Posted on 07/09/2020 8:30:05 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
Skip the first 2 minutes to avoid his commercials.
Nice piece from Dr Steve Hurley. Highlights.
1. New Express poll has Trump tied with Biden at 47% each.
2. In case you think it's an outlier, Zogby also had a poll June 30th with Trump and Biden tied at 46% each. (Not to mention the Harris poll which had the gap between Biden and Trump down to just 4%).
3. The Express poll had Trump on course to win the crucial swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin where Trump outpolls Biden by 48 percent to 44 percent.
4. Express poll: Given a choice between which phrases identified their views 71 percent chose “all lives matter” while 29 percent picked “black lives matter”. 77% are against defunding the police. Overwhelming numbers are against destruction of statues.
5. Historically, riots have always led to big swings to Republicans in voting. Reagan beat Gov Jerry Brown in a landslide in 1966 after the Watts riots for example.
6. Most polls under count White non college educated males who make up the strongest base for Trump. Politico did a piece on that recently.
7. In 2016, Trump did so well with non college education White male, he'd have won even if Hilary Clinton had the same Black voter turn out as Obana did.
8. Trump won over 200 counties that voted twice for Obama and in some cases hadn't voted Republican since the 1980’s mostly due to rural non college educated Whites.
Bottom line: Trump is poised to put Slow Joe out of business come November.
Worth watching if you have a minute or two.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtu.be ...
I am thinking 1948 elections.
Truman versus Dewey. All the polls had Dewey winning.
From history.com:
“In the greatest upset in presidential election history, Democratic incumbent Harry S. Truman defeats his Republican challenger, Governor Thomas E. Dewey of New York, by just over two million popular votes. In the days preceding the vote, political analysts and polls were so behind Dewey that on election night, long before all the votes were counted, the Chicago Tribune published an early edition with the banner headline “DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN.”
Quick. We now need an August, September and October surprise. They have to have that financial information stat to see if they can find anything at all.
“Then Trump can debate an empty chair.and win.”
In his opening remarks he can recall for the audience how Clint Eastwood portrayed Obama as an empty chair and how this got a laugh. He can then say something like, “And now, the Dems have put forth an empty chair candidate who sits out important debates...does anyone else believe like me that it is important for Americans to hear how the two parties’ candidates will resolve the critical issues facing America right now?—Where’s Joe Biden? Where are the democrats? What do they have to say about the rioting, the looting, the vandalizing, the tragic loss of life going on in America’s streets? Ladies and gentlemen, they’ve put before you in the debate tonight an empty chair. They have nothing to say about these things. And they have nothing to say about these things because they are largely the cause of these things happening. In tonight’s debate, I will show you why this is true.”
Soros and his cabal have plenty of nasty surprises in store for Trump sure.
The Trump campaign need to be more proactive.
True, but it’s impossible to have 40% approval and then get 8% of the vote. It just doesn’t add up.//
Trumps overall black voting numbers don’t need to increase if the democrats black voting number decrease. Dems have to maintain their numbers -hence the BLM riots. Hopefully the numbers do come up.
By the looks of sleepy, I think he will come to the microphone soon and just stand there with lips quivering. Sad, but you can’t hide aging.
You were on a roll. Cheers.
Correct.
“So far he has not revealed any confidential financial information.”
—
Doggo knows which side his Milkbone Biscuit is buttered on.
bolshevik= we are the majority.
They got you fooled!
“you were acting all high and mighty about NEVER doing it period. I hate the high and mighty attitude stuff”
Then get off of freeRepublic!!!
Assign 190 EVs to Biden. 190 to Trump.
Then poll the states that are in the remaining 160.
Why poll CA NY TX?
I’d poll TX.
I have, for polling purposes:
Biden 220
Trump 219
Undecided 99
If TX goes Biden, then Trump already lost before the TX results. TX can’t be the tipping point.
My national poll would only include the 99 EVs. Weighted by EV (NH would have 4% of surveys).
I’m now at 204-201 Trump
133 undecided.
Poll TX, VA individually. Not in the swing state national poll.
If I listened to the media and my coworkers The Dems are going to win The WH, Senate and House in a landslide.
We’re believing polls now?
He has not lost any support
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