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Hurricane Sally
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2020 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2020 10:56:19 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The nineteenth named storm of the busy 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season developed off the southern Florida peninsula. The storm track forecast carries Sally across the southern FL peninsula into the Gulf of Mexico.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

NHC Public Advisories

NHC Forecast Discussions

NWS Local Statements


Key West Radar Loop
Mobile AL Radar Loop
New Orleans Radar Loop
Buoy Obs Near Storm Track


TOPICS: Front Page News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; nautinurse; sally; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

Recon may already support hurricane strength !!

pressure dropping fast

in the 980’s now!!


121 posted on 09/14/2020 9:11:28 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: NautiNurse

Hurricane Sally Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020
1100 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT SALLY HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED
TO A HURRICANE...

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating Sally
indicate the system has rapidly strengthened to a hurricane,
with maximum sustained winds of around 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09
inches).

A Special Advisory will be issued shortly to update the intensity
forecast for Sally.

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION


LOCATION...28.6N 86.9W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


122 posted on 09/14/2020 9:26:34 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Sally Has Rapidly Strengthened to a Hurricane...
---------------------------

1130 AM CDT Update

Location...About 130 MI ESE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
...About 165 MI SE of Biloxi MS
Max Sustained Winds...90 MPH
Moving...WNW at 7 MPH
Minimum Pressure...986 MB

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

123 posted on 09/14/2020 9:37:41 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Put $5000 cash in an envelope. Mail it to yourself. If this makes you queasy, vote at the polls.)
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To: janetjanet998

The NHC is now expecting Sally to blow up to 100-ish mph.


124 posted on 09/14/2020 9:38:00 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: NautiNurse

via Twitter: Ryan Maue / @RyanMaue ·5m

Hurricane Sally sure is taking advantage of the optimal conditions for intensification.

Models may indeed have underestimated the rapid intensification underway.

A major hurricane not out of the question if the current strengthening phase continues for 12-18 hours.


125 posted on 09/14/2020 9:40:11 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: Synthesist
Wow! you were lucky! God is good!

Couple weeks ago we had just a bad storm come thru and a family member had a tree split and missed their house so close the tree leaves brushed against it. And here we had trees uprooted throughout the town....so wind is definitely as issue in all storms.

126 posted on 09/14/2020 9:50:13 AM PDT by caww
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To: alancarp
A major hurricane not out of the question if the current strengthening phase continues for 12-18 hours.

The dreaded slow forward movement provides additional time needed to strengthen, and dump torrential rains.

Sally is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).
This general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a
decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest tonight
and a northward turn sometime on Tuesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Sally will move over the north-central Gulf of Mexico
today, approach southeastern Louisiana tonight, and make landfall
in the hurricane warning area on Tuesday or Tuesday night.
Afterward, Sally is expected to move slowly north-northeastward
near the northern Gulf Coast through Wednesday.

Forecaster Brown


127 posted on 09/14/2020 9:50:56 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Put $5000 cash in an envelope. Mail it to yourself. If this makes you queasy, vote at the polls.)
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To: alancarp

Looks like my guess that the strong side hitting Mobile - Pensacola is more likely than when I thought it this weekend.


128 posted on 09/14/2020 9:51:46 AM PDT by Ingtar
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To: blam
Hoping your hatches are battened, your generator is in good working order with plenty of fuel, and your hip waders are good shape. Sally may be around long enough to sign a lease.

How many dogs do you have these days?

129 posted on 09/14/2020 10:02:20 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Put $5000 cash in an envelope. Mail it to yourself. If this makes you queasy, vote at the polls.)
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To: NautiNurse

Updated headline and moved this to front page news


130 posted on 09/14/2020 10:03:51 AM PDT by Admin Moderator
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To: NautiNurse

...and it’s also moving over 85 degree bathwater. Not a good combination.


131 posted on 09/14/2020 10:05:01 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: Admin Moderator

Thank you! You are awe inspiring!


132 posted on 09/14/2020 10:05:04 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Put $5000 cash in an envelope. Mail it to yourself. If this makes you queasy, vote at the polls.)
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To: Ingtar
"Looks like my guess that the strong side hitting Mobile - Pensacola is more likely than when I thought it this weekend."

Here in Mobile, I was taking a little encouragement the below statement:

" Weak ridging over the southeastern United State should steer Sally slowly west- northwestward through tonight. After that time, a northwestward to northward turn is anticipated but the exact timing and location of the turn remains uncertain."

133 posted on 09/14/2020 10:11:03 AM PDT by blam
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To: NautiNurse

Wow, these storms really can get organized quickly. What a difference a day makes!


134 posted on 09/14/2020 10:14:55 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!it)
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To: NautiNurse

Sheesh.

Don’t think I can handle the Greek alphabet again...

Hurricane parties every week till November. No time to get sober...

5.56mm


135 posted on 09/14/2020 10:17:09 AM PDT by M Kehoe (DRAIN THE SWAMP! Finish THE WALL!)
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To: M Kehoe
Don’t think I can handle the Greek alphabet again...
Hurricane parties every week till November. No time to get sober...
5.56mm

That's why we call iτ the silly seαson!

α
ß
Γ
Δ
ε

136 posted on 09/14/2020 10:31:28 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Put $5000 cash in an envelope. Mail it to yourself. If this makes you queasy, vote at the polls.)
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To: NautiNurse

as I mentioned yesterday a stronger storm means more east

12 Euro now stalls in just off the mouth of the MS river and is stronger..then creeps it NE

in 72 hours. Thursday at 7am, it’s over Mobile

ground over southern AL and FL panhandle is already rather moist due to rainfall the past couple of days

10-18 inches more possible if , maybe more if the core can move onshore

outer bands in the front right Quad will mean many hours or even days of Tornado threat for AL?FL and SW GA


137 posted on 09/14/2020 11:06:56 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: All
Hurricane Sally Meandering Over the North-Central Gulf of Mexico...

100 PM CDT Update

Location...About 125 MI ESE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
...About 160 MI SE of Biloxi MS
Max Sustained Winds...90 MPH
Moving...WNW at 7 MPH
Minimum Pressure...986 MB

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles and Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles

138 posted on 09/14/2020 11:16:38 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Put $5000 cash in an envelope. Mail it to yourself. If this makes you queasy, vote at the polls.)
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To: All

the good news, (wind wise) about it stalling for 48 hours is that it will eventually upwell cooler water...

This and wind shear from the west should weaken it before landfall if it does indeed stall

Max strength should be off shore and it should be weakening as it hit the coast

terrible flood wise though


139 posted on 09/14/2020 11:26:56 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: NautiNurse

140 posted on 09/14/2020 11:36:46 AM PDT by dirtboy
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