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86% of people with coronavirus are walking around undetected, study says
nypost ^ | 03/17/2020 | Jackie Salo

Posted on 03/17/2020 10:02:47 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

“Stealth” coronavirus cases are fueling the pandemic, with a staggering 86% of people infected walking around undetected, a new study says.

Six of every seven cases – 86% — were not reported in China before travel restrictions were implemented, driving the spread of the virus, according to a study Monday in the journal Science.

“It’s the undocumented infections which are driving the spread of the outbreak,” said co-author Jeffrey Shaman of Columbia University Mailman School, according to GeekWire.

Using computer modeling, researchers tracked infections before and after the Chinese city of Wuhan’s travel ban.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: bioweapon; chinavirus; chinavirusinfo; contagious; coronavirus; covid19; study; undetected; usatestingfail; walking
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To: JonPreston

“Same as the seasonal flu, right?”

Actually, if this information is true, then it is far less a risk than the flu.


21 posted on 03/17/2020 10:19:49 AM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Yup, I would conjecture about 9/10


22 posted on 03/17/2020 10:19:55 AM PDT by HangnJudge (Kipling was right about humanity)
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To: wastoute
what are the number of ill people in the hospital right now and how many of them require ventilation? In the USA.

At last count we have 53 positives here in Michigan. If any were hospitalized per your question, local media would be all over it. Since they're not, it's safe to say none of them are seriously ill, if at all.

23 posted on 03/17/2020 10:20:07 AM PDT by Hot Tabasco (It's the China Flu and if you think you have it, take Zicam......)
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To: Oklahoma

It is beginning to look like the seriously ill is an order of magnitude larger than the dead and the number of asymptomatic is another two orders of magnitude above that. So working back wards the seriously ill in the US right now may be 700 and the asymptomatic 70,000. A bit off. But subtract the cluster of 40 and count it as “one” 30 dead (roughly) and 300 seriously ill, 30,000 asymptomatic. Roughly, as of today. Within an order of magnitude, I think. Down the road, one million asymptomatic, 10,000 seriously ill, 1,000 dead. Doubling every 4 days we’ll be there in a month. This could be doable.


24 posted on 03/17/2020 10:20:09 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

This would mean it’s quite benign.

Some interesting news.

“As of Sunday afternoon, the state had 335 verified cases of COVID-19, a 14 percent increase in a day, and six fatalities, after a new death was reported overnight in San Mateo County. Healthcare providers have conducted 8,316 tests.”

https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03/15/coronavirus-newsom-calls-for-bars-nightclub-to-close-across-california/

335 of 8316 tests means 96% of those tested don’t have it.

My caveat here is it’s unclear that all results of the 8316 test are included in the 335.


25 posted on 03/17/2020 10:21:04 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: alternatives?

That’s why Dr. Fauchi has refused to give out blanket numbers. He said if he or anyone else dies, “they own that number,” rightly or wrongly.


26 posted on 03/17/2020 10:21:06 AM PDT by zerosix (native sunflower)
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To: Magic Fingers

I look at the live webcams from Wuhan, it doesn’t look like they are “back to business” to me.


27 posted on 03/17/2020 10:21:18 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I have allergies...I think.


28 posted on 03/17/2020 10:21:32 AM PDT by right way right (May we remain sober over mere men, for God really is our only true hope.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Big. Fat. Lie.


29 posted on 03/17/2020 10:21:37 AM PDT by subterfuge (RIP T.P.)
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To: lightman

...Also means that 86% of the people carrying DON’T GET SICK.

No, sadly, they have not shown illness... yet


30 posted on 03/17/2020 10:21:41 AM PDT by HangnJudge (Kipling was right about humanity)
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To: JonPreston
Same as the seasonal flu, right?

Flu with no symptoms and you don't even know you have it? Sign me up!

31 posted on 03/17/2020 10:25:52 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte (With every passing day, I am a little bit gladder that Romney lost in 2012.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
86% of people with coronavirus are walking around undetected, study says

If it's undetected, then how do they know this number ?

32 posted on 03/17/2020 10:26:17 AM PDT by Mopp4
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To: Oklahoma
If this is true that means the death rate is much lower than currently calculated.

Bingo! Someone here gets math.


33 posted on 03/17/2020 10:26:26 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

The three types of lies:
Lies
Damned lies
Statistics


34 posted on 03/17/2020 10:29:50 AM PDT by KierkegaardMAN (This is the sort of stuff up with which I shall not put!)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

I get the math:

MOST people don’t get sick.
A FEW people get mildly sick.
FEWER people get really sick.


35 posted on 03/17/2020 10:29:56 AM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: Oklahoma

Probably, but its still burdening the healthcare system.


36 posted on 03/17/2020 10:29:56 AM PDT by desertfreedom765
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To: ChicagoConservative27

There is no doubt in my mind, even though I feel great:

WE ALL HAVE IT...AND DO NOT BE STUPID ENOUGH TO BELIEVE THE TEST WHEN IT SHOWS THAT YOU DO NOT HAVE IT...YOU KNOW BETTER.


37 posted on 03/17/2020 10:31:26 AM PDT by Maris Crane
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To: Oklahoma
If this is true that means the death rate is much lower than currently calculated.

Precisely. Probably the same as seasonal flu.

38 posted on 03/17/2020 10:35:15 AM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham ("God is a spirit, and man His means of walking on the earth.")
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To: ChicagoConservative27

“86% of people infected walking around undetected, a new study says.”

How do they figure that out? I guess Big Foot is 100% walking around undetected?


39 posted on 03/17/2020 10:36:23 AM PDT by Leep (Everyday is Trump Day!)
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To: BenLurkin

“undocumented infections”

More pure BS posing as hard data where there “ain’t” no hard data.


40 posted on 03/17/2020 10:36:44 AM PDT by Grampa Dave ((FearRepublic.com - keeping the media panic narrative going 24/7 to finally bring down Trump)!!!!)
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