Posted on 01/27/2020 10:21:58 AM PST by Ceebass
New research in The Lancet offers further information about the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV). The first study is an analysis of data from the first 41 patients who were admitted to hospitals with confirmed cases of the virus in Wuhan, China. The patients, whose median age was 49 years, had a wide range of symptoms: all had pneumonia, and most had fever and cough. Some patients had fatigue, while more rare symptoms were headache and diarrhea.
One significant finding from the research was that although some of the fatal cases of 2019-nCoV were among people with underlying diseases, most of the first 41 patients infected were healthy. Approximately one-third of these patients required intensive care, and six of them died.
The second study looked at one family that came down with pneumonia in Shenzhen. Five family members who recently traveled to Wuhan had 2019-nCoV, as did one relative who had not been to Wuhan.
Thus far, confirmed human-to-human transmission of the virus has been seen only among families and in health care clinics—instances where people are likely to be in close contact with each other, according to the World Health Organization. This appears to have been what happened with the family that was studied.
Officials still do not know how efficiently 2019-nCoV can transfer among people, however. Also, one child with the virus demonstrated no symptoms. "Because asymptomatic infection appears possible, controlling the epidemic will also rely on isolating patients, tracing and quarantining contacts as early as possible, educating the public on both food and personal hygiene, and ensuring health care workers comply with infection control," said Kwok-Yung Yuen, MD, from the University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, who led the research.
(Excerpt) Read more at statnews.com ...
If it is super contagious and kills 15% of those infected, and if some people are asymptomatic carriers, then this really is a horror show.
Yes 15 percent of those who went into the hospital died.
We don’t know how many got better at home or how many carried it with the without getting sick at all.
We should would until we know before the movie version posts hit the threads :)
What type of pneumonia did these patients have:
Viral pneumonia or pneumococcal.
If pneumococcal, was is it gram negative or gram positive?
Makes me glad I’m on Remicade.
“Officially”, 81 dead and only 59 recovered. I would hope the recovered number is reported lower than the actual.
“Also, one child with the virus demonstrated no symptoms.”
That is pretty creepy right there. I assume that child can still pass on the virus... And for how long.
What it says here.
"Remicade affects your immune system. You may get infections more easily, even serious or fatal infections. Before you start using Remicade, your doctor may perform tests to make sure you do not have certain infections. Call your doctor if you have a fever, tiredness, flu symptoms, cough, or skin pain."
“confirmed human-to-human transmission of the virus has been seen only among families and in health care clinics...”
SARS was mainly nosocomial transmission, so it seems this highly related virus may also be transmitted mainly by hospital contacts.
The panic and hysteria has made a lot of people crowd hospitals. Probably the worst thing to do.
If I was going to design a plague one feature would be a certain percentage of asymptomatic carriers. A fair sprinkling of typhoid marys. It would also go after people who arent in the best of health and affect the people who can work less.
>>can cause infections with no symptoms and sicken otherwise healthy people<<
I’m pretty sure that can be said of all viral or bacterial infections.
I’m pretty sure that can be said of all viral or bacterial infections.
—
I would bet that includes 100% of all pathogens.
If one percent of China’s population is affected, how many 1000-bed hospitals are they going to need?
The official cause of death for the patients who weren’t tested with the kit is ‘viral pneumonia’.
(read that in a WSJ article somewhere IIRC)
Yes, this will be a population changer.
The other part of that is the bat virus. Maybe it counters that factor.
The China Bat/SAR virus was replicated in vitro AND in vivo at Chapel Hill.
So no one in the “press” is asking how these people know so much about this virus already, especially when it is relatively new in the public...
20,000 - 1,000 bed hospitals.
They’d better get busy.
Yep. Back in Feb. 2018 I had a “fever of unknown origin” for the entire month. Lost almost 25 pounds. Then miraculously it went away just after an infectious disease doctor began to work the issue. Was running 103s and ended up in the hospital for a night. They could not find anything causing it at the time after all kinds of tests and blood cultures. I pretty much thought I was headed for the end.
I think what saved me was the fact that it made me overdue by about 4 weeks for my infusion. I’m of the opinion that the med wore down to a point where it let my body fight it off. That’s just a theory. I get infused every two months.
Upper respiratory is the main risk factor.
This outbreak scares the hell out of me. I have had all the vaccinations though including enhanced flu shots for what they may be worth.
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