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New Battleground Election Polls (CNBC/ChangePolls)
Twitter ^ | July 29 | PpollingNumbers

Posted on 07/29/2020 5:32:49 AM PDT by RandFan

@PpollingNumbers #NEW @CNBC/@ChangePolls

#Pennsylvania: Biden 48% (+2) Trump 46%

#Arizona: Biden 47% (+2) Trump 45%

#Florida: Biden 48% (+3) Trump 45%

#NorthCarolina: Biden 49% (+3) Trump 46%

#Michigan: Biden 46% (+4) Trump 42%

#Wisconsin: Biden 48% (+5) Trump 43%

(7/24-26)

(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: battleground; biden; changeresearch; cnbc; poll; polls; trunp
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Most of them seem to be within the margin of error so it's not disastrous as the media would have you believe...
1 posted on 07/29/2020 5:32:49 AM PDT by RandFan
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To: RandFan

>>Most of them seem to be within the margin of error so it’s not disastrous as the media would have you believe...

Yes, but how much did they oversample the Rats? 8 points? 10 points? Without knowing that these numbers are meaningless


2 posted on 07/29/2020 5:36:07 AM PDT by vikingd00d (chown -R us ~you/base)
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To: RandFan

You wonder if you can add in the “shy Trump” vote into this as well. That is, people who do not openly tell that they are going to vote Republican.


3 posted on 07/29/2020 5:37:32 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966)
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To: RandFan

Bro it’s fantastic.

Are you the last person to hear that you have to add about 5 point to Trump on polls besides maybe Rasmussen? :)

Many people will not admit they are voting for Trump.

Not on the phone and not even online.

Plus there’s usually some slant in the polling methods.

And if even neither of those are true, it’s July.

I’m guessing a sitting president has been behind many times this early only to surge at the end.


4 posted on 07/29/2020 5:38:17 AM PDT by dp0622 (Patriots: Better stand tall when they're calling you out. Don't bend, don't break, don't back down.)
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To: RandFan

What happened to the double digit Biden lead? How and more importantly why did it go away so fast and so thoroughly among all these States?


5 posted on 07/29/2020 5:38:19 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: RandFan

Given that the polls routinely under count republicans, over count democrats, these are good polls


6 posted on 07/29/2020 5:40:40 AM PDT by rstrahan
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To: vikingd00d
how much did they oversample the Rats? 8 points? 10 points

Oops--caught us red handed.

How did you know that?

You must be one of those dangerous Russian hackers destroying the integrity of our electoral process!

;-)
7 posted on 07/29/2020 5:41:03 AM PDT by cgbg (Masters don't want slaves talking about masters and slaves.)
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To: RandFan

If these polls are correct, Trump is actually in better shape than he was against Hillary in the battleground states at this point in 2016. I remember polls in Michigan had Hillary up 7% on election day...


8 posted on 07/29/2020 5:41:04 AM PDT by apillar
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To: billyboy15

the burning of most of the major cities doesn’t help one’s election chances when you side with them


9 posted on 07/29/2020 5:43:36 AM PDT by dp0622 (Patriots: Better stand tall when they're calling you out. Don't bend, don't break, don't back down.)
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To: apillar

If these polls are correct I’ll spinach AND peas AND string beans tonight.


10 posted on 07/29/2020 5:44:37 AM PDT by dp0622 (Patriots: Better stand tall when they're calling you out. Don't bend, don't break, don't back down.)
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To: dp0622

>> I’m guessing a sitting president has been behind many times this early only to surge at the end.

Truman is the best example of that.


11 posted on 07/29/2020 5:44:52 AM PDT by Lisbon1940 (No full-term Governors (at the time of election))
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To: RandFan

Not to mention the debates haven’t even started yet.

biden can’t last through one without making a mistake at this point..a big one..I think.

Early dementia makes it hard to do a 90 minute debate


12 posted on 07/29/2020 5:45:37 AM PDT by dp0622 (Patriots: Better stand tall when they're calling you out. Don't bend, don't break, don't back down.)
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To: Lisbon1940

Was he very far behind?

I read that the tank commander was like 15 points ahead of bush when he was the D pick at this point in time.


13 posted on 07/29/2020 5:47:40 AM PDT by dp0622 (Patriots: Better stand tall when they're calling you out. Don't bend, don't break, don't back down.)
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To: dp0622

They Biden campaign did a little video with Obama, supposed to be a funny job interview video. It was obviously heavily edited to make Joe look good. He still came off as not well in the head.


14 posted on 07/29/2020 5:53:39 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: rstrahan

Agree with you.. within the MoE not bad at all

Dont believe the lying media.


15 posted on 07/29/2020 5:53:42 AM PDT by RandFan (3C)
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To: PghBaldy

It’s a very hard thing to hide


16 posted on 07/29/2020 5:55:23 AM PDT by dp0622 (Patriots: Better stand tall when they're calling you out. Don't bend, don't break, don't back down.)
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To: OttawaFreeper

Shy Trump vote and 3 months to go...

They will get tighter for sure.

It’s not as bad as the media make out.

Biden is senile. Wait until people see him in the debates.


17 posted on 07/29/2020 5:55:47 AM PDT by RandFan (3C)
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To: vikingd00d

I have no idea viking... there isn’t a link to the data.

Not all of them release the samples (I wonder why...)


18 posted on 07/29/2020 5:58:39 AM PDT by RandFan (3C)
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To: dp0622

We should assume POTUS is in a dog fight and down a couple points until election day. A sense of urgency is the best way to GOTV. Dems thought Hillary was going to win, stayed home because they didn’t like her and she lost.


19 posted on 07/29/2020 5:59:04 AM PDT by lodi90
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To: RandFan

The first debate is in two months. Let’s talk after that.


20 posted on 07/29/2020 5:59:59 AM PDT by thefactor (yes, as a matter of fact, i DID only read the excerpt)
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