Posted on 11/05/2018 9:58:23 AM PST by SeekAndFind
With voter interest in the midterm elections at historic heights, Democrats opened up a 9-point lead over Republicans on the question of who should control Congress after the midterm elections, while President Donald Trump's approval rating remained unchanged at 40%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll.
The two top issues for voters in the midterm elections are the economy and health care, which benefit each party. The poll also found that Trump still hasn't closed the deal with the public on his trade policies.
There's no question that the interest in the midterm elections is incredibly high for both Democrats and Republicans. The IBD/TIPP poll, conducted from October 25 through November 3, finds that 74% of respondents say they're more interested in the current election than previous ones.
The poll found that 50% of likely voters say they'd prefer a Congress controlled by Democrats, with 41% saying they want Republicans to keep control, for a net Democratic lead in this "generic ballot" question of 9 points, which is up from 2 points last month (Dems 45%, GOP 43%).
Methodology: IBD/TIPP conducted the latest poll from October 25 through November 3. It includes responses from 900 adults nationwide, who were asked questions by live interviewers on phones. The poll's margin of error is +/-3.3 percentage points. The "generic ballot" question and ranking of issues by importance were asked of a subset of 798 adults deemed to be likely voters. (Toplines from the poll will be posted here during the week.)
The IBD/TIPP Poll has been credited as being the most accurate poll in the past four presidential elections, and was one of only two that correctly predicted the outcome of the November 2016 presidential election.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
IBD/TIPP Poll-Remember this name
Too bad elections are not won in the generic ballot. Odd how this Democrat poll shows exactly the opposite of what the other polling is showing.
What ever happens tomorrow, one group of pollsters, or the other, is going to have a massive amount of crow to eat
Yup. No point in wasting gas going to vote there conservative Trump supporters. It’s all wrapped up. Just ask beto.
Meaningless. GOP keeps the House and adds Senate seats.
IBD-TIPP as a paper is way to the right of center, fwiw.
Hillary...95% lock on winning
Garbage poll
Anyways I like that they do post these garbage polls cause it helps get our voters out if they they we are down a few points.
Hopefully the lefties will sit home thinking it was in the bag
And no surprise, a Globalist polling group for IBD thinks people favor the screw American trade deals Trump has dismantled.
Democrats also think they should control your pocketbook
No they not. They routinely push the same globalist agenda as the wSJ and the rest of the cheap labor express stooges
Didn’t this polling firm pick Trump to win the presidency? I thought it did. I also thought they had a word way of doing the polling and very the LA Times were using them in 2016. Maybe I am wrong.
Forget Congress. State legislatures are where the real action happens. Roads. Schools. Sewers. And, of course, legislative district boundaries. I would add:(As in the 2020 redistricting of the House in DC. which will effect the US for a decade 2020-2030.)
An example of why the state level elections will have more long term consequences.
The state legislators elected in 2018 will have a say in the 2020 redistricting. The 2020 redistricting will be the road map for the House in DC for the next decade 2020-2030.
An example of the long term ramifications, and importance of the state level 2018 mid-term elections.
One reason Florida must elect DeSantis over the communist Gillum:
The governor’s race could have more long term effects than the senate race. The elected governor will be in charge of 2020 redistricting.
Florida needs to get out and vote to defeat the communist Gillum.
Because if Gillum is elected the potential for a decade of blue Florida is in the cards given that:
The Florida Supreme Court recently ruled that the next governor of Florida will have the opportunity to appoint three new justices to the Florida Supreme Court. Republican Party of Florida chairman Blaise Ingoglia stated: “Andrew Gillum would appoint radical, activist justices who would legislate from the bench and work to eliminate school choice, erode pro-life principles and impose big-government ideology on our state.” A far-left court could also impact Florida’s district maps.
For example, if Democrats are unhappy with how the legislature draws the lines, they will likely contest the proposed drawings and file a lawsuit. Assuming that this happens, the case could end up in the Supreme Court, at which time the Democrats will submit their proposed districts to the far left-leaning court. These districts will likely favor a shift in the balance of power to the Democrats.
If Andrew Gillum is elected governor of Florida, he will appoint far left-leaning justices who will be more inclined to favor the Democratic proposed state district maps. Gillum, a Democrat, will also have the power to veto the proposed congressional district lines. If this happens, and district lines are drawn in a manner that favors Democrats, many more Democrats will be elected in subsequent elections, and the Florida congressional delegation could turn Democrat. This sentiment is shared by some Democrats not only in Florida, but around the country.
Link: https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/10/how_andrew_gillum_could_turn_florida_deep_blue.html
If the Dems flip enough governorships 2020-2030 will be a lost decade for conservatives since 2020 redistricting is around the corner.
“word” should have been “weird”. Sorry.
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Many Republicans and conservatives are not inclined to want to respond to phone interviews with pollsters. In point of fact, a recent Rasmussen report commented about voters' distrust of polls. So, what we often see is "responses" that are skewed toward a certain set of people.
IBD is Investors Business Daily. Who is TIPP?
Bwahahahaha
From The Onion. /s
You are correct about that.
Where are the internals? Why is it going the opposite direction of all the other polls?
Polls are depressing today. Nelson and Gillum leading in 4 new polls. Trump’s appearances don’t seem to be moving numbers.
This won’t be easy.
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