Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Poll: Democrats lead Republicans by 2 points on generic House ballot (Indys +5 R)
The Hill ^ | Sept 12, 2018 | By John Bowden

Posted on 09/12/2018 8:46:44 AM PDT by 11th_VA

Democrats hold a slim lead over Republicans on a poll of U.S. adults' preferences for which party they want controlling the House after November's midterm elections.

In an Economist/YouGov poll released Wednesday, 34 percent of U.S. adults said they wanted to see Democrats retake control of the House, while another 32 percent said they wanted Republicans to maintain control of the chamber.

Another 13 percent say they want control in the lower chamber to be split between the two parties, while more than 20 percent of respondents didn't have a preference between the two parties.

Democrats hold an 8-point advantage among women in the poll, while Republicans hold a 4-point lead over Democrats among men. Independent voters surveyed in the poll broke for Republicans, giving the party a 5-point lead over Democrats among unaffiliated voters.

Democrats' lead in the poll has slipped from the same poll taken towards the end of August, which showed Democrats with a 6-point lead at the time.

The poll's release Wednesday followed the release of another poll, from NPR/Marist, that found the Democrats with a double-digit lead over Republicans among registered voters...

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2020election; abortion; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2018; election2020; fakepolls; globalwarminghoax; homosexualagenda; libertarians; mediawingofthednc; medicalmarijuana; partisanmediashills; presstitutes; smearmachine
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-57 last
To: 11th_VA

Right, and Trump had no path to 270.


41 posted on 09/12/2018 11:15:33 AM PDT by Preachin' (I stand with many voters who will never vote for a pro abortion candidate.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk
Poll: Dems lead GOP by 14 points on generic House ballot

It's Quinnipiac. Would you tell the nice young woman who calls that you prefer Democrats, or the party that eats kittens?

Live interview political polling has become so unreliable that Gallup -- the firm that was doing it since FDR -- gave up.

The college polls could (and should) change their methodology -- but they have a large pool of cheap labor and are making piles of money. Why would they make the change and anger their landlord just because the methodology doesn't work any more?

42 posted on 09/12/2018 11:58:46 AM PDT by Sooth2222 (Hanlon's Razor: "Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: GOPJ
The plus 9 was probably a minus 4, and if they're cookin' the books as before, they're at minus eleven.

43 posted on 09/12/2018 12:45:02 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (www.tapatalk.com/groups/godsgravesglyphs/, forum.darwincentral.org, www.gopbriefingroom.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 40 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA
NPR broadcasted the exact opposite this morning ... Marist poll I think showing Dems up 12 points, increasing lead since July.

I did not shake in my boots when I heard it.

The media's interest is in eyeballs and ears. I believe they are therefore simply peddling the drug of feeling-good-even-if-just-for-now. I don't really believe they believe it's going to help their chances. (well probably partially that too) ... just that ... I think the media loves Trump for ratings and then loves countering their Trump reporting which always projects catastrophe with selling fake hope.

Basically drug dealers. If you want to sell more Xanax, what better way than going out into the public and causing lots of anxiety first, then saying 'well, we've got this Xanax for your anxiety'. They win on both ends with Trump.

44 posted on 09/12/2018 12:48:29 PM PDT by tinyowl (A is A)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA
We have to launch a carefully targeted—that is targeted on the extreme antics of the Left in city after city, as well as in Congressional hearings--to drive home the fact that the Democrats have gone full throttle totalitarian. It does not need to cost anything like what the foe will spend; but what needs to be avoided is the stupid, dull type of appeasement campaign that the anti-Trump Republican milquetoasts seem to prefer.
45 posted on 09/12/2018 1:01:42 PM PDT by Ohioan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

AOL news pops up with the headline, “New Polls Could Mean Disaster for Republicans”. It shows a picture of a smiling Pelosi in place as Speaker of the House. Yuck.


46 posted on 09/12/2018 1:24:42 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX (..Do not be frightened, and do not be dismayed, for the Lord your God is with you.. Joshua 1:9)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ohioan; All
We have to launch a carefully targeted—that is targeted on the extreme antics of the Left in city after city, as well as in Congressional hearings--to drive home the fact that the Democrats have gone full throttle totalitarian.

Agreed. Even the RNC has an ad out which focuses on the "Rat extremism.

47 posted on 09/12/2018 1:57:29 PM PDT by justiceseeker93
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

I am starting to join that camp that says not to trust the polls. I guess from now to then we need to watch any governor or local races around the country.


48 posted on 09/12/2018 2:17:57 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: VanDeKoik

Yes, I just don’t trust them anymore. All the polls seem to be politicized.


49 posted on 09/12/2018 2:19:03 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: DarthVader

Lie to pollsters. Lie to them so often that nobody believes them anymore.


50 posted on 09/12/2018 2:22:59 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: God luvs America

Excellent. ABC polls try to convince us that Reoubs are a dozen points behind.


51 posted on 09/12/2018 2:29:00 PM PDT by JerseyDvl ("If you're going through hell, keep going.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

This poll makes more sense. The one thing I’ve seen in nearly every one of the recent “Democrats are going to win” polls is huge oversampling of Democrats. A recent ABC Washington Post poll surveyed was made up of 35% Democrats and 25% Republicans and 40% independents or some such breakdown. One poll I do look to as a canary in the coal mine is the Gallup party id trend poll.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

The trend in this poll which isn’t asking who someone is going to vote for or loaded with leading questions trying to sway voters is that Democrats are bleeding support. At the beginning of the year Democrats had a +10 point lead in party id over GOP. The last data point from August now shows the GOP +1. That is a huge shift.

If you go back to 2016 before President Trump was elected this same poll showed Democrats with a +4 advantage. I’m waiting for the September data point(s) to be added but I don’t buy the narrative at all of this huge “blue wave”. Also the GOP is breaking record after record fundraising and has 5x the cash of the DNC. That doesn’t indicate to me an unexcited GOP base. Also with all the good economic news there is no reason to believe these polls. Democrats will gain in the House but I believe it will be much smaller than they expect and I believe there may be a remote chance that the GOP holds the house.


52 posted on 09/12/2018 2:42:06 PM PDT by Maelstorm (Free is just another word for someone else has to pay.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Independents are breaking for Republicans???

That makes sense since TRUMP policies favor them!!!

53 posted on 09/12/2018 6:12:34 PM PDT by KavMan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 52 | View Replies]

To: Maelstorm

Generic polls of likely voters for the House are notorious for being pretty inaccurate.

See 2016:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html#polls

Also 2014:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/generic_congressional_vote-2170.html

Believe it or not in the 2010 elections most of the final showed a higher than average advantage for the GOP.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2010_generic_congressional_vote-2171.html


54 posted on 09/12/2018 10:12:42 PM PDT by princeofdarkness (Leftists. Their only response to failure is to double down.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 52 | View Replies]

To: Professional

I suspect this one will be a mid term for the history books.

I want to see the Lamentations of the Snowflakes version 2.0.


55 posted on 09/13/2018 4:02:55 AM PDT by Flick Lives
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Maelstorm

Interesting about the gallup poll — thanks.


56 posted on 09/13/2018 4:21:01 AM PDT by Yardstick
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 52 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Has this poll been accurate in the past?


57 posted on 09/13/2018 7:48:32 PM PDT by lasereye
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-57 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson