Weekly Pennsylvania Voter Registration Statistics

Pennsylvania Department of State ^ | 9/21/20 | me

[Ravi]

11/08/16:
DEMS: 4,217,456
REPS: 3,301,182
OTHERS: 1,204,339

6/02/20:
DEMS: 4,092,693
REPS: 3,290,944
OTHERS: 1,215,657

9/14/20:
DEMS: 4,130,407
REPS: 3,389,510
OTHERS: 1,250,636

9/21/20:
DEMS: 4,138,254
REPS: 3,405,240
OTHERS: 1,256,926

Change from 11/08/16 to 9/21/20:
DEMS: -79,202
REPS: +104,058
OTHERS: +52,587

Change from 9/14/20 to 9/21/20:
DEMS: +7,847
REPS: +15,730
OTHERS: +6,290

[Ravi]

Not a bad week in terms of voter registration changes in Pennsylvania. Figures don't lie but liars figure. Make sure I'm doing the former and not the latter.

[Ravi]

ping

[nwrep]

Thanks for this. Will you be posting AZ stats also?

[palmer]

Nov 08 2016 D 4,217,456, R 3,301,182, other 1,204,339
Jun 02 2020 D 4,092,693, R 3,290,944, other 1,215,657
Sep 21 2020 D 4,138,254, R 3,405,240, other 1,256,926 (851,326+405,600)

D gained 45,561 since June
R gained 114,296 since June

D lost 79,202 since Nov 2016
R gained 104,058 since Nov 2016

That's what I saw in the current spreadsheet and archive pages.

[byecomey]

Wow, that’s a lot of R’s registered since June. The I registration is way outpacing D registration too when considering the denominator, 41K I’s vs 46K D’s.

It seems PA is a closed primary state unlike NC which recently changed its system, so I’m guessing the I’s are partially the shy Trump voter effect.

I’m on pins and needles to see how the RBG effect changes VBM sign-ups.

Also regarding the RBG issue a look at this. https://news.gallup.com/poll/244709/pro-choice-pro-life-2018-demographic-tables.aspx Seems like Trump has a lot more upside than downside if he tries to push ACB.

[PermaRag]

Arizona’s current stats aren’t quite so rosy when compared to 2018 or 2016. Trending noticeably the wrong way, which is what happens when you have an open international border on side and the sewer known as California on the other.

2020 vs. 2018:

R +101,628
D +141,329
Other +30,096

2020 vs. 2016:

R +150,346
D +201,751
Other +48,651

Republicans still outnumber Democrats, for the moment, by a little less than 100,000 voters out of a total registration of nearly 4 million:

Total R: 1,389,660
Total D: 1,293,074
Total Other: 1,306,180

[lightman]

Pennsylvania Ping!

Please ping me with articles of interest.

FReepmail me to be added to the list.

[bort]

Are there particular areas of the state that stand out ? Any insights based on your examination of the data?

[convoter2016]

Thanks for the post. I trust the net change in registrations for a political party more than polls. Republicans are doing well in Pennsylvania but not so well in Arizona. I’m more worried about Arizona than Pennsylvania.

[caww]

Arizona picked up a lot of Californias moving out........they infest the voter tally.

[caww]

Unfortunately there's a lot of shenanigans going on here in Pa.

[RoseofTexas]

All that work by our side only to have those votes toppled by cheat ballots counted until Biden wins ruled by the judges! 😡

[Sacajaweau]

I always consider sabotage....I trust no one.

[SpeedyInTexas]

8000 in a week is Good. I like our odds in PA, FL, NC, TX, GA, IA, OH.

That gets us to around 267-269 (depending on NE/ME CDs).

Just need 1 more state.

[Spacetrucker]

Having lived the majority of my life here in PA, and having a passing knowledge of metropolitan areas, IMHO it’s a wide spread of demographics in the trends, not a specific area or two.

[nbenyo]

Greater Philadelphia area trending D. Harrisburg area and Allegheny county (Pittsburgh) stable. The rest of the state trending R.

[nwrep]

Thanks. It’s a tough situation. The best we can hope for is sky high turnout among the Trump voters.

[Impy]

PA dems claim these are 2016 dem Trump voters re-registering as Republicans.

[Alberta's Child]

That doesn’t seem to make any sense. If anything, I’d expect to see Republicans register as Democrats in 2020 in a state like PA. The Democrats had a contested primary this year, so Republicans had a big incentive to disrupt it.

[Impy]

I’m not saying they are right cause I don’t know but conservative voting registered democrats making it official does indeed make plenty of sense to me. Some places you see rat registration too high compared to election results, they don’t actually vote rat much, especially for President.

On the other hand, Trump won over plenty of actual rat voters in PA, if they are now locked in for him, that’s still excellent news even if it doesn’t mean he’s “gaining” votes from them.

As for switching to disrupt a primary, not everyone would even consider doing that, it may not even occur to many who aren’t online, it’s a somewhat hardcore move especially if you have any important local primaries you may be snubbing. PA primary was in June, likely would have been over by then if it been much closer. Easier to do if you are in an open primary state.

I considered voting for Bernie here in IL and the main opponent to the awful Cook Co. States Attorney. I’m glad I just voted for Trump and against the RINO Senate choice (who won). Neither rat race was very close. Bernie turnout was a myth, turns out he only did well in 2016 cause he was the only alternative to Hillary.