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To: NautiNurse

via Twitter: Ryan Maue / @RyanMaue ·5m

Hurricane Sally sure is taking advantage of the optimal conditions for intensification.

Models may indeed have underestimated the rapid intensification underway.

A major hurricane not out of the question if the current strengthening phase continues for 12-18 hours.


125 posted on 09/14/2020 9:40:11 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: alancarp
A major hurricane not out of the question if the current strengthening phase continues for 12-18 hours.

The dreaded slow forward movement provides additional time needed to strengthen, and dump torrential rains.

Sally is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).
This general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a
decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest tonight
and a northward turn sometime on Tuesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Sally will move over the north-central Gulf of Mexico
today, approach southeastern Louisiana tonight, and make landfall
in the hurricane warning area on Tuesday or Tuesday night.
Afterward, Sally is expected to move slowly north-northeastward
near the northern Gulf Coast through Wednesday.

Forecaster Brown


127 posted on 09/14/2020 9:50:56 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Put $5000 cash in an envelope. Mail it to yourself. If this makes you queasy, vote at the polls.)
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To: alancarp

Looks like my guess that the strong side hitting Mobile - Pensacola is more likely than when I thought it this weekend.


128 posted on 09/14/2020 9:51:46 AM PDT by Ingtar
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