Posted on 11/05/2018 9:58:23 AM PST by SeekAndFind
This poll was one of the most accurate in 2016. But, then again, so was Rasmussen which has Republicans up one in its final genetic poll.
They are globalist free traders.
Well, I guess that’s that ... I’ll just go straight to work tomorrow instead of being late because of voting.
I was really hoping the Repubs would win, but I guess that is out of the cards now.
Trump is headed for a historic win.
People vote their pocketbooks and people feel good about the economy.
All the rest is statistical noise.
Cause people are ALWAYS eager to vote the party that brought them prosperity out of office.
Not good. This poll was very accurate in 2016. The Kavanaugh bump was too long ago - a month is an eternity in this political climate. While I agree with Trump about stopping the caravan, my concern is perhaps the rhetoric used was too harsh. For example, I’d have told the American people the caravan is coming, and the Dems won’t change the law. Therefore, if people want the border secure, vote Republican or they can have the caravan come in. I agree with him on birthright, but it might scare off the moderates.
Regarding so-called Dem surge, FReepers have pointed out regarding Florida, for example, that while Democratic counties were open for voting yesterday (Sunday), Republican counties were not open for voting.
There’s a surge in early voting. And Florida Democrats are closing in on the GOP" (Read FReeper comments.)
Not in this poll. This was the one of the few polls that had Trump winning.
IBD is a good polling outfit, so these numbers shouldn’t be easily dismissed.
On the other hand, they could also be falling victim to a general conservative refusal to answer polls at all, or the increasingly-popular practice of deliberately lying to pollsters.
+++++
Stop reading right there.
Polls of “adults” are useless as I’m sure IBD knows quite well. Using Registered voters is better but unless your poll is limited to Likely Voters your poll is worthless.
And of course there are many other ways to generate a push poll so even with Likely Voters you can still end up with crap.
The problem with Debbie Downers like you is you fake polls too seriously.
It will come down to one issue: the economy. And people like what Trump’s been doing.
I wouldn’t be surprised if its a status quo election.
The GOP has only one current weakness, healthcare. Thanks to Ryan and McCain the option was to let Obamacare wither on the vine rather than replace it - it needs a proactive solution.
Yes, they were one of the few to see a strong chance of Trump’s winning in 2016.
Freepers cannot get over the idea that all pollsters are political stooges though, you cannot reason with them.
Agreed.
A national poll is worthless in congressional races.
If the economy was in the crapper, the GOP would’ve no chance.
Yeah, I don’t like how the polls are breaking. Momentum swings back and forth many times, and I saw this in 2016. Momentum was for Hillary early in October, but by November, the pendulum swung the other way. I feel we had momentum going into October, but the media used a tragic shooting and blamed Trump for it and blamed him for that fool who sent the pipe bombs. Trump’s communication’s team did not respond properly to being accused of inciting violence in my opinion. I would have launched a more vigorous defense and had Trump and Sanders out there reciting the media rhetoric and the violence against Republicans Breitbart documented, but they didn’t. Also, there is a possibility that some of the harsh rhetoric on immigration has pushed away moderates who are more willing to listen to MSM talking points.
FAKE POLL:
No mention concerning the split of Republicans/Democrats/Independents.
This is the poll that showed Trump winning. I’d take it less seriously if you told me it was the WaPo poll.
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