Posted on 08/29/2020 8:39:16 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
After 2016, when very few polls and prediction models showed Donald Trump with any substantial chance of winning, denying their accuracy became common. Some reasons for questioning polls are valid. Any number of polls released lately are clearly suppression polls with significant oversampling of Democrats.
Despite the top-line results in these polls showing a lead for Joe Biden, some fascinating dynamics regarding enthusiasm for a candidate are not generally highlighted by the corporate media. For months Republicans have shown greater enthusiasm to vote and are more likely to be voting for Donald Trump than against Joe Biden.
Biden is getting the anti-Trump vote, which does not always work out well. Mitt Romney, John Kerry, and Walter Mondale all received a significant amount of polling support from voters who opposed the incumbent. If history is a guide, these voters are not as easy to get to the polls.
The other factor often cited is the idea of “shy Trump voters” who may not be honest with pollsters. This secret Trump vote gained some steam with a poll that asked people who their neighbors were voting for. Respondents to that poll indicated they believe in secret Trump voters in their community. These are people who do not express support outwardly but will vote for the president on Election Day.
To more accurately test the idea that voters may be untruthful with pollsters,
(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...
These concerns were more pronounced among Republicans, Independents, and Trump voters. The team is careful to say they do not characterize this as outright lying. The exception would be the small number of cases where respondents said they wished to mislead pollsters deliberately. The rest have a genuine distrust of the process in place to maintain their anonymity. Some are concerned about real-life consequences if their preference became known.
It’s not shyness! it’s actually a boiling internal rage to be released at the proper time.
Hopefully on election day will be enough...
But, if not so be it....
I don’t want my house burned down because I support Trump.
Exactly why Trump supporters don’t so polls.
I guess the Trump flag, sign, mask, hat and bumper sticker makes me a non-shy Trump supporter
Why paint a target on my back? It isn’t worth the risk to talk to “pollsters”. If I did speak to a pollster, I’d say Jill Jorgensen just to mess with the numbers. And if the Republicans served up a deep stater instead of Trump, it would even be true.
“Fear of reprisal and related detrimental impact to their financial, social, and family lives should their political opinions become publicly known.”
There it is.
Being the broken glass Trump supporter that I am, if I wore polled on the election, I would probably respond,
“If I bother to vote, I would think about voting for Biden . . . got that??”
While there we went to see a movie. When we came out some putz had taken a marker to my sticker.
Even though I live in a Red state I will not put a bumper sticker or anything political on my vehicle because of where I work.
It's urban, majority minority.
I simply don't trust the people in the building where I work. I'm really hoping WFH becomes a permanent option.
I live in a fairly conservative area in Oregon, which I’m sure voted for Trump in 2016 That year, there were VERY few Trump signs. This year there are tons more, and hardly ANY Biden signs.
Still, Oregon will go Demonrat, but NOT near as much as in 2016.
Does this include when I request that a telephone pollster join the “ménage à un” lifestyle?
I’m not shy...I just don’t want my tires slashed here in Upstate.
this^
I have never been called, but if possible, without saying a single word, I would simply hang up on their asses.
We are just waiting til Nov....
Trump has to win by 100,000 or more in each swing state or they will steal it...they were asleep in 2016....Hillary was a shoe in...
No research needed. The MSM, is backing all the fraudulent polls in an attempt to brainwash Trumpers into thinking our guy has no chance. We will win in Nov. just as we did in’16
“The other factor often cited is the idea of “shy Trump voters” who may not be honest with pollsters.”
I am Spartacus.
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