Posted on 12/20/2018 9:00:33 AM PST by bitt
Since October The Fed has single-handedly dismantled the US economy. The Trump tax cuts at year end 2017 set the economy on fire. The US stock markets set numerous records. So the Fed had to step in and kill the economy or, God forbid, he would get re-elected in 2020!
The Fed announced on Wednesday afternoon that they will increase rates and will also increase rates next year. The Dow immediately dropped 720 points in 10 minutes. The DOW was down at one point by 894 points!
The Fed is clearly a political machine not working in the interest of President Trump or the American people.
As a result of Fed policies Americans are being bound with massive interest payments on Obama debt for years to come while watching their 401k’s dissolve into thin air.
The Dow Jones dropped 3,500 points since the Fed’s Jerome Powell’s insidious comments in early October to continue to increase interest rates.
The DOW reached another all-time high on October 3rd reaching 26,829. It was up for the 103rd time since Donald Trump was elected President and 46% since the November 2016 election.
This was clearly too much for the Fed’s Powell who then scared investors with his message that he will raise rates well into next year.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
The government bond market as well as the stock market says the elitist Fed has gone too far.
At least Trump has some people in the media on his side.
There are some Fed governors leaning his way too, but they didn’t show it with their votes yesterday.
This is the same Gateway Pundit that posted a "bombshell" article the other night about Robert Mueller's failure to turn over an FBI 302 form to the judge in the Flynn case ... two hours AFTER that exact form was not only turned over to the judge, but was posted on the court docket and accessible for public viewing over the internet.
So you’re on the same side as Jim Hoft. How does that feel?
The bad thing was under Obama we had Zero interest rates so you had to put your money in equities to earn anything. Now the Fed is killing the small investors, who I am sure were mostly Trump voters, and they are getting hammered!
Exactly.
How do higher interest rates harm retirees? This website is filled with retirees who have been complaining about LOW interest rates for the last ten years.
I think Trump should get rid of the Fed and the UN. Anything else?
How much free money do you want to throw at the market to keep it “running”. The deficit’s now something like $22T. How much more is needed? $28-35T going to fix it in a few years, or provide more mass in the black hole when it all implodes?
> This is disastrous for us retired people. <
Only for those who are heavily invested in the stock market. For the old fogies who just hold CDs, this is welcome news.
(I have one foot in each camp.)
That aside, yes, this will hurt Trump.
Here’s today’s email message from Chris Low, Chief Economics Adviser at FTN Financial:
Thursday, December 20, 2018
It’s not uncommon for a Fed Chair to question market behavior, but yesterday was the first time we can remember seeing the Chair entirely dismissive of financial market signals. As Powell noted, FOMC participants updated their macro forecasts to reflect tighter financial conditions, and the FOMC’s risk assessment reflects the possibility of more financial-markets damage. But models are incapable of gauging the meaning of a financial market meltdown, particularly when multiple markets are in distress. For that, the Fed must engage human brains and use human judgement.
Powell’s insistence that it’s just the stock market and his implication that equity values are meaningless beyond their impact on wealth and future spending smacks of denial. The Eurodollar curve is inverted, for heaven’s sake, pointing to a 50-50 chance of a rate cut in 2020. Commodity prices are tumbling, in part because the world’s biggest buyer, China, is cutting back. The Treasury yield curve is inverting.
Market prices have meaning, reflecting supply and demand shifts realized and anticipated. They reflect inputs far more diverse and up to date than any macro model, and until yesterday, investors thought Jerome Powell of all people – a market veteran and skeptic of models – would understand their importance. The disappointed reaction of equities, yields, currencies, and commodities to the Fed’s decision and Powell’s explanation of it – now a global reaction as investors shed risk and fled to safe havens in Asia and Europe last night – reflects not only disappointment in the FOMC but disappointment in the Fed Chairman.
It would have been ok for Powell to say he did not understand why markets are doing what they are doing. But to pretend the signals are coming from stocks alone and to dismiss the possibility that a sell-off has meaning suggests lazy complacency. A sharp sell-off in the dollar is perhaps the ultimate rebuke. When a central bank is more hawkish than expected and its currency drops, you are witnessing the collective wisdom of the global market signaling a mistake that will be reversed either sooner, to avert recession, or later, in reaction to recession.
Here’s hoping yesterday was a rookie mistake Powell learns from, because a central bank head in denial is bad, but one who cannot learn from his mistakes is far worse. As you might have guessed, we’ll have plenty more to say about the Fed in the Economic Weekly.
The bank of England, like the Fed, is eager to reverse a decade of super-easy policy. Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, is not exactly a central-banking superstar. He was recently described by Conservative Member of Parliament Jacob Rees-Mogg as “a second tier Canadian politician who failed to get on in Canadian politics and got a job in the UK.” But he knows when to lay low. Today’s meeting minutes explain, “The broader economic outlook will continue to depend significantly on the nature of EU withdrawal. The monetary policy response to Brexit, whatever form it takes, will not be automatic and could be in either direction.” Sterling rallied in response. See, not so hard, is it?
The People’s Bank of China introduced a new low-cost liquidity tool for banks willing to lend to small business. The loans will be available on an ad hoc basis to banks meeting regulatory requirements and demonstrating a willingness to ease a small-business credit squeeze. The rate, initially 3.15%, is lower than current lending facilities with shorter terms. The PBOC is reluctant to cut rates in general, because it might undercut the yuan. But this action shows an understanding and desire to address an economic slowdown apparent in recent data and fear of further slowing evident in financial market behavior. Apparently, even Chinese Communists understand financial markets better than the Fed.
Today in the US, the December Philly Fed business outlook index is expected to rise from 12.9 to 15.0.
Chris Low
Pumping the deficit from 4 to 22T didn’t harm the economy, national savings, or the worth of a dollar?
Not to mention LAND!
Three camps :)
I wish everyone here understood what you are saying. Interesting times ahead.
The economy has been recovering quite nicely and keeping the Fed rate artificially low in a strong economy is a recipe for disaster in and of itself. I know why Trump has been jawboning the Fed about rate increases, it impacts the stock market as rate increases always have, by making bonds more attractive and pulling money out of the market. Many see their 401k declining as a result, so it’s broadly unpopular with the voters. But, it has to happen. Claiming there’s some sort dark conspiracy seems sort of silly to me in light of this. Trump opposes it because his voters oppose it, but his voters aren’t really aware after going on nearly twenty years of artificially depressed interest rates, of just what the mechanism is and always has been, as far as Fed rates. Trump’s opposition is smart and political. That doesn’t mean these rate increases have been wrong. It just means they’re unpopular.
Really? the is old school thinking ( pre globalist Free Traitor times). It won't be disaster for US workers and wages.
So you want a return to double digit interest rates due to inflation getting completely out of hand, like the late 70’s or worse. The malaise Carter years, or worse.
Brilliant.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.