Posted on 07/09/2020 8:30:05 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
Skip the first 2 minutes to avoid his commercials.
Nice piece from Dr Steve Hurley. Highlights.
1. New Express poll has Trump tied with Biden at 47% each.
2. In case you think it's an outlier, Zogby also had a poll June 30th with Trump and Biden tied at 46% each. (Not to mention the Harris poll which had the gap between Biden and Trump down to just 4%).
3. The Express poll had Trump on course to win the crucial swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin where Trump outpolls Biden by 48 percent to 44 percent.
4. Express poll: Given a choice between which phrases identified their views 71 percent chose “all lives matter” while 29 percent picked “black lives matter”. 77% are against defunding the police. Overwhelming numbers are against destruction of statues.
5. Historically, riots have always led to big swings to Republicans in voting. Reagan beat Gov Jerry Brown in a landslide in 1966 after the Watts riots for example.
6. Most polls under count White non college educated males who make up the strongest base for Trump. Politico did a piece on that recently.
7. In 2016, Trump did so well with non college education White male, he'd have won even if Hilary Clinton had the same Black voter turn out as Obana did.
8. Trump won over 200 counties that voted twice for Obama and in some cases hadn't voted Republican since the 1980’s mostly due to rural non college educated Whites.
Bottom line: Trump is poised to put Slow Joe out of business come November.
Worth watching if you have a minute or two.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtu.be ...
I watch a lot of Turley’s videos. He’s dialed in pretty well and is really good on the international scene with Farage Brexit, Merkel Germany, LePen France, the EU, Hungary,Poland, the UN...
Durham indictments would be the icing on the cake. It’s not just the WH, patriots need to flip the House and hold the Senate.
If the trends hold, it’s certainly feasible. And many Rat governors and legislators need to go too.
That was Jerry’s dad, Pat Brown.
I think the other factor against phone surveys is that there’s entirely too much illegal robo-calling going on.
Rational people are not answering their phone for that reason alone. Secondly, how do you know if a pollster is who they say they are?
If you correct the identity and fraud issues, Deplorables would be more willing to truthfully answer polls.
Beijing Biden is in Xi the Pooh’s trouser pocket.
“Nobody should give financial info freely, but you were acting all high and mighty about NEVER doing it period.”
—
It’s not all that high and mighty to know it’s not the brightest thing to give out your bank and other financial info to any joker who calls you up. I’m surprised that is a shocking concept to anyone, especially in this day and age. You are a very trusting soul.
I usually let my phone handle the spam. I don’t answer to any incoming calls, and have only gotten a few in my life. I do outgoing calls to Wells Fargo and other companies and I share things to identify myself and my accounts. It’s weird that you seem to say you never do anything over the phone, that’s all.
Reagan beat Pat Brown, Jerrys Dad.
Women are drawn to strong men. That is a fact despite what the lib media says.
Two factors and a caveat that lead me to believe that Trump will be unbeatable in November.
First, the “Bradley effect” on polling.
“The Bradley effect (less commonly the Wilder effect) is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some United States government elections where a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other.”
Second, “security moms”.
There can’t be a suburban mother.. and not a lot of urban mothers...not concerned with the violence they’ve been witnessing, the destruction of property, attacks on motorists, violent attacks on white people including children and the calls by the left to defund the police. The Democrats’ silence in the face of all the destruction and anarchy is deafening to a security mom. Nobody is more vulnerable than a single black mother in the hood, and there are a lot of them. Not only do they worry about the violence in the black community everyday, but now their sons and daughters are being enticed by the far left to be out protesting, rioting and putting themselves in harm’s way as we have witnessed. There are not too many mothers, suburban or Urban, that are going to support removing the police from their communities, especially now.
Thirdly, the caveat, “John Durham”.
This is really the X factor in the election and could make a huge difference for a lot of reasons. Not only would it validate everything that the Republicans have been telling the public for almost four years, and reveal the things that the Democrats have been lying to them about, but a true takedown of Obama officials and other Deep State actors would make voters question what else has the media been lying to them about. You have to imagine who the media are going to blame when the facts actually come out... it’s going to be their buddies the Democrats, who “lied to us”. What else are they going to say? “Yeah, we knew it all along but we were trying to help Democrats get elected because orange man bad”. I don’t think so! How do they do that when they public finds out everything that Trump and the Republicans have told them about Obamagate it’s true? If Barr and Durham do their jobs, the Democratic party may be in the tall weeds for quite some time. At least they should be.
Anyway, I may be a little bit of a dreamer, but I think there is a real chance that Donald Trump rides on a tidal wave of disgust for the Democratic Party. There is already a huge enthusiasm gap in favor of President Trump and one has to consider that the true President, if Biden were to win, hasn’t even been named yet. Who the hell are they going to pick for their Vice President on the ticket? Name a good candidate and consider whether you think Americans will vote for another black (de facto) President considering the division and corruptionwe we went through with Obama. If the Democrats had a good choice for their Vice Presidential candidate, they would have already been named. We are less than gour months out and they don’t have one yet.. because they’ve got no one.
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VOTE FOR LAW AND ORDER
DONT VOTE FOR CHAOS AND CRISIS MONGERING
Nobody shouldn’t be able to understand this.
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All that may be true, but the Bradley effect thing isn’t. I’ve seen it bite cons in the ass a lot on smaller elections that ‘we can’t lose’.
Yes.
My mistake.
There is no time that the Bradley effect is going to be more pronounced than this year. Merely expressing support for President Trump could get you hounded out of your job by the far left woke mob. Just yesterday, some actress was getting hammered by the feral blood thirsty twitter mob. Her crime? Why, she dared to date some NHL player who supports President Trump. It’s just totally nuts.
It’s 100% certain that plenty of Trump supporters with their jobs at risk, have found it prudent to keep quiet about who they support for President.
YOU do NOT understand press motivation. Or chain of command... IF you want to compete you have to have top spot in some editor's 'little black book' of sources... YOU have to supply news stories - names, facts, who can be interviewed, and some heavy insider stuff. You identify one or two editors at the top three newspapers in the country. feed them 'the good stuff' other 'down stream' papers and press outlets will decides 'must be news' and write up their own versions.
How do you do that?
Hire some National Enquirer types - men who can write well but 'made a few mistakes' and can't get good jobs in newspapers. Then set them up in a War Room - a no holds barred - gotta get the story no matter what' then put the stuff in news packets so editors, bimbos and pretentious men can look good and keep their jobs... THEN and ONLY then will they 'be fair'.
And how do we 'get' the good stuff? Trade favors with 'intelligence'... people who want to manipulate the press for their own power... and milk them. Hire private detectives - news people can't because it's unethical - but if they don't know it's been done... they can pretend you got the stuff magically... pay sources. Identify the personality of your press target. YOU don't have to understand the voter's motives YOU only have to figure out your 'target editor'... Saves a lot of effort.
People like Chris Wallace love to 'struggle' with the choices before them - "is this story too self-serving - even though it's great?"... Throw in some self serving stuff so they can reject some - it'll make 'em accept more. AND they'll 'feel' they haven't been used. Very important to keep their delusions in place.
I can't imagine a story like that in any media outlet, even though it's totally true. The strongest base for Biden as for other Dem candidates has always been the non college educated black females. Fortunately they make up a very small percentage of voters.
To get laid.
Yes to all that you said. Voting for Biden in November will mean total anarchy, lawlessness and the end of this country as we know it.
My dog does all the family talking to strangers—on the phone or in person.
So far he has not revealed any confidential financial information. :-)
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