[IndispensableDestiny]

79,553 cases
2,628 deaths (3.3%)
25,215 recovered

Over 50,000 not recovered yet

The outbreak is far enough along where a truer measure of the death rate = (dead)/(dead + recovered). You cannot say anything about the future that awaits the 50,000 that have not recovered or died.

So the death rate is likely closer to 2628/(2628+25215) = 9.4 percent.

[mikey_hates_everything]

death rate = (dead)/(dead + recovered)

Thank you! That's what I've been saying. I don't know why the unknown and changing number of infected are part of any equation. The only ones done with the disease are the recovered or dead. Only those groups are what from where the rates should be calculated.

[palmer]

The outbreak is far enough along where a truer measure of the death rate = (dead)/(dead + recovered). You cannot say anything about the future that awaits the 50,000 that have not recovered or died.

So the death rate is likely closer to 2628/(2628+25215) = 9.4 percent.

What about the people a few weeks ago who said the death rate was 50% because the recovery number matched the mortality number? Not far enough along? Why is it far enough along now?