Posted on 05/13/2020 5:28:35 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
Senate forecast is out and right now Dems have a (somewhat) clear advantage to take control. Here goes:
Arizona: McSally hasn’t led a single poll. Trump trails Biden in most polls too so she can’t count on coattails. Dem gain.
Colorado: Gardner is down double digits and Trump will Lose CO by double digits. This one is off the board. Dem gain.
Maine: Collins is struggling in polling but she knows how to win in Maine. We’ll see. Currently a toss up.
Georgia: Internal GOP polling just released shows Biden in the LEAD, albeit within the margin of error. Perdue is up but within the MoE and Loeffler vs Collins promises to be an ugly primary producing a damaged nominee. Neither polling well. Perdue is lean GOP, Loeffler is Toss up.
Kansas: Kobach looks like he’s gonna win the primary and that makes KS a tossup immediately if not a lean Dem. Dems have a moderate former Repub running for the seat.
Montana: Bullock is a popular gov, and early polling shows him in the lead. This is leans D.
Alabama: Doug Jones is gone barring something crazy. Likely R.
North Carolina: Cal Cunningham is tied or ahead in every public poll. This is leans D.
No, Repubs aren’t winning Michigan.
So Dems pick up NC, AZ, CO, MT. They lose AL for a net gain of 3. They still have KS, ME, GA to pick off another one.
Right now Dems are certainly favored to take the senate.
Nope.
My prediction: Kamaltoe Harris, and she will not excite anyone, no more than she did in her train-wreck of a primary campaign.
Well, maybe that guy Willie Brown out in California, but that’s just “muscle memory”.
That will excite both the African American voters...
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African-American _women_ voters and not even all of them.
Candace Owen and Kanye have a lot of influence.
I watch some black conservative male vloggers and they have huge followings, too.
James hardly “bashed” Trump, he cited disagreement on a local spending issue and a couple irrelevant issues of “civility”. There was no substantive criticism there, no reason anyone should get their knickers in a twist.
McConnell and the GOP Senate has set records in getting Federal Judges appointed, as well as two SCOTUS Justices. They also defeated the Shiff/Schumer duo in their attempt to convict Trump in the impeachment fiasco.
If he picks Harris, I hope there’s someone in the Trump camp that is astute enough to formally point out that she was born to two foreign citizens and is NOT eligible.
My only point-—and I really don’t think you can disagree-—is that James is not in a position to lose a single GOP vote. Diverging from Trump in any way risks the loss of more votes than staying with him.
Hopefully no one will remember this 5 and a half long months from now. Especially with James presumably appearing at Trump rallies in MI.
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