Posted on 10/31/2020 7:55:18 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
Biden in the battleground state of Iowa in the final stretch of the 2020 presidential election, shows a newly-released survey.
The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll found President Trump is beating Biden 48% to 41% — a lead of seven percentage points. Three percent said they will cast their vote for someone other than the president or the Democrat nominee, while two percent said they were unsure. Five percent would not disclose their choice.
The poll’s September numbers found President Trump and Biden tied at 47 percent each, illustrating how far the former vice president’s support has dropped in recent weeks. The poll, conducted by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is comprised of 814 likely Iowa voters between October 26 and 29, and possesses a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., said while men are more likely to support Trump and women to support Biden, the gender gap has narrowed, and independents have returned to supporting the president, a group he won in 2016.
“The president is holding demographic groups that he won in Iowa four years ago, and that would give someone a certain level of comfort with their standing,” Selzer told the Des Moines Register. “There’s a consistent story in 2020 to what happened in 2016.”
In 2016, President Trump won Iowa over then-Democrat opponent Hillary Clinton by 9.4 percentage points.
President Trump will hold a campaign rally in Dubuque Sunday at 1:00 p.m. local time. It will be the the president’s second trip to the state this month. Vice President Mike Pence held a rally in Des Moines on October 29.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
of the 5 percent who won’t disclose their choice, they probably support Trump by about a 4-1 margin.
Hope that's happening everywhere!
Add in the 5% who declined to state a preference and you have a 12% lead.
Pull Joni Ernst over the finish line.
Fox news poll yesterday had Biden leading nationally by 22 among independents. This poll has Trump up 14 among independents in Iowa.
It has to tear 538 up to post a +7 Trump Poll with an A+ rating in “Swing state” 2 days before an election.
538 still has Biden winning AZ, GA and FL though he is upside down in the early voting totals, not even counting on Dem Men voting Trump by 15%.
In 2016 all over again, but the break is coming even later.
Biden Collapse in the polls has to be a headline somewhere in the MSM, right?
Have the Biden campaign and pro-Biden PAC’s been carpet bombing Iowa with ads in the last month? If so that’s really good news. I recall reading a few weeks ago that the Trump campaign was pulling back on ad spending in Iowa.
She is comfortably up in the same poll.
Georgia?
“Fox news poll yesterday had Biden leading nationally by 22 among independents. This poll has Trump up 14 among independents in Iowa.”
the FNC polls are ABSOLUTELY the worst for accuracy, even beating NBC polls for being complete nonsensical and bearing zero relationship to reality ...
“Swing state”
iowa was no more a “swing state” than texas ...
Read Nate Silvers Twitter if you can stomach it. He’s falling all over himself trying to discount polls that are moving the President’s way.
Good ....send two points up to Minnie!
I was a loser in my own industry and was thrown out for being a failure.
Now I pretend to be a “guru” in another industry I know nothing about. But a whole lot of rich people fund my failures and help me cover it up...
Who am I?
Answer: Nate Silver of 538, the biggest fraud in the polling business.
Greg Gutfield: “Nate Silver is going to be Nate Bronze on Wednesday “
So I guess Iowans were not impressed with Hunter’s edgy photo diary
That is laughable. If they say up 7 points, chances are Trump’s at least up 7 points. Wouldnt be surprised if it is more like 2016 at around 10%
Two candidates in a row who don’t campaign enough.
He won it 51% - 42% in 2016. 9 points. Things would fall right into that same margin if your prediction is true.
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