Posted on 06/03/2020 2:10:28 PM PDT by knighthawk
It’s been nearly half a century since a Democratic presidential candidate carried Texas. You have to go all the way back to Jimmy Carter in 1976.
But a new poll in the Lone Star State suggests that Texans are split right now between President Trump and Democrat challenger Joe Biden, with five months to go until the November general election.
According to a Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday, 44 percent of registered voters in Texas say they’d vote for the GOP incumbent if the election were held today, with 43 percent saying they’d support the former vice president and presumptive Democratic nominee. Seven percent say they’re unsure or don’t know, and 3 percent indicate they’d back a different candidate.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
And Peewee Herman LEADS BOTH CANDIDATES! /s
With respect to polls taken this far out from the election, I give you President S. Michael Dukakis. The Duke was ahead by 17 points in one poll taken immediately after the DNC convention in 1988. Of course, Bush 41 dusted him by 7,000,000 votes in the election (53.4% to 45.6%).
DJT beat Hitlery by 8.99% in Texas in 2016, a margin of roughly 807,000 votes. While anything is possible, it is hard to imagine Gropy Joe making up this margin. Also, a lot of people were unsure about Trump in 2016; I think he has won over the vast majority of conservative people who had their doubts four years ago. Who knew that he would be such a champion for pro-life and religious liberty issues.
DJT’s campaign people need to take the gloves off now more than ever. They need to constantly, incessantly link Gropy Joe to the riots, Red China, the hammer and sickle, the closing of churches, the persecution of Christians and Jews.
I’m concerned that one possible outcome of the election is that we lose Arizona and win Minnesota. Another possible outcome is that we win back the House (or lose by such a small margin where Pelosi can’t get re-elected speaker) and we lose the Senate.
It wasn’t that long ago. Also, Texas was Blue.
this is true but if POTUS can win again and we flip congress maybe that can slow things down with a wall and tougher enforcement
No, that's just the breakdown of who answered the phone. They then weight the poll to make up for it.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to recent Census data using a sample balancing procedure to match the demographic makeup of the population by county, gender, age, education and race. When including the design effect, the margin of sampling error for this study of registered voters is +/- 3.4 percentage points.
Trump winning is 100% critical. If there is another globalist president, I’m not sure we can recover.
It wasn’t that long ago. Also, Texas was Blue.
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That is true, it was less hispanic and a blue state.
In other words, shouldn't they call 3,000 people and then take the 1,000 that meet the demographic measures, instead of calling 1,000 people and then weight the responses?
Otherwise, their weighting factors only assume how a respondent will reply, as if they are automatons displaying group herd mentalities.
-PJ
as another person pointed out Texas was a blue state not too long ago, but then again, Virginia and Colorado is GONE deep blue. We need TX to stay red.
Registered voter polls will always have the Dem either ahead our very inflated. Why the hell do we even bother to post them. Useless
Methodologies vary, but in this case they random sample, and then weight the responses to make them match the expected demographics.
Only dolts, sheep, and people who thoroughly exam each sheet of toilet paper they have used would bother to waste time reading past that identifying statement...
Their idea of an "expected demographic" means blacks always vote Democrats women always support abortion, southerners always are uneducated, etc.
To weight to an expected demographic is to stereotype a class of people and impute a vote onto them. To me, that's why so many polls are wrong: setting aside the push-poll to endorse an agenda narrative, they box people into groupthink instead of going the extra step to listen to enough individuals to create a sample size that actually speaks for itself.
-PJ
Correction, all polls taken before November 3rd are useless since liberals are FAR more likely to be consulted and actually answer these stupid push polls.
you are forgetting all the service sector jobs, the low paying ones liberals would usually have. They all are home
“I’m tired of Trump’s mouth”
If you’re tired of Trump’s mouth, I’d love to know how you feel about Biden’s hands pawing over and kissing little kids he doesn’t know and molesting little girls.
@steinhauserNH1 "Biden and Trump all tied up in Texas: poll" - says the leftist whose twitter account is a wall-to-wall Biden campaign/cheering section...
I think Senile Joe may win almost as many States as Hillary did...President Trump ought to quit now....oh....wait....
The Hispanic’s in Texas are far more conservative then they are in Calif.
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