Posted on 02/24/2020 1:10:49 PM PST by 11th_VA
Most cases are not life-threatening, which is also what makes the virus a historic challenge to contain
(big snip)
The Harvard epidemiology professor Marc Lipsitch is exacting in his diction, even for an epidemiologist. Twice in our conversation he started to say something, then paused and said, “Actually, let me start again.” So it’s striking when one of the points he wanted to get exactly right was this: “I think the likely outcome is that it will ultimately not be containable.”
…Lipsitch predicts that, within the coming year, some 40 to 70 percent of people around the world will be infected with the virus that causes COVID-19. But, he clarifies emphatically, this does not mean that all will have severe illnesses...
(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...
I’m in the age range and have a couple of the risk factors too.
I’m prepared to hole up at home for 3 to 4 months if work will let me work from home.
Finish the math, then revise your conclusions
“Did they recently overturn that prohibition on donating blood as discriminatory?”
Perhaps, but screening certainly seems to work these days. I suspect that they have a few more screening steps that they don’t necessarily disclose to the donors.
No doubt the Deep State got their immunizations well before the virus was released.
“BS believe it or notit infects primarily Chinese”
Because Chinese are the people that have been primarily exposed. I suppose all those Italians are really Chinese. And all those Iranians. And those Koreans and Japanese. And all those assorted Caucasians from that cruise ship. And so on.
You are applying a logical fallacy.
“Even at 1% people WILL FREAK OUT and run through the streets screaming. Governments will fall. Economies will stop. There will be wars and revolutions. News travels at the speed of light. Worldwide.”
You are right, but my panic level (where I run outside screaming) is set at 1.3%. So I’ll let those others make fools of themselves, initially.
I think I’m all three depending on the moment.
Makes sense I guess.
Over 50,000 not recovered yet
The outbreak is far enough along where a truer measure of the death rate = (dead)/(dead + recovered). You cannot say anything about the future that awaits the 50,000 that have not recovered or died.
So the death rate is likely closer to 2628/(2628+25215) = 9.4 percent.
I have seen catnip tea recommended for colds. I did not look for any NIH articles.
https://www.healthline.com/health/catnip-tea
“Catnip tea has historically been used to treat issues like arthritis, coughs, hives, fevers, and viruses.
“You should not drink catnip tea if you’re pregnant, as it can cause uterine contractions that may result in premature labor.”
I get mine from Amazon in bulk. About 500 grams=a little more than one pound is close to $20.00 If you order more than $ 25.00 shipping is free. I usually get calcium ascorbate which is the buffered kind and besides C you also get calcium and it is easy on your stomach. Look it up at Amazon, some people also use it for their animals as it helps them as well. You will find lots of good commentary there. Stay healthy and well and have a great day.
Double-check on Italy; they’ve imported a LOT of Chinese to help sew Italian-label clothes.
Other than asthma and allergies our oldest is healthy. He cooks once a week and is carefully plans his carbs, proteins and fats. He hasn’t eaten a sugar in about two years. He is a college athlete in great shape so he has that going for him. About 10 years ago he got influenza-everyone in the family but me got it. It was like dominoes as they fell ill. He was the most sick; at one point he literally couldn’t lift his head off the pillow despite straining mightily to do so. His allergist took it very seriously and put him on antivirals and antibiotics so he didn’t have to fight a secondary infection. With that help he recovered more quickly than the others.
Our other kiddo with asthma has it less severely but is only nine.
Some might. I expect more would help their families and neighbors and find a way to manage.
Riiiight. That explains everything.
Thank you! That's what I've been saying. I don't know why the unknown and changing number of infected are part of any equation. The only ones done with the disease are the recovered or dead. Only those groups are what from where the rates should be calculated.
In my experience, reading Lame Cherry’s blog makes it pretty well impossible to sleep. Whether it’s being written by someone with incredible insights or someone with extreme paranoia I can’t say, but over the years, I have found it disturbing. On the other hand, my mother has always said that things are seldom as bad as we fear or as good as we hope. She’s 94 and still getting by on the strength of calm, prayer, and solid intellect. She survived the Nazis, the commies, seeking asylum and starting over in America. I think I’ll pass on Lame Cherry and listen to mom.
Immunologists: what doesn’t kill me only makes me more immune.
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