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The Chinese Communist Regime is on the Brink of ‘Disintegration,’ Says Leading China Expert
Epoch Times ^ | 12/6/2019 | Frank Fang

Posted on 12/08/2019 4:26:24 PM PST by Zhang Fei

The Chinese communist regime is heading towards disintegration and the West needs to be prepared to manage the fallout, according to a leading China scholar.

Arthur Waldron, China historian and Lauder Professor of International Relations in the Department of History at the University of Pennsylvania, made the remarks in a recent interview on The Epoch Times’ American Thought Leaders. He shared his views on the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) imminent collapse, U.S. foreign policy on China, and the relentless Hong Kong protests that have posed a major challenge to Beijing’s rule. CCP’s Disintegration

The CCP has started on a path of decline and is headed towards a similar fate as the Soviet Union when it collapsed in 1991, the professor said.

“I believe that China is in this stage of disintegration or ‘jie ti (解體)’, and it’s something that you don’t see immediately,” said Waldron.

The Chinese regime’s practice of forced organ harvesting—which results in an estimated tens of thousands of prisoners of conscience killed every year to supply its organ transplant market—and its treatment of Uyghurs and other Muslim minorities in the northwestern region of Xinjiang, made it “the most evil regime” since the Nazi Germany, Waldron said.

He recalled a conversation with an unidentified person, who is a close advisor to Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

“He said to me, Arthur, what the hell are we going to do? Everybody knows that this [political] system doesn’t work. We have reached a “si hu tong” (死胡同),” said Waldron said, explaining that the Chinese phrase means a “dead-end street.”

The advisor continued: “But what we don’t know is what is the next step to take because … there are mines everywhere and if we take a step, we may set off a terrible explosion.”

(Excerpt) Read more at theepochtimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: asia; banking; china; economy; finance; hongkong; kag; maga; trump
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Arthur Waldron, like Michael Pillsbury, are two sinologists not in thrall to the Communists ruling the roost China. I don't always agree with his assessments, but his arguments are always thought-provoking.
1 posted on 12/08/2019 4:26:24 PM PST by Zhang Fei
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To: Zhang Fei

So are we.

Hopefully President Trump will get re-elected for another term.


2 posted on 12/08/2019 4:27:22 PM PST by metmom ( ...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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To: Zhang Fei

I hope he is right.

Communism is bad.


3 posted on 12/08/2019 4:30:22 PM PST by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizens Are Born Here of Citizen Parents_Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Zhang Fei

Bah.
Feudal systems, like China has, don’t fall until everything falls with them.


4 posted on 12/08/2019 4:30:43 PM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Zhang Fei

no it’s not


5 posted on 12/08/2019 4:36:04 PM PST by devane617 (Kyrie Eleison, where I'm going, will you follow?)
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To: Fred Nerks

Ping!

So much winning!


6 posted on 12/08/2019 4:37:32 PM PST by Candor7 ((Obama Fascism)http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/05/barack_obam_the_quintessentia_1.html)
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To: Fred Nerks

Ping!

So much winning!


7 posted on 12/08/2019 4:37:32 PM PST by Candor7 ((Obama Fascism)http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/05/barack_obam_the_quintessentia_1.html)
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To: Zhang Fei
I remember reading a book in 1987 that claimed that the Castro Regime was heading for imminent collapse. Over 3 decades later, I am still waiting.

However, this story quotes a sinologist who claims secondary access to the thinking of a CCP Politburo member. I also think that anyone who wants to ban portrayals of Winnie the Pooh because they are subversive is not confident about their hold on power.

8 posted on 12/08/2019 4:38:07 PM PST by Lysandru
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To: metmom
So are we. Hopefully President Trump will get re-elected for another term.

Maybe Iran,China,Russia,Germany and the US will topple. Then we can apply to the governments of Somalia and the Republic of Congo for foreign aid and full welfare.

Space alien in ship hovering above Area 51: "See? I told you we should have just kept on going past Neptune. Now we have to untangle their mess for them. Call Georgio Tsoukalos."

9 posted on 12/08/2019 4:40:10 PM PST by frank ballenger (End vote fraud & harvesting,non-citizen voting & leftist media news censorship or we are finished.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
Thanks Zhang Fei. Copying only what you cherry pick in order to mimic a successful economic system doesn't work.

10 posted on 12/08/2019 4:42:05 PM PST by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: mrsmith

[Bah.
Feudal systems, like China has, don’t fall until everything falls with them.]


I don’t know about systemic change, but regime changes are fairly common. Depending on how you keep count, the 20th century incorporated 5 regimes/rulers - Imperial China, Yuan Shih-kai, Chiang Kai-shek, Mao Tse-tung, Teng Hsiao-ping. Xi Jinping is essentially part of the Deng period, which began after Deng’s successful coup against Mao’s hand-picked successor, Hua Guofeng. It’s a feudal system in the sense that the ruler has absolute power backed up by pitiless violence, and this power is shared/delegated to powerful courtiers, but this is leavened by regular changes of regime where the elites are either replaced by other elites or the lowest strata of society by armed force.


11 posted on 12/08/2019 4:44:17 PM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Zhang Fei

the solution is to become a partner with the West, not an adversary seeking world domination for evil ends.


12 posted on 12/08/2019 4:50:21 PM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: Zhang Fei

I doubt these folks will go softly into the night.


13 posted on 12/08/2019 4:52:58 PM PST by ryderann
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To: Zhang Fei

I’m sure the rulers are thoroughly familiar with both the Boxer Rebellion and the Taiping Rebellion - that’s why Hong Kong scares them.


14 posted on 12/08/2019 4:54:37 PM PST by proxy_user
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To: Robert DeLong

Precisely.

Stop cheating.

Enter the family of nations. Embrace the rule of law and property rights.

China has built enough infrastructure and capitalistic institutions, they can transition to the rule of law, if they chose to do so.


15 posted on 12/08/2019 4:55:13 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: Robert DeLong

At the start of Maos cultural revolution China was ready to fall apart. The south was in revolt and Mao stared the red guard to counter. Nixon helped by opening the door. We were used.


16 posted on 12/08/2019 4:58:25 PM PST by Oldexpat (Jobs Not Mobs)
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To: Zhang Fei

Hard to change a regime when it can launch a nuke at an enemy.


17 posted on 12/08/2019 4:59:14 PM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Zhang Fei

I’ll believe it when I see it.


18 posted on 12/08/2019 5:01:32 PM PST by Unam Sanctam
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To: Lysandru

[I remember reading a book in 1987 that claimed that the Castro Regime was heading for imminent collapse. Over 3 decades later, I am still waiting.]


I think there’s a tendency among Chinese historians to downplay the fluidity of Chinese regimes. The first peasant emperor of France was Napoleon, who ascended the throne around 200 years ago. The first peasant emperor of China gained his position 2200 years ago. He founded the Han dynasty. It lasted 400 years. Dynasties founded by peasants have ruled China for about 1/3 of its 2200 years. And that’s just the big changes in regimes, marked out by bright red lines. The more Chinese history I read, the more I’m impressed at how rambunctious the Chinese population is, even as Chinese historians repeat their mantra that the population is docile, even in the face of numerous recorded elite mutinies and popular uprisings.


19 posted on 12/08/2019 5:02:01 PM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: ryderann

[I doubt these folks will go softly into the night.]


Roughly 1/4 of the Chinese population died during the 19th century while trying to overthrow the Qing dynasty. Did that kind of gumption die with these rebels? Time will tell.


20 posted on 12/08/2019 5:02:15 PM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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