Posted on 03/28/2020 5:43:14 AM PDT by jazminerose
Dr. Anthony Fauci, the health specialist on the coronavirus task force, has said the virus’s mortality rate is closer to that of a bad case of the flu. In a Thursday report published by the New England Journal of Medicine, Fauci conceded COVID-19’s death rate was twice that of the common flu, making it roughly 0.28 percent.
That rate is exceptionally low, especially when compared to that of the SARS and MERS epidemics, which peaked at 9 percent and 36 percent respectively.
His latest comments marked a major about-face for Fauci, who previously claimed the coronavirus was 10 times as deadly as the flu.
“The seasonal flu that we deal with every year has a mortality of 0.1 percent,” he said. “I think if you count all the cases of minimally symptomatic or asymptomatic infection, that probably brings the mortality rate down to somewhere around 1 percent, which means it is 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu.”
That NEJM article by Fauci was published back on February 28:
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387
“This editorial was published on February 28, 2020, at NEJM.org.”
Those appear to be his earlier comments, not his latest comments.
Note that, in the article, he writes about information from Feb. 26.
Actually, two others from the DP died after being evacuated. One in the US and one in Canada. They were listed separately on the JHU site at one point. Total 12 dead, 103 unresolved.
The US death rate probably will go up when hospital ventilator shortages become more acute.
Explain Lombardy. Madrid. NYC.
Oh, so I suppose when I lived there two years ago i was imagining things. Their people are not cared for as they should be. Peel away the facade that the communist government puts up for the rest of the world and you realize that China is a second world country wearing a first world mask.
What are the ages of those who died? I’ll be surprised if every single one of them doesn’t belong to the at-risk age group or have underlying conditions. I’ll also be surprised if all or most of those who haven’t died belong to the same age group but are healthier overall. I’m basing this on cruises I’ve taken and the makeup of the passengers.
Numbers tell us facts but numbers alone don’t tell us all the facts.
That's only true if we assume the politicians that govern those nations always act rationally, and on perfect information.
If they are swayed by emotion or other political considerations, or are being provided with inaccurate information, then it is entirely possible that they are acting irrationally.
This is my second day of near-constant sniffles.
“Oh, so I suppose when I lived there two years ago i was imagining things. “
Good one!
Just the hard numbers.
See 31. NYC hospitals are running at capacity now, with worse to come.
“We have Italy. I suppose all the data is there, for what that region most effected represents.”
They appear to be underreporting CCP-19 deaths in Italy. 16x the normal death rate, only 4x reported as CCP-19 and the others (1x expected, 11x abnormal) all attributed to “normal” causes.
“Maps of three Fridays show speed of coronavirus spread across US”
NY POST, MARCH 27
Whether coronavirus came in like a lamb this March may be debatable — but it is undoubtably going out like a lion.
Maps of the past three Fridays show the chilling speed of the virus’ spread through America.
A mere two weeks ago, on Friday the 13th, there had been 41 coronavirus deaths nationwide.
That number is now 30 times as high. As of this Friday, the 27th, the CDC is reporting 1,246 deaths in the US.
https://nypost.com/2020/03/27/maps-of-three-fridays-show-speed-of-coronavirus-spread-across-us/
What you say is all true IF we do not overwhelm our health care system. If we do overwhelm it then you can throw all those stats out the window.
The problem with these statistics is nobody knows how many people have a mild case of it and do not seek medical attention or those that have it but do not have any symptoms at all.
China’s HCS is a thin veneer of modern medicine covering a cesspool of mysticism, herbal remedies and superstition.
Their cities are shiny towers rising from an open sewer.
I would not want to get sick in China.
Question: did the college kids asymptomatically bring the virus to every town in America. We sent our kids to college in January. The Chinese students were there. Did our kids get it, and bring it back.
On March 1st they were all in school. By March 7th the NCAA shut down. The next week the kids came home. The next week 90% of the counties in America had the disease. Even Fairbanks and rural North Dakota counties had the virus. The week before Chicago had 6 cases afterwards every county in Illinois had a case.
So, it seemed to go to ports around the world, thats why The Maldives and The Faroe Islands as well as little Island nations around the world all got it. Not to mention all the big ports like Rome and Venice. If a ship from China came in. It came in with the virus. Why didn’t we hear about the virus on cargo ships.
Then the colleges got it. We didn’t hear of one college kid getting it. They all had Chinese kids. And many had Chinese professors, PHD and Masters students. Our kids must have gotten it with mild or no symptoms. Then the colleges released the kids like a white dandelion in a strong breeze.
Without an antibody test we can’t analyze the crime scene. There are two ways to test for virus’. One is to test for the virus itself, the antigen. The other is to test for the antibody. The first test tells you you have the disease. The second test tells you, you had the disease. The Chinese kids and port workers will no longer have the virus. It only lasts about 14 days with mild or no symptoms. So the only way to test this theory is to test for antibodies. Do those Chinese college kids all have the antibodies for the virus? I bet they do. I bet the port workers and ship crews have it to.
I think the only thing the Chinese did that was not successful in spreading the disease, were the cruse ships. Because the cruise ships, especially those in Asia, had old people on them, they became ill too fast. And they were locked down before unloading their infected cargo all over the world. Cruse ships got the disease even in the Caribbean. But they were locked down too fast.
Thats my theory. I can’t say if it was on purpose, or it just happened. Or quite likely that the Chinese saw it happening and did not care to stop it. Its like accidentally starting a kitchen fire in your girlfriends home after you suspect she is cheating on you. Do you put it out. Or do you see the possibilities and just let it play out.
Yes it is. However seems to be more contagious. Sorta like the rhinovirus common cold the entire world experiences every cold/flu season.
The statistics of the early casualties are heavily skewed by the demographic you reference.
The weak die fast, then there is a trickle of deaths as cases slowly resolve over *months*.
This virus has roughly the same age-death distribution as the flu, just with a higher amplitude. Nobody is “safe” or “immune”.
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