Posted on 08/28/2020 3:44:48 PM PDT by Brown Deer
In a trend that began in July, the once-slumping odds that President Trump will win reelection have risen from 36% to an average of 50-50, with some gambling sites giving him a better than even chance of winning.
Oddschecker’s Pete Watt said Friday that Trump’s odds haven’t been this positive since May 28, 92 days ago, and come on the morning after the president accepted the Republican Party’s nomination to run for a second term.
Joe Biden still has a slight edge with the gamblers, at 52%. He had a 63% chance of winning in mid-July.
“This election has ebbed and flowed in favor of Trump, with plenty of observers beginning to write him off in the past few weeks,” said the spokesman for the British betting comparison site.
“However, with Election Day now very much of the horizon and Trump officially confirmed as the Republican nominee, his campaign will be delighted at the timely comeback that is being reflected in the betting markets,” he added.
Watt said that some betting sites have Trump beating Biden. “Some oddsmakers have even cut Trump’s odds to -110, demonstrative of a 52.38% likelihood of securing a second term,” said his analysis.
I wish I had placed a bet for Trump to win in 2016. I would be retired by now.
imho any time it approaches 50/50, the incumbent has the advantage of greater power and so in theory he (or she) can initiate and orchestrate a series of current events designed to portray him or her in a favorable light.
And the odds are heavily influenced by false information from fake polls. If the real truth were known then the odds would be 98% that Trump will win.
If true this is great news. The betting world has not been kind to Trump ... plus we still have the debates.
Of course that assumes Biden screws up the debates. The bar has been lowered so much for Biden that if he breaks even it will be perceived as good news for him. Trump needs a KO.
I’m guessing that even if it’s not in his power, he will say before the election that he is going above congress’ head and sending out stimulus checks to 150m Americans..since dems don’t care about them.
that would be good for a whole bunch of votes.
of course it’s a guess and i’m likely incredibly wrong :)
Fifty percent chance the DNC vote cheating will win this time like it nearly did with gore and HilLIARy. Fifty percent chance we will be able to stop enough of the fake voting and Illegal voting and multiple voting and corrupt ballot counting And soroznazi puppet vote certification officials.
North Central Minnesota, just came back from the town about 40 miles south of home. 22 Trump signs/flags, 1 Biden. Several obvious democrat households had Tina Smith and local dem signs, but no Biden. It’s going to take more than one trunk full of ballots to keep MN from flipping this year.
Surprised the Democrat party even had signs printed up considering the low effort they have put forward so far.
The press is doing more campaigning for Biden, then Biden is doing himself.
BS,,,,,Trump by 65/35%
I see this as AT LEAST 80/20.
And I mean electoral. Chance of victory. Is 100%. Barring nothing. No possible change. Unless Biden dies or is replaced.
Depends, if mail in ballots are owned across the country, the odds would a 100 to 1.
In 2016 the bettings odds were in favor of Hillary Clinton. I wouldn’t pay too much attention when Trump was running.
The media has been overwhelmingly negative in their coverage of him since he got elected and even before that.
We have now seen the biden rallys unfolding in rat infested cities and get a glimpse of what they support and what they have always hoped for...Anarchy, denial of free speech and public shaming of anyone who opposes their "correct" views.
Many Americans are realizing this may be our republic's last chance
That’s a whole lot better than Trump’s odds in 2016. Back then, he had almost no chance.
We haven’t had a one term president for 32 years and honestly that was after 3 consecutive same party win. Trump always had the upper hand. The only thing is that the population has changed overwhelmingly.
any details to add to the last notion from your knowledge and perspective would be of interest if you have time. tia
The odds were all for Hillary by a huge margin if IRC.
I see NANCY PELOSI in campaign mode. She wants to tie up the mail in vote, and declare the national election fradulent, and ask the Democratic House to install HER as President. So it is a three way race. Biden, Trump and Pelosi.
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