Posted on 11/04/2018 10:58:21 AM PST by SeekAndFind
President Donald Trump's late campaign blitz targeting immigrants has rallied the Republican base of white working-class voters, helping to curb the Democratic advantage heading into Tuesday's midterm elections for Congress.
The election-eve NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats leading by seven percentage points, 50 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters. That's down from a nine-percentage point lead last month.
That slightly narrowing reflects rising interest in the election from the foundation of Trump's support: White men, especially older, less educated, less affluent ones in small towns and rural areas. Most noteworthy for a mid-term election, the 2018 campaign has seized the attention of voters at presidential-campaign levels and Trump has helped Republicans wipe out the advantage Democrats held earlier in the campaign.
"There has been some method to his madness," said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducts the NBC/WSJ survey with his Democratic counterpart Peter Hart. "The base is coming home."
The results presage the possibility of a split verdict on Tuesday. With many battleground House races taking place in more affluent suburbs, the unusual Trump-era advantage Democrats continue to maintain among college-educated whites especially women represent a strong sign for their prospects of gaining or exceeding the 23-seat gain they need to recapture the majority.
But in the less-populated, more conservative states that will decide control of the Senate, the late campaign trend brightens Republican prospects. Needing a two-seat gain to recapture a majority, Democrats must defend incumbents in states such as Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota where the Trump base looms larger.
"Republicans have clearly made progress," McInturff said. One key indicator: the Democratic edge among independent voters has dipped to nine percentage points from 14 percent last month, reflecting fresh uncertainty among less-affluent white men.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...
Fake slanted poll. If NBC is only givin the Rats +7, its half that in reality, at best. I always add 5 points to the GOP/Trump in any fake news poll.
Rasmussen has it at Dems +3 so thats about right
.
I’m expecting a result stronger than 1994! (way stronger)
Amen!
But if he yanks tonights TN thread, he needs to be taken behind the woodshed for a proverbial spanking.
“The telephone poll of 1,000 voters, conducted Nov. 1-3,”
Darn, they didn’t call this Hispanic lesbian. pro-choice, low taxes, strong borders democrat voter.
I still have a theory as to what is going to go on, and why, when the election turns out like I believe. And it will explain something else as well.
As cryptic as that all reads!
I’m 50, with a BA, and I guess for NYC I don’t make a heck of a lot.
But then shouldn’t I be voting dem?
Actually. the demographic they are describing has gone dem FOREVER.
That should tell them dems how much of a mess they are right now.
And how out of touch.
The Trump tax cuts have been a HUGE help and we live on Staten island where the commute is long but the cost is about 1/3 of Manhattan and Brooklyn for a home.
So we’re good.
Generic ballot polls have NO meaning
Once again the useless media will be embarrassed
You SHOULD vote Dem because the Trump tax cut took away your high tax state deduction...
There’s no hyperlink to a detailed methodology.
Cooked poll.
Funny you say that. My wife and i were the there opening day/opening hour because of the scotus hearings.
Grant it we vote all the time but this time she and I were pissed
My property taxes are SO FAR from the limit that it’s laughable.
Sorry to disappoint you :)
Plus Unlike You, from what you’ve said at least, putting your city or state before the country, I don’t.
ciao :)
A Liberal Media poll showing the Democrats 7-points ahead is as reliable as those in 2016 showing the Wicked Witch comfortably heading to the White House.
Doesnt cost the GOP any votes theyve would have won and any angry high-heeled country club RINOs would have already been a lost cause...
And why, as a practical political matter, should the GOP continue to subsidize states that would never vote GOP, beats me.
The New York Times, to their credit, will tell you how many calls were made to get a certain number of responses.
They seem to want about 500 responses, and to get that they have to make anywhere from 10,000 to 50,000 calls.
That response rate is probably typical for all pollsters. Ignoring the additional issue of fudging the R/D/I weighting, statistically how reliable would this sort of response rate actually be?
Probably not very reliable.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-polls.html
Lol, and what sort of completely accurate descriptions could be written of the primary Dim support groups? But, of course, those descriptions will never be written by the leftist media.
Are “less affluent white men” deplorable dregs who have American flags in front of their homes and own Bibles?
Thought so.
How dare they!
According to Don Lemonade (D-CNN), they are terrorists.
White male terrorists.
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