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Hurricane Dorian Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 2 September 2019 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/02/2019 7:50:54 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Catestrophic Hurricane Dorian was assigned Category 5 status by the NHC Sunday, September 1 at 0800. Since then Hurricane Dorian reached maximum sustained winds of 185 MPH, with gusts exceeding 220 MPH, and storm surge 18-23 feet above normal tide levels as it made landfall across Great Abaco Island in the Bahamas. Dorian became the strongest hurricane in modern records for the Northwestern Bahamas.

Dorian has wrought extreme wind and flood damage to Abacos and Grand Bahama Island as it crawled slowly across the Northern Bahamas.

All interests along the Atlantic coast should continue monitoring conditions and forecasts as powerful Hurricane Dorian moves very close to the US coastline. Evacuation orders have been issued for many Atlantic coastal communities in the Southeast US. Evacuations include multiple hospitals and nursing homes along the coast with anticipated dangerous storm surge and battering waves.

Wind speed is expected to weaken and fluctuate in the coming days as the storm moves northward.





Satellite Imagery Dorian

NHC Public Advisories

NHC Discussions

Florida Radar Loop (with storm track overlay)

Buoy Data with Storm Track overlay

Previous thread: Hurricane Dorian Live Thread


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: bahamas; dorian; hurricane; hurricanedorian; livehurricanedorian; prepper; preppers; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

My in-laws lived where the eye came ashore. Much of the town is still decimated.


41 posted on 09/02/2019 8:35:04 AM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: deks

I remember that a wind gauge broke during Camille in Biloxi/Gulfport back in ‘69 at 200mph and it wasn’t to high up so........


42 posted on 09/02/2019 8:38:07 AM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: equaviator

Yup. Dorian is all my and my Ram 1500 Hemi’s fault. Prayers up for our friends and family in FL.


43 posted on 09/02/2019 8:39:43 AM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: Justa

Wow! Unbelievable...


44 posted on 09/02/2019 8:39:49 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: Qiviut

I live about 30 minutes north of Nelson County.

For now, it looks like only the Tidewater area of Virginia is under threat, but I always pay attention to any hurricane with the the possibility of landfall in North Carolina.

Hurricanes and mountains can be a deadly combination.

I cannot even imagine what the people in the Bahamas are going through.


45 posted on 09/02/2019 8:40:38 AM PDT by independentmind (Sticks and stones will break my bones, but words will never hurt)
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To: Karl Spooner

See my private reply...


46 posted on 09/02/2019 8:41:50 AM PDT by CenTex (November 6, 2012... A day that will live in infamy!!!)
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To: independentmind

It is reasonable to use wind speed as a proxy for storm surge potential in coastal areas, and forward speed as a proxy for anticipated rainfall. Otherwise, there is a tremendous amount of info to address each and every effect of a hurricane in every update and discussion. For example, tornadoes are another very real threat during hurricanes.


47 posted on 09/02/2019 8:45:07 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Will trans-Atlantic trains cross over or under the ocean?)
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To: Vaden

Are people in Florida out of danger, now? Looks like the evacuation orders were unnecessary?


48 posted on 09/02/2019 8:48:54 AM PDT by Jrabbit
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To: equaviator

“I don’t trust those guys on TWC. They ALL seem to share the same opinion and all they can have right now is an opinion.”

I think they follow NOAA and simply report their updates.


49 posted on 09/02/2019 8:49:12 AM PDT by toldyou (Even if the voices aren't real, they have some pretty good ideas.)
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To: NautiNurse

I only know what I read, but Ryan Maue has recently discussed potential impact of storm surge. 120 mph winds from a hurricane sitting off the coast can still create enourmous amounts of damage.

I would imagine that the slower the hurricane moves, the more damage storm surge might create.


50 posted on 09/02/2019 8:49:20 AM PDT by independentmind (Sticks and stones will break my bones, but words will never hurt)
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To: maggief

I’ve seen this repeatedly as a “first video” since yesterday afternoon.
Really perplexing.


51 posted on 09/02/2019 8:50:39 AM PDT by VA40
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To: NautiNurse

“I’m just curious... someone posted a link showing the wind speed at various altitudes. Such as 10 meters, 100 meters, 250 meters, 1000 meters etc.”

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/equirectangular=-75.95,27.43,3000/loc=-78.671,26.936

Click on “Earth” in the lower left hand corner. That will open a pull down that you can change the altitude and other stuff.

I went through Camille as a tiny tot, probably don’t remember it, but I went through several in Southern Mississippi.

I’m going to go out on a limb here but I think it’s going to go across and into the Gulf. I hope I’m wrong.

From its previous path, I just don’t see this thing moving up the east coast. It’s moved a couple of degrees north and a whole lot west.


52 posted on 09/02/2019 8:52:02 AM PDT by Southern Magnolia
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To: Justa

Amazing live video. That guy must have a strong internet for such a stable feed.

Is he broadcasting via mobile or satellite or cable?

If he would just turn his camera vertically!


53 posted on 09/02/2019 8:54:51 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: Natty Bumppo@frontier.net; deks
There are no anemometer measurements for Dorian (so far). The measurements are from dropsondes so far: http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?basin=al&year=2019&storm=Dorian&product=sonde and mostly at flight level extrapolated to surface (surface is lower).
54 posted on 09/02/2019 8:57:57 AM PDT by palmer (...if we do not have strong families and strong values, then we will be weak and we will not survive)
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To: Justa

Good reason to live in the High Desert.


55 posted on 09/02/2019 9:00:29 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Jrabbit

Hardly. The cone is going over eastern Florida. Looks unsafe to my inexperienced eyes.


56 posted on 09/02/2019 9:01:43 AM PDT by madison10
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To: NautiNurse

Meanwhile in Boca Raton - http://video-monitoring.com/beachcams/boca/


57 posted on 09/02/2019 9:02:43 AM PDT by RightGeek (FUBO and the donkey you rode in on)
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To: mylife

Was thinking the same. Note to self: beachfront property on the ocean is WAY overrated.


58 posted on 09/02/2019 9:03:11 AM PDT by madison10
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To: deks

Wind speed 150 MPH is at ground level. The hurricane hunters measure wind speed at various altitudes when they fly into the storm. They use dropsonde to obtain measurements near the surface. They also obtain wind speed at various higher altitudes and extrapolate to the surface wind speed.


59 posted on 09/02/2019 9:05:23 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Will trans-Atlantic trains cross over or under the ocean?)
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To: RightGeek

A hurricane beach party!


60 posted on 09/02/2019 9:06:42 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Will trans-Atlantic trains cross over or under the ocean?)
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