Posted on 10/05/2020 10:11:20 PM PDT by Zhang Fei
Republican state Sen. Stephanie Bice has a four-point lead over Democratic U.S. Rep. Kendra Horn in the closely watched race in the 5th Congressional District, according to a new survey from an Oklahoma City polling firm.
The survey of 500 likely voters in the district shows Bice leading Horn 49% to 45%, with 6% undecided. Bice’s lead is within the margin of error, which is 4.3%.
The poll was conducted Sept. 25-30 by Cole, Hargrave, Snodgrass and Associates. The Republican consulting firm represented David Hill in the GOP primary in the race. The firm is not involved in the general election contest, said Pat McFerron, a longtime pollster for the firm.
The poll shows President Donald Trump is ahead only by 6 percentage points in the district, which he won in 2016 by 13.4 percentage points. Trump had 49% and former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic presidential nominee, had 43% in the poll. The district includes most of Oklahoma County and Pottawatomie and Seminole counties.
National political handicappers have put the race between Bice and Horn — both of Oklahoma City — in the toss-up category.
McFerron said, “This contest will be very close. It will largely mirror the presidential contest and although there is a small amount of defining Bice that can still occur, this contest appears to be much more about motivation than persuasion.
“Given the current status of the presidential contest and the negative perception of Nancy Pelosi, Bice should be considered a favorite one month out.”
Pelosi, a California Democrat, is featured in numerous negative ads now running against Horn. The ads cite voting records in the House to portray Horn as an ally of the speaker. According to McFerron's poll, 59% of voters in Horn's district have an unfavorable opinion of Pelosi.
(Excerpt) Read more at oklahoman.com ...
Should be a certain gain and I think it is.
If it’s not we’re in big trouble.
Trump is going to kill it in rural areas this year, even more so than 2016.
If he can get his poll numbers up just a bit better in urban / suburban districts like this one, his reelection will be assured.
I have been supporting Bice financially. She came out of a contested primary runoff and is finally showing some momentum.
Is your “just a bit better” considering the margin of fraud?
Let’s flip it back ..!!!
I’m shocked that a polling firm actually shows a Republican ahead.
Tromp won by 13% in 2016. Horn won by 1.4% in 1028. Both are semi ‘lookers’. Horn either consolidates her win or we take it back.
This is an R+10 district that Trump won by about 13 points.
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