Posted on 07/09/2020 8:30:05 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
Skip the first 2 minutes to avoid his commercials.
Nice piece from Dr Steve Hurley. Highlights.
1. New Express poll has Trump tied with Biden at 47% each.
2. In case you think it's an outlier, Zogby also had a poll June 30th with Trump and Biden tied at 46% each. (Not to mention the Harris poll which had the gap between Biden and Trump down to just 4%).
3. The Express poll had Trump on course to win the crucial swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin where Trump outpolls Biden by 48 percent to 44 percent.
4. Express poll: Given a choice between which phrases identified their views 71 percent chose all lives matter while 29 percent picked black lives matter. 77% are against defunding the police. Overwhelming numbers are against destruction of statues.
5. Historically, riots have always led to big swings to Republicans in voting. Reagan beat Gov Jerry Brown in a landslide in 1966 after the Watts riots for example.
6. Most polls under count White non college educated males who make up the strongest base for Trump. Politico did a piece on that recently.
7. In 2016, Trump did so well with non college education White male, he'd have won even if Hilary Clinton had the same Black voter turn out as Obana did.
8. Trump won over 200 counties that voted twice for Obama and in some cases hadn't voted Republican since the 1980’s mostly due to rural non college educated Whites.
Bottom line: Trump is poised to put Slow Joe out of business come November.
Worth watching if you have a minute or two.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtu.be ...
Opinion: Washington Secrets
Dead heat: Trump and Biden tied at 46%, long night expected on Election Day
Whoops! That would have been his father Pat Brown that Reagan crushed in 1966.
“But this is the link for the Express poll.”
—
The Express is Trump-friendly, it’s pollster (a conservative think tank) even more so. The title of their poll kinda gives away it’s political leanings: “How Sleepy Joe Biden could still EASILY lose the US election”.
I like having some sunshine blown up my skirt as much as anyone, but I still check out a gift horse’s teeth.
Rasmussen is also not all that encouraging, as it’s always been Trump-friendly in the past and they don’t exactly have Trump running away with the election now.
Trump could really make some major vote-getting hay with the issues discussed here though and I’m puzzled why the WH isn’t doing so.
“Think about it.”
To me, the biggest question is how will Joe do negotiating a trade deal with Japan or talking turkey with a hostile China.
Kenye for VP!
Something is missing from Trump’s side. There’s little real communication or push back. It’ll cost him the election if he doesn’t do it without being called racist.
That’s the problem now. Everything is the r-card and nothing anyone can say is above it to the left. And they are the majority.
They’re attempting to force him out before the election.
That’s what the news cycles are about. And they are daily all the same.
The problem with that is that the 1972 election was a personal victory for Nixon, but the Republicans didn't make much headway in Congress. It wasn't a "wave" election.
I would prefer that 1980 be the model. That was a "wave" election in which Republicans swept into Congress in large numbers along with Reagan's victory.
I guess “Approval” doesn’t exactly equate to “For whom are you voting”.
And they are in panic, note Biden attempting a Trump today in Pennsylvania, stealing bring back America industry.
“The Zogby poll.
Opinion: Washington Secrets
Dead heat: Trump and Biden tied at 46%, long night expected on Election Day”
—
That’s from June 2nd. This is from July 4th:
“The poll numbers right now are suggesting the presidential race is a “blowout today” for presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, but there is historical precedent for President Donald Trump to turn it around still, according to pollster John Zogby on Newsmax TV.”
https://www.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/john-zogby-pollster-presidential-campaign/2020/07/04/id/975696
Is The Express a conservative newspaper?
Yup.
But they have been aroubd since 1927 and have a very solid reputation. In addition, after the newspaper was sold to new owners recently, they are much less conservative than they used to be.
“Something is missing from Trumps side.”
—
All he has to do - consistently, not just a tweet one-off - is tie the riots, arson, looting, killings, crime waves to Biden/Dem’s tail to put them on the spot.
It’s not brain surgery to figure out. In fact, I’d tie all of the accompanying lack-of-common-sense nuttiness and insanity to the Dem’s tail.
So Trump gets to debate an empty chair!
None of it works!
They just end up getting hit with anvils, fall off cliffs, run headlong into trains.....
Oops.
Pat Brown it was.
That seems like a no-brainer. Perhaps he has polling info internally that the vast majority of Americans now support all that? Seems that way to me. Cause people aren’t rising up against it in ANY way.
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