Posted on 09/12/2020 10:56:19 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The nineteenth named storm of the busy 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season developed off the southern Florida peninsula. The storm track forecast carries Sally across the southern FL peninsula into the Gulf of Mexico.
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Key West Radar Loop
Mobile AL Radar Loop
New Orleans Radar Loop
Buoy Obs Near Storm Track
Recon may already support hurricane strength !!
pressure dropping fast
in the 980’s now!!
Hurricane Sally Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020
1100 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT SALLY HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED
TO A HURRICANE...
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating Sally
indicate the system has rapidly strengthened to a hurricane,
with maximum sustained winds of around 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09
inches).
A Special Advisory will be issued shortly to update the intensity
forecast for Sally.
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
Location...About 130 MI ESE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
...About 165 MI SE of Biloxi MS
Max Sustained Winds...90 MPH
Moving...WNW at 7 MPH
Minimum Pressure...986 MB
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
The NHC is now expecting Sally to blow up to 100-ish mph.
via Twitter: Ryan Maue / @RyanMaue ·5m
Hurricane Sally sure is taking advantage of the optimal conditions for intensification.
Models may indeed have underestimated the rapid intensification underway.
A major hurricane not out of the question if the current strengthening phase continues for 12-18 hours.
Couple weeks ago we had just a bad storm come thru and a family member had a tree split and missed their house so close the tree leaves brushed against it. And here we had trees uprooted throughout the town....so wind is definitely as issue in all storms.
The dreaded slow forward movement provides additional time needed to strengthen, and dump torrential rains.
Sally is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).
This general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a
decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest tonight
and a northward turn sometime on Tuesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Sally will move over the north-central Gulf of Mexico
today, approach southeastern Louisiana tonight, and make landfall
in the hurricane warning area on Tuesday or Tuesday night.
Afterward, Sally is expected to move slowly north-northeastward
near the northern Gulf Coast through Wednesday.Forecaster Brown
Looks like my guess that the strong side hitting Mobile - Pensacola is more likely than when I thought it this weekend.
How many dogs do you have these days?
Updated headline and moved this to front page news
...and it’s also moving over 85 degree bathwater. Not a good combination.
Thank you! You are awe inspiring!
Here in Mobile, I was taking a little encouragement the below statement:
" Weak ridging over the southeastern United State should steer Sally slowly west- northwestward through tonight. After that time, a northwestward to northward turn is anticipated but the exact timing and location of the turn remains uncertain."
Wow, these storms really can get organized quickly. What a difference a day makes!
Sheesh.
Don’t think I can handle the Greek alphabet again...
Hurricane parties every week till November. No time to get sober...
5.56mm
That's why we call iτ the silly seαson!
α
ß
Γ
Δ
ε
as I mentioned yesterday a stronger storm means more east
12 Euro now stalls in just off the mouth of the MS river and is stronger..then creeps it NE
in 72 hours. Thursday at 7am, it’s over Mobile
ground over southern AL and FL panhandle is already rather moist due to rainfall the past couple of days
10-18 inches more possible if , maybe more if the core can move onshore
outer bands in the front right Quad will mean many hours or even days of Tornado threat for AL?FL and SW GA
Location...About 125 MI ESE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
...About 160 MI SE of Biloxi MS
Max Sustained Winds...90 MPH
Moving...WNW at 7 MPH
Minimum Pressure...986 MB
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles and Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
the good news, (wind wise) about it stalling for 48 hours is that it will eventually upwell cooler water...
This and wind shear from the west should weaken it before landfall if it does indeed stall
Max strength should be off shore and it should be weakening as it hit the coast
terrible flood wise though
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