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Why Trump Has a Serious Chance of Winning. Really.
Washington Monthly ^ | October 21, 2020 | Steve Waldman

Posted on 10/25/2020 10:07:02 AM PDT by goodn'mad

Here’s the evidence that Joe Biden isn’t doing that much better than Hillary Clinton.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonmonthly.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; clickbait; montyly; polls; tds; tldr; trump; wherestheexcerpt; winning
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1 posted on 10/25/2020 10:07:02 AM PDT by goodn'mad
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To: goodn'mad

The pearl clutching continues.


2 posted on 10/25/2020 10:08:42 AM PDT by rarestia (Repeal the 17th Amendment and ratify Article the First to give the power back to the people!)
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To: goodn'mad

Fate needs to hurry up . . . we still need a video of Joey being tossed into the back of an ambulance ala 9/11/2016. That would be so AWESOME! Maybe even drop a shoe.


3 posted on 10/25/2020 10:11:28 AM PDT by Pilgrim's Progress (http://www.baptistbiblebelievers.com/BYTOPICS/tabid/335/Default.aspx D)
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To: goodn'mad
lol...

Trump will single-handedly keep afloat the likes of them and the usual[new york times, washington post, huff post, etc]

4 posted on 10/25/2020 10:12:18 AM PDT by Theoria (I should never have surrendered. I should have fought until I was the last man alive)
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To: goodn'mad

Both Biden and Hillary are absolutely dismal candidates who generate very little enthusiasm from most voters. There are two differences in this race that I think are significant:

1. Hillary did have lots of white suburban women who saw her as their champion, breaking the “glass ceiling” and thus were fervently loyal to her. There is no such group supporting Biden. I can’t picture anyone sincerely crying when Biden loses, other than maybe a few Democrat and RINO crooks fearing that they might finally have to face the music.

2. The Democrats learned a lot from their failure to steal enough votes for Hillary in 2016 and have put enormous effort into institutionalizing vote fraud through ballot harvesting and illegitimate mail-in ballots.

This election will be a contest to see which of those factors wins out.


5 posted on 10/25/2020 10:16:56 AM PDT by Junk Silver (Calling an Antifa protest "Mostly peaceful" is like saying your girlfriend is "Mostly not pregnant".)
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To: goodn'mad

Just watching Trump live in Manchester NH.

Trump is talking about the new Air Force 1 being built and he hopes to win so he can use it. He says Biden won’t appreciate it.

He should talk about the 422 trips Hunter Biden took on Air Force 2 with Joe. Make it into a joke and get lots of laughs.


6 posted on 10/25/2020 10:18:11 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings)
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To: goodn'mad
Other than the polls (and we know how accurate those were in 2016) I don't see any real signs that Biden can win. There is no enthusiasm for him, he can't get more than 30-40 people out to a rally. The mail in vote advantage in places like North Carolina and Florida evaporated as soon as early voting began and Trump voters stated coming out in droves (which I predicted all along, the only thing mail in voting did is cannibalize the democrat vote that normally would have voted early in person or on election day.) Biden is not charismatic and doesn't have anything new policy wise, he sort of just running as a caretaker President until someone younger takes over.

I just don't see him winning in any scenario (except perhaps massive fraud). But I guess we'll see in a little over a week...

7 posted on 10/25/2020 10:19:25 AM PDT by apillar
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To: goodn'mad

I’m sorry, but the RCP average is a joke. It’s an average of bad and worse polling for the most part.


8 posted on 10/25/2020 10:23:03 AM PDT by Ikemeister
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To: goodn'mad

“Here’s the evidence that Joe Biden isn’t doing that much better than Hillary Clinton”

Why would we think that Biden would do better than Hillary. Hillary had more mojo than Biden and in 2016 Trump had no record or experience in politics. Now his experience and accomplishments work in his favor.


9 posted on 10/25/2020 10:24:47 AM PDT by cymbeline
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To: Junk Silver

There are many _new_ factors in 2020 that favor President Trump in his re-election bid:

(1) The riots. They matter. Many suburbanites do not want Antifa and BLM knocking on their door—or Section 8 Housing built there.

(2) Coronavirus—Democratic voters believe it is a serious threat. Republican voters do not. It _will_ depress Democratic turnout—count on it.

(3) Censorship/doxxing/intimidation—Voters are feeling it—on the Internet, at their place of employment, and elsewhere.
They are angry and want their rights and freedom back.

(4) The Biden candidacy—this is the weakest challenger to an incumbent ever. Ever. Not even close. Young people think the senile old guy is a joke. Black men think he is a joke.

(5) The incumbency—you know all the crazy stuff they said Trump was going to do if he became President. Well, they lied. He is the incumbent and gets the benefit of the doubt with undecided voters, same as it has always been. Watch the undecideds break for Trump.

(6) Taxes—Trump has reduced them, Biden will increase them. That will bring the libertarians into the fold.


10 posted on 10/25/2020 10:24:57 AM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman.)
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To: rarestia

I don’t understand your post.

The thread title says Trump has a real chance at winning.

Are you saying dems are clutching pears?

Because based on the thread title it makes no sense to say that about Rs


11 posted on 10/25/2020 10:25:28 AM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: Theoria

>>Trump will single-handedly keep afloat the likes of them and the usual[new york times, washington post, huff post, etc]<<

Without Trump, the msm will have to relearn how to report news and not just make it up. Or at least not so blatantly.

4 years of “orange man bad” has atrophied their ability to do anything else. And the few “comedians” left will have zero material as that was 100% of their bits.


12 posted on 10/25/2020 10:26:46 AM PDT by freedumb2003 ("Do not mistake activity for achievement." - John Wooden)
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To: apillar
Other than the polls (and we know how accurate those were in 2016) I don't see any real signs that Biden can win. There is no enthusiasm for him, he can't get more than 30-40 people out to a rally.

Rally size and the enthusiasm gap both indicate a Trump victory, but the Marxist Media polls point the other way. This is a repeat of 2016. Get your containers ready to catch those Leftists' tears.

13 posted on 10/25/2020 10:28:21 AM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: goodn'mad

They seem to think Trump winning would be a bad thing. I guess you have to consider the source.


14 posted on 10/25/2020 10:28:40 AM PDT by Menehune56 ("Let them hate so long as they fear" (Oderint Dum Metuant), Lucius Accius (170 BC - 86 BC))
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To: apillar

+1000


15 posted on 10/25/2020 10:29:00 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues th the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: Junk Silver
maybe a few Democrat and RINO crooks fearing that they might finally have to face the music. <<

I think more then a few!....Do you realize the depth and width of the Swamp??.....I'm talking MSM...Hi and low Govt Officials... many in the alphabet agencies, especially in the CIA.....FBI...DOJ....Big Tech....Major banks...People from other countries..the list could go on and on....I think they will pull out all the stops to bogus this election....but that's IMHO.....But I welcome yours

16 posted on 10/25/2020 10:35:16 AM PDT by M-cubed (The MSM is now the 4th Branch of Government.....)
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To: goodn'mad

No shit, Sherlock....


17 posted on 10/25/2020 10:40:32 AM PDT by enumerated
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To: apillar

Plus they are hiding harris because she is so unlikable.

But the vote fraud is scary. If we win, we really do need to try and clean this up.

3rd world countries have more honest elections than many of our states.


18 posted on 10/25/2020 10:42:32 AM PDT by desertfreedom765
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To: goodn'mad

What a steaming pile of bs. “If the election were held today Biden would win’’. Based on what?


19 posted on 10/25/2020 10:43:15 AM PDT by jmacusa (If we're all equal how is diversity our strength?)
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To: M-cubed

You make a good point - the depth and width of the swamp is essentially everyone in Washington DC with the exception of Donald J Trump and maybe a few Republican legislators.

I would love to see a photograph of an election night auditorium full of D.C. politicians and lobbyists all bawling their eyes out like those Hillary Clinton co-eds did in 2016, but that probably won’t happen.


20 posted on 10/25/2020 10:43:47 AM PDT by Junk Silver (Calling an Antifa protest "Mostly peaceful" is like saying your girlfriend is "Mostly not pregnant".)
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