshave (White Confederate statue kills black man......Another month of protests.... (HT to seawolf101))
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To: rintintin

The polls are finally coming clean?


3 posted on 11/01/2020 1:17:49 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: rintintin

I want to believe, I want to believe, I want to believe...
Please, God, we need this one.


4 posted on 11/01/2020 1:25:05 AM PDT by irishjuggler
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To: rintintin

Actual voting in 2016-Trump 51.2%, the Wicked Witch of Chappaqua 41.7%


5 posted on 11/01/2020 1:29:41 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (When seconds count, social workers are days away.)
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To: Paladin2

Polling organizations ‘handcuffed’ to the DNC will continue to the bitter end. I think most will clear up things on Sunday...Trump ahead by 3 points or more in 30 states minimum. Wouldn’t surprise me if Trump leads in NM, NV and Minn (win states for Hillary in 2016).

Added to this misery for Biden...probably 35-percent of Blacks and Latinos crossed the line and voted for Trump.


6 posted on 11/01/2020 1:31:32 AM PDT by pepsionice
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To: pepsionice

Who wins Del.?


7 posted on 11/01/2020 1:42:17 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Paladin2

That’s good


8 posted on 11/01/2020 1:45:15 AM PDT by gasport (Vote Democrat . . . Win stupid stuff)
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To: Paladin2

Well....Biden probably leads by 15 points there...if the bulk of polls are marginally correct.

Among crack-heads and meth-heads, it’s probably a 88 point lead.


9 posted on 11/01/2020 1:50:36 AM PDT by pepsionice
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To: Paladin2

I live in DE. Let’s put it this way, my vote hasn’t counted here since 1984.....


10 posted on 11/01/2020 1:53:08 AM PDT by Vitesse
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To: Paladin2

“ The polls are finally coming clean?”

Except for Nate Silver at 538. He’s holding his b/s line over on Twit. The Lib’s are just starting to question his polling. It’s as much fun following threads with the lib’s beginning their meltdown. We should have some choice video’s after the election!


11 posted on 11/01/2020 1:07:14 AM PST by mmanager (Lets Finish This!)
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To: mmanager

He gives Trump an 11 percent chance at winning.

Guy’s a clown.

Trump doesn’t even need PA or WI or NV or MN.

That would all be icing.

He will win FL, OH, IA, MI and NC and that’s all she wrote.


12 posted on 11/01/2020 1:12:12 AM PST by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: mmanager

Oh he’ll BS his way out of it, can’t analyze polls worth a damn but he can still please his masters at ABC.


13 posted on 11/01/2020 1:35:26 AM PST by Raymann
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To: mmanager

“ Except for Nate Silver at 538. He’s holding his b/s line over on Twit. The Lib’s are just starting to question his polling. It’s as much fun following threads with the lib’s beginning their meltdown. We should have some choice video’s after the election!”

Yes, I was following Nate’s Twitter last night when the +7 Iowa poll came out. It was hilarious. He told the Dems to relax and have a glass of wine, while he discounted every poll moving toward Trump.


14 posted on 11/01/2020 2:16:18 AM PST by CassieL (Mostly a lurker here since the Blue Dress)
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To: mmanager

11%? He needs to stop believing his own BS.


15 posted on 11/01/2020 2:29:02 AM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: rintintin
Conversation
Peoples_Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
·
6h
But CNN... you just tweeted... earlier...

We could’ve been more honest with people about our challenges. We could’ve put our hubris aside and engaged in meaningful conversation.

Ann is better than you. Than most. Now, here we are.
Quote Tweet

Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
· 11h
Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41.
That's the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump's Midwestern sweep
https://desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-president-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden/6061937002/
Show this thread
placeboDemocracy
@placeboDemocra1
·
6h
I love how Nate claims to be ‘assessing’ the whole story
Peoples_Pundit Retweeted
William Leiss
@wcleiss
Replying to
@placeboDemocra1
and
@Peoples_Pundit
The main reason they are panicking over the Selzer poll is because up until then they had a good track record of getting all the pollsters out there to stay in line and herd. Selzer said to hell with that, and now the facade is starting to crumble. Damage control is what it is.

16 posted on 11/01/2020 2:41:07 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: CassieL
Should be quite interesting to follow Silver while possible post election. The leftists who bet everything on his words are going to be...displeased.

"BRING ME NATE SILVER..."


17 posted on 11/01/2020 2:42:38 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists...Socialists...Fascists & AntiFa...Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: mmanager
@Peoples_Pundit
“High quality” means blowing three Super Tuesdays in a row and two prior general elections.

Does it hurt to hear what Vegas and overseas bookies say about you?

Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
· 9h
We're going to be getting, I'm guessing, somewhere along the lines of 5 high-quality live-caller polls of Pennsylvania by Monday night, plus I'd imagine also some of the better online stuff like YouGov.
Show this thread

18 posted on 11/01/2020 2:49:19 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: Caipirabob
@Peoples_Pundit
·
31 Oct
Riddle me this...
I was a loser in my own industry and was thrown out for being a failure.
Now I pretend to be a “guru” in another industry I know nothing about. But a whole lot of rich people fund my failures and help me cover it up...

Who am I?

Answer: Nate Silver, the biggest fraud in America right now.

19 posted on 11/01/2020 2:55:28 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

“also some of the better online stuff like YouGov”!!!

what a joke.


20 posted on 11/01/2020 2:56:35 AM PST by MAGAthon
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