Joe's very happy with them picking Harris to be his running mate.
Jill promised him an extra scoop
Posted on 08/17/2020 6:37:01 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A brand new poll from CNN, not known for favoring anything about Donald Trump or Republicans, is shocking the Biden campaign. It shows Biden’s national lead among registered voters shrinking to 4%, down from 14% in early June. Keep in mind that polling registered voters generally favors Democrats, while polling likely voters typically adds support to Republicans.
Another key point to keep in mind is that national vote totals mean nothing. Democrats pile up huge majorities in blue states that go to waste in terms of Electoral College voting. All that matters are the state-by-state elections. And as CNN’s summary of the poll concedes:
Across 15 battleground states, the survey finds Biden has the backing of 49% of registered voters, while Trump lands at 48%.
The pool of battleground states in this poll includes more that Trump carried in 2016 (10) than were won by Hillary Clinton (5), reflecting the reality that the President's campaign is more on defense than offense across the states. Taken together, though, they represent a more Republican-leaning playing field than the nation as a whole.
CNN also flags a huge shift among male voters, from an even split to a 16 point margin for Trump:
The movement in the poll among voters nationwide since June is concentrated among men (they split about evenly in June, but now 56% back Trump, 40% Biden), those between the ages of 35 and 64 (they tilt toward Trump now, but were Biden-leaning in June) and independents (in June, Biden held a 52% to 41% lead, but now it's a near even 46% Biden to 45% Trump divide).
Polling expert Richard Baehr speculates that CNN has adjusted its polling assumptions:
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Go Trump, go! Don’t let up!
there never was a lead. I believe what I am seeing in PA and California..i.e., former democrats and Hillary voters who are planning to vote Trump. I am talking typical suburban soccer moms, union guys and Cali libs.
These polls are obviously flawed. 10s of millions didn’t suddenly change their minds. After the convention they are going to want us to believe that 10s of millions more changed their mind again.
I think all the newsie polls do this. Adjust down right before the convention for the dems so they can show a huge bounce after it.
Oh it’s registered voters! Democrats are screwed.
The polls are tightening.
It seems as if polls normally show the Democrat in the lead in the summer of the election, then the polls start to tighten up.
is that because people change their minds as campaigns go on, or is it because pollsters release doctored polls early on, to try to show the Democrat is more popular than he/she really is? And thus influence the rest of us to join the “winning” side????
In any legitimate election, I think Trump wins this in a landslide, with significant coattails down ticket.
But I worry about fraud. The Dems know that cheating is their only hope, so they are really going to go Big.
Concur, there never was a lead.
All this means, basically, is Biden was never in the lead and it’s becoming so obvious even mainstream media has to make it look like he’s only a little, bit ahead. LOL!
Is he the nominee yet? Wake me when he is...
True, because traditionally, candidates get a “convention bounce” in polling right after their conventions. So the polls after the Democrats virtual convention would be expected to show Biden/Harris comfortably ahead.
Polls have been fake just like the Biden candidacy!
True enough. But there has often been a big shift in late summer, McGovern was down by 2, Dukakis was up big, even Mondale had a brief surge.
Joe's very happy with them picking Harris to be his running mate.
Jill promised him an extra scoop
Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are not who are really on the "Democrat" ticket. Big Brother is.
Look for Fox to come to the rescue with a “Biden up by 15” poll soon.
[there never was a lead. I believe what I am seeing in PA and California..i.e., former democrats and Hillary voters who are planning to vote Trump. I am talking typical suburban soccer moms, union guys and Cali libs.]
Only 2.5 months left to approach reality
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