Posted on 09/09/2018 8:01:18 AM PDT by NautiNurse
September 10 is the statistical peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season, and the conga line of storms dancing across the Atlantic is not disappointing historical data. The Governors of NC and SC have declared states of emergency for a potential major hurricane landfall, while Hurricane Florence is slowly creeping westward. Florence is predicted to increase forward motion and intensity Monday. Hurricanes Hazel (1954) and Hugo (1989) are two notorious major hurricanes to make landfall in NC and SC, respectively. North Carolina has prior experience with "F" named hurricanes. Hurricanes Fran (1996) and Floyd (1999) caused widespread flooding and damage in the Tar Heel state.
The NHC has been issuing Public Advisories for Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here.
Isaac is a small storm. Isaac is predicted to steadily strengthen during the next few days as the storm remains over warm waters and in a low wind shear environment in the short term. The NHC predicts Isaac will reach hurricane status within 2 days.
Helene is expected to reach hurricane status in the short term. However, Helene is not anticipated to threaten U.S. interests. The forecast track turns north into the mid-Atlantic.
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On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
My hunch is that they’ll both veer to the north. Hurricanes sometimes form a conga line in the Atlantic and they follow the one in front of them (where the low pressure is).
So far, we’ve had 3 hurricanes, only 1 of which was major (Florence).
Last year we had 10 hurricanes and 6 were major.
Global Warming must be on hiatus.
A twofer!
There are many variables affecting a storm path. The models for Florence are rather tightly clustered.
Yep...Helene didn’t rate making this a threefer.
Thanks as always for your efforts, NN. They are greatly appreciated. I was ground zero for Hurricane Matthew in 2016; the eye came right over us. My hometown’s downtown was completely flooded and, even now, about 40% of those businesses have not reopened. Some have just thrown in the towel. To top it off, my health is so bad now I’m not even able to do the normal storm prep. Thankfully, I’m blessed with a wonderful church and community “family” (no relatives!) and will get some help from them!
Went down and put all the stuff on the screened porch inside the home.
Installed a couple of ARLO camera’s and put the roll out trash can under the house.
About all I can do - now time to wait.
Matthew (2016) was a devil of a storm. Sad that so many businesses permanently shuttered following the flooding. Good to know you have a wonderful church family!
Great to know you have already completed your coastal preps. Will you be able to post feed from your cameras?
“https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1938_New_England_hurricane";
I’m one of the few people left who remembers THIS horror——I was almost 6 years old and the main thing I remember was the NOISE-————terrifying.
Over 600 people died in this one.
.
Isaac will stay to the south, taking the southern route toward the gulf, peter out and might(?) reform in the western gulf.
Helene will boomerang to the north and be more of a concern for the Brits.*
* - I reserve the right to adjust my predictions as nature's reality (and the GPS tracker on Jim Cantore's weather van) dictate.
I am not liking Isaac, I hope we get a good cold front next week to protect the Gulf Coast States from Isaac.
A little advice from a Katrina evacuee Carolina. The day you plan to evacuate, like everyone else waiting to see it it turns, and it won’t,
leave the day before.
Hard to say with the storm such a long way out there. I keep wondering whether Isaac will continue westward and land in Central America.
My mother still tells stories about that storm. She lived near the GSB on LI.
That would be nice. Sure looks like N.C. is going to take a major hit. I hope everyone there is preparing. There’s a chance Flo may stall and pull a Harvey, 3 or 4 feet of rain!
Your mother would have been in the absolute worst spot.
Not many of us left.
.
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